North Texas Mean Green at Navy Midshipmen

Rebuilding Mean Green Visit Navy in Old Tiebreaker Rematch

By Pablo SanchezUpdated 6d ago·2 min read
North Texas Mean GreenUNT
Navy MidshipmenNAVY
AT
2:30 PM CT
Bush’s Picks
UNTNAVY
UNTNAVY
OverUnder
Best BetNavy

Navy brings back 11 starters, four of five offensive linemen, and a defensive staff with real continuity even after the coordinator change — that's a lot more certainty than North Texas offers with a zero-returning-starters roster and a new coach still figuring out his team. Betting the Mean Green outright this early means betting on a portal class gelling fast on the road against a program with a chip on its shoulder. Navy's the safer side to trust in a program-continuity sense.

North Texas
  • Neal Brown brought in nation's largest transfer class
  • QB Tayven Jackson has multiple P4 starting stops
  • Brown expects offense to stay explosive
  • Returns zero starters, an FBS rarity
  • brand new coach, scheme installed from scratch
  • tough non-conference slate tests defense early
Navy
  • 11 returning starters, four O-line starters back
  • best odds in American to win the conference
  • revenge motive after tiebreaker snub last year
  • lost QB Horvath and top two pass catchers
  • new DC Eric Lewis untested in the role
  • Woodson has started just one game in 3 years

This one's circled for a reason that has nothing to do with October form. Navy missed last season's American Championship Game specifically because it lost the head-to-head tiebreaker to North Texas, even after going 11-2. The Midshipmen have had all offseason to think about that, and Neal Brown's crew rolling into Annapolis on Saturday, October 24 gives them a shot to settle it.

The bigger story is how different North Texas looks. Brown, hired away after stops at West Virginia and Troy, inherited a program that just posted its winningest season ever and then watched nearly the entire roster walk out the door in the portal era. North Texas is one of only two FBS teams, along with Iowa State, returning zero starters. Brown answered by bringing in the biggest transfer class in the sport for a second straight year, headlined by quarterback Tayven Jackson, a three-stop transfer most recently at UCF who Brown recruited hard back at West Virginia.

Navy isn't standing pat either, even with more continuity. Blake Horvath, the quarterback who ran the option offense to that 11-2 finish, is gone to the NFL, and so are receiver Eli Heidenreich and Landon Robinson. Braxton Woodson, voted a team captain in April, steps in after spot-starting the last three seasons and racking up five career 100-yard rushing games in relief duty. Navy brings back 11 starters overall, including four of five offensive linemen, which is about as good a security blanket as a new triple-option quarterback can ask for.

Defensively, Navy also has a new voice calling the shots. Longtime coordinator P.J. Volker left for a safeties job with the Ravens, elevating Eric Lewis into the coordinator role after years on staff. That continuity matters against a North Texas offense that Brown insists will still be explosive despite the overhaul, even as his defense gets tested early by UNLV and Texas State skill talent in non-conference play before conference season rolls around.

North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Navy Midshipmen
Navy Midshipmen
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

North Texas' win total sits at 6.5 for the season, and while there's real belief the offense can hang points on people, the defensive rebuild is the bigger question mark for a Brown team facing this much roster turnover. Navy's preseason expectations are the opposite problem: a win total north of 7.5 games and the best odds in the American to win the league, but that comes with a target after last year's near-miss.

By the time this one kicks off, both programs will have had two-plus months of the regular season to figure out who they actually are. Navy wants revenge for the tiebreaker snub. North Texas wants to prove last year wasn't a fluke built on a roster that no longer exists. That tension alone makes this worth circling on the American Conference calendar.

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