Sam Houston Bearkats at Missouri State Bears

Oct 27, 20267:00 PM CTESPN2Springfield, MO
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Sam Houston has scored 6 points in its last 2 games combined. Missouri State just gave up 61 at Delaware. On Tuesday, October 27, at Plaster Stadium, something has to give.

TUE 10/27, 7:00 PM CT · Week 9ESPN2
Kickoff 65°10 mph

Missouri State (2-5, 1-2 CUSA) hosts Sam Houston (1-5, 0-2) in a game between a Bears team that can pass but just gave up 61 at Delaware and a Bearkats team that has scored 6 points in its last 2 games. Missouri State's Belin-to-Myers passing game against a Sam Houston defense that has kept games close is the key matchup. Sam Houston comes in with nearly 2 weeks of rest but has lost TE B. Kuhl for the season. No betting line has been posted yet.

Sam Houston Bearkats
  • Nearly 2 weeks of rest before this game
  • Defense held Western Kentucky to 1 touchdown
  • Facing a defense that gave up 61 points
  • 6 points total in the last 2 games
  • No touchdown since the Texas Tech loss
  • TE B. Kuhl out for the season
Missouri State Bears
  • Belin threw for 337 yards at Delaware
  • Myers had 242 receiving yards last time out
  • Beat Kennesaw State at home in its last home game
  • Gave up 30 straight second-half points at Delaware
  • Belin threw 2 interceptions against Delaware
  • Coming home on a normal week after a long road trip

This is a Conference USA game between 2 teams looking for a second conference win between them. Missouri State is 2-5 overall and 1-2 in the league. Sam Houston is 1-5 and 0-2. The Bears' offense isn't the problem. Henry Belin IV threw for 337 yards and 2 touchdowns at Delaware, and Isaiah Myers caught passes for 242 yards. Missouri State led that game 28-24 at halftime and still lost by 23.

That's because the Bears' defense collapsed after the break. Delaware scored 30 straight points in the second half, and Nick Minicucci, in his first game back after missing 2 with an injury, threw 5 touchdown passes and ran for another. It was the highest-scoring Conference USA game since 2017. Belin also threw 2 interceptions, so a shootout cuts both ways for Missouri State. Its only win in the last 5 came at home, 24-21 over Kennesaw State, and its 3 other losses in that stretch were all by 6 points or more. No line has been posted for this one yet.

Sam Houston's problem is the other way around. The Bearkats beat Nicholls 59-0 in September. In their 3 games since, they've scored 14 at Texas Tech, 3 at Liberty and 3 at home against Western Kentucky. Their only points against the Hilltoppers came on a 42-yard field goal from Sam Carpenter in the second quarter. The defense held up its end that night: Western Kentucky scored 1 touchdown and 3 field goals. The offense gave it nothing to work with.

10/22LvsNew Mexico State24-30
10/15LvsWestern Kentucky3-16
10/08L@Liberty3-35
09/26L@8Texas Tech14-49
09/19WvsNicholls59-0
10/20L@Delaware38-61
10/14WvsKennesaw State24-21
10/08L@Western Kentucky13-34
09/27L@23SMU24-34
09/19LvsMarshall24-30

The schedule gives Sam Houston one real advantage. The Bearkats last played Western Kentucky on October 14, so they'll come into Springfield with almost 2 weeks off. Missouri State is on a normal week and coming back from a trip to Newark where its defense was on the field for 61 points. Sam Houston will also be without tight end B. Kuhl, who has been shut down for the rest of the season with an undisclosed injury. That leaves an offense with 2 field goals in its last 2 games even thinner.

This matchup is simple to read. Missouri State can throw it, and Myers just had the kind of night that wins conference games when the defense holds. Sam Houston has a defense that has kept games within reach and an offense that hasn't reached the end zone since the Texas Tech loss. If the Bearkats can't punish a Bears defense that just gave up 30 points in a half, Belin and Myers should have room to work. If they can, the extra week of prep becomes the story. The forecast in Springfield is cloudy and 64 degrees with almost no wind, so neither passing game will have weather as an excuse.

Sam Houston vs. Missouri State: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 27) — Sam Houston Brings a Stalled Offense to Springfield on Tuesday