South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners

Oct 31, 20263:15 PM CTSEC NetworkNorman, OK
By JR·3 min read

TLDR: South Carolina has scored 27 or more in 4 of its last 5 games. Oklahoma has scored more than 23 just once in that stretch. Somebody's style gives on Saturday, October 31, when two 4-3 SEC teams meet in Norman.

SAT 10/31, 3:15 PM CT · Week 9SEC Network
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Two 4-3, unranked SEC teams with opposite profiles: a South Carolina offense that has scored 27 or more in 4 of its last 5 games, against an Oklahoma team that has won with defense and topped 23 points just once in that span. South Carolina comes in off a last-second field goal to beat Tennessee, and Oklahoma off a grind-it-out win at Mississippi State. The likely deciders are the Gamecocks' thin defensive line, Mateer's ball security and an early forecast of strong wind in Norman.

South Carolina Gamecocks
  • 27+ points in 4 of last 5 games
  • Allowed 19 and 24 in the 2-game win streak
  • Clutch kicking: 48-yarder beat Tennessee at the end
  • Gave up 41, 49 and 35 in a 3-game skid
  • DL thin: Stewart out, Brownlow-Dindy questionable
  • Top 2 WRs Sellers and Gibson out for the season
Oklahoma Sooners
  • Held Mississippi State to 15, the team that scored 41 on SC
  • Beat Texas 27-24 at home in October
  • Home game in Norman
  • 14 or fewer points in 3 of last 5
  • Lost 21-13 at home to Kentucky
  • WR Harris out, Thomas questionable

Oklahoma's season runs through John Mateer, and that hasn't always been comfortable. Brent Venables reportedly thought about benching his quarterback after turnovers piled up in the 41-13 loss at Georgia. Then the Sooners went out and beat Texas 27-24, which is about as good as a response gets in Norman. The offense still hasn't settled down. Oklahoma has scored 14, 13, 27, 13 and 23 over its last 5, and the 23-15 win at Mississippi State came with the defense doing most of the work again. This team wins ugly, and every week it asks Mateer not to lose the game.

South Carolina shows up playing the other kind of football. The Gamecocks have won 2 straight, and the latest was a 27-24 win over Tennessee settled by a 48-yard field goal with 2 seconds left. Before that they went to Florida and won 38-19. Points haven't been the hard part for this team. It put up 34 on both Mississippi State and Kentucky and lost both games anyway, because the defense gave up 41 and 35. Over the last 2 weeks the defense has held opponents to 19 and 24. The question is whether that's a real fix or just a softer schedule.

The opponents they share make it plain. Mississippi State scored 41 on South Carolina in Columbia. Oklahoma went to Starkville and held the same team to 15. Kentucky beat both of them, 35-34 in a shootout with the Gamecocks and 21-13 in a grinder with the Sooners. So you have an offense that will trade touchdowns against a defense that would rather the game never reach 40. Neither team is in the AP Top 25, and both are 4-3, so the loser falls to .500 with November coming.

10/24Wvs16Tennessee27-24
10/10W@17Florida38-19
10/03Lvs9Kentucky34-35
09/26L@10Alabama18-49
09/19LvsMississippi State34-41
10/24W@Mississippi State23-15
10/17Lvs9Kentucky13-21
10/10Wvs11Texas27-24
09/26L@3Georgia13-41
09/19WvsNew Mexico14-6

Look at the receivers on both sidelines. South Carolina lost J. Sellers and J. Gibson for the season back in August, and it is still scoring like this, which says a lot about whoever is catching the ball now. The bigger worry is the defensive line. D. Stewart is out with a back injury and has no timetable, and G. Brownlow-Dindy's upper-body injury left him questionable going back to the Florida week. That's a lot to ask of a front heading into a road game where the opponent wants to run the clock and shorten the game. Oklahoma has its own issues at receiver: T. Harris is out with a back injury and E. Thomas was questionable for the Mississippi State game. For an offense already short on big plays, that hurts.

Then there's the weather. The early forecast for Norman calls for 73 degrees, light drizzle, a 34% chance of rain and wind around 24 mph. A week out, that can change a lot. If it holds, though, it favors the team that's fine winning 20-13 over the team that needs 30, and it puts plenty of weight on a South Carolina kicker who just won a game from 48 yards. Both teams are 4-3, both lost to Kentucky, and both have a big win to point to: Oklahoma beat Texas, and the Gamecocks just took down Tennessee. Whoever gets the game played at their speed probably wins it.

South Carolina vs. Oklahoma: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 31) — South Carolina Brings Its Shootout Habit to Low-Scoring Norman