Sam Houston Bearkats at Troy Trojans

Sat Sep 5 · 6:00 PM CT
By Pablo SanchezUpdated 9d ago·2 min read
Sam Houston BearkatsSHSU
Troy TrojansTROY
AT
6:00 PM CT

Troy kicks off its Sun Belt title defense bid against a Sam Houston team trying to prove last year's 2-10 disaster was a floor, not a preview.

Bush’s Picks
SHSUTROY
SHSUTROY
OverUnder
Best BetTroy

Troy enters as the far more established program — three Sun Belt West titles in four years — against a Sam Houston team that just went 2-10 and lost nine games by two scores or worse. The roster overhaul in Houston is real, but overhauls take reps to show up on Saturdays, especially in a true road opener. Lay the points and back the Trojans here.

Sam Houston
  • Massive offensive line and skill upgrades via portal
  • New CB transfer Ishmel Atkins flashed in spring game
  • Bar is low, real chance to show progress
  • Went 2-10 with a historically bad third-down offense
  • Lost 9 games by two scores or more in 2025
  • First-year staff still installing systems on the road
Troy
  • Three Sun Belt West titles in the last four seasons
  • Both 2025 starting QBs return with experience
  • New OC's system produced FCS's top scoring offense
  • Ranked last in Sun Belt in total yards in 2025
  • Lost leading rusher, leading receiver, and top guard
  • Starting QB job still unresolved entering the opener

This is Troy's season opener, and it's the kind of get-right game a program with Sun Belt title aspirations wants on the front end. The Trojans have won the Sun Belt West three times in the last four years, but 2025 wasn't pretty getting there — Troy finished last in the conference in total yards and 11th in scoring despite going 8-6 overall and 6-2 in league play. That mismatch between results and eye test is the whole story of Troy's offseason.

Sam Houston, meanwhile, is a program starting over. First-year coach Phil Longo inherited a roster gutted by the transfer portal and went 2-10 in his debut season, with the offense converting just 22.5% of third downs — worst in the country. The offseason plan wasn't flashy: patch the offensive line with reliable Group of Six transfers and upgrade skill spots with players plucked off Power Four rosters. Nobody's picking the Bearkats to contend, but the bar for progress is simply staying in more games — Sam Houston lost 9 of its 12 games by two scores or more last season.

Show fees
6:00 PM CT
Spread
ML
Total
SHSU Sam Houston
TROY Troy

The quarterback picture at Troy is still unsettled, which matters plenty for a Week 1 script. Tucker Kilcrease and Goose Crowder split time last season, with Crowder working through injuries before closing out the year as the starter — both threw for at least 1,300 yards and combined for 13 total touchdowns. New offensive coordinator Adam Austin arrives from Tarleton State, where his offense led the FCS in scoring, and how quickly that system clicks with whichever quarterback wins the job will say a lot about whether Troy's offense stops being its own bottleneck.

Troy also has real personnel to replace. Leading rusher Tae Meadows left for Auburn, leading receiver DJ Epps is off to West Virginia, and top guard Paul Bowling transferred to Florida State — three key losses on the side of the ball that already struggled in 2025. That's the tension of this opener: Troy is favored on name and recent conference success, but it's breaking in a new coordinator, a new-look skill group, and possibly a new starting quarterback, all against an opponent with far less proven talent but genuinely nothing to lose.

Sam Houston Bearkats
Sam Houston Bearkats
Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans
Recent form.

For Sam Houston, this is about survival and identity more than the scoreboard. A defense that added transfer corner Ishmel Atkins out of Elon — who reportedly turned heads in the spring game — gives Longo's staff a piece to build around, but replacing a full season's worth of results with a retooled two-deep takes time. Road trips to a program with Troy's recent pedigree are exactly the measuring-stick games this rebuild needs, win or lose.

Sam Houston Bearkats
Sam Houston Bearkats
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Troy Trojans
Troy Trojans
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Expect Troy to lean on whichever quarterback grabs the job coming out of camp and try to establish tempo early against a Sam Houston defense still finding its footing. If the Bearkats can hang around into the second half, that alone would be a data point in the right direction for a program that spent most of 2025 out of games by halftime.

CFBSam Houston BearkatsTroy TrojansPinnaclePolymarketKalshi