There's no win-loss record for either team in our data, so the best way to read this game is by style. Georgia State has shown it can win a shootout and it can also pull away, like it did against Northern Illinois. Old Dominion hasn't shown it can slow down a competent passing game. The weather in Atlanta could matter too. The early forecast is 87 degrees, partly cloudy, with close to a 50-50 chance of rain. That's a lot of heat for a defense that has already spent plenty of time on the field this month.
For Old Dominion the question is short-term recovery. The Monarchs have a week to fix a secondary that 2 straight quality opponents have picked apart, and then they travel to a team that's rolling at home. If ODU can't make Brown uncomfortable, Georgia State's pace should decide this.
Norfolk State31-10
North Carolina A&T59-10Georgia State will be tested too. The UCF game showed the risk: the Panthers kept scoring but couldn't get stops, and Brown's 2 picks came in a game where he had to carry everything. Old Dominion can still score in the 20s against good defenses. If this turns into a track meet, the Panthers need Brown to take care of the ball better than he did in Orlando.
Neither team has another game before this one, so both come in on a full week of rest. For Georgia State it opens conference play. For Old Dominion it's a chance to turn around a September that has gone badly.