The 2 records look alike, but they aren't. Colorado State beat a rival and an FCS team, then got run over by BYU 41-23 and lost a 59-45 shootout in San Antonio. Oregon State spent its first 2 weeks against good teams and found its offense against Montana. The big question for Saturday is which of those looks was real.
The Rams' defense is the whole story at home. Allowing 41 and then 59 in back-to-back weeks is not just a bad afternoon. It means opponents are finding the same holes over and over. Mora has a week at home to fix it. The Rams have scored enough to keep up in just about any game, so a defense that gets merely average would change the picture a lot.
The weather will be a factor for a team coming from the Pacific Northwest. The early forecast for Fort Collins is 85 degrees, cloudy, with wind around 14 mph and almost no chance of rain. That's a warm, breezy afternoon for a road team, and wind like that can make the deep passing game harder to control. It's still 6 days out, so the forecast can change.
Both schools are in the rebuilt Pac-12, and Colorado State is in its first season there. Neither team is ranked, but the winner gets over .500 heading into October with a real argument for being the better of the two. For the Rams, it's also the first time since Wyoming that the new staff gets a winnable home game with something on the line.