Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 14, 20262:00 PM CTESPNCollege Station, TX
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Tennessee is ranked No. 9 and still in the College Football Playoff race. Texas A&M is 1-5 in the SEC and needs a win to keep its bowl hopes alive. On Saturday, November 14, at Kyle Field, an Aggies team that moves the ball fine but can't score gets one more shot at an opponent that matters.

SAT 11/14, 2:00 PM CT · Week 11ESPN
Kickoff 65°10 mph

No. 9 Tennessee (7-2) visits a 4-5 Texas A&M team that's 1-5 in the SEC. The Vols' playoff case rests on a top-10 scoring defense and DeSean Bishop's 1,066 rushing yards, and they just beat Kentucky 34-6. A&M outgained South Carolina by a wide margin and still lost 17-9 without a touchdown, so this game likely turns on whether the Aggies can control the clock and finish drives against a defense that has shut down 2 top-6 opponents. The board has Tennessee as a small road favorite in a low-total game.

Tennessee Volunteers
  • Defense held No. 8 Kentucky to 6 points
  • Bishop: 1,066 rush yards, 13 touchdowns
  • 2 double-digit wins over top-6 teams
  • MacIntyre has thrown for only 853 yards, with 3 interceptions
  • Only loss in this stretch came on the road at South Carolina
Texas A&M Aggies
  • 457 yards against South Carolina's defense
  • Owens coming off a season-high 137 yards
  • Top-20 in time of possession, can shorten the game
  • Zero touchdowns on 457 yards against South Carolina
  • Reed: 8 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, 57% completions
  • 1-5 in the SEC, lost 2 straight

The quarterbacks don't look much alike on paper. Tennessee's George MacIntyre has thrown for only 853 yards with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, completing 66.7% of his passes, because he doesn't need to do much. DeSean Bishop carries this offense: 1,066 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns, for a running game that ranks 11th in FBS. Texas A&M's Marcel Reed has thrown for nearly twice as many yards, 1,641, but his 8 touchdowns come with 8 interceptions and a 57.0% completion rate. One quarterback is protected by his offense. The other has had to carry his.

Tennessee's defense is why the Vols are in the playoff conversation. It ranks 10th nationally in scoring defense and just took apart No. 8 Kentucky 34-6, with 8 tackles for loss and 3 forced turnovers. That gives Tennessee 2 wins over teams ranked in the top 6 at the time, both by double digits. Alabama was the other one, and the Vols beat them 26-10. The only blemish in this stretch is a 27-24 loss at South Carolina, and it's the reason Tennessee goes into November with no room for another slip.

Then there's A&M, which might be the most frustrating 4-5 team in the country. The Aggies outgained South Carolina with 457 yards, held a 9-7 lead going into the 4th quarter, and lost 17-9. They never reached the end zone. David Olano kicked 3 field goals, and LaNorris Sellers ended it with a 41-yard touchdown run with 1:19 left. Rueben Owens II ran for a season-high 137 yards on 19 carries, and the defense held the Gamecocks to 4-of-12 on third down. For most of that game A&M played well enough to win. It just couldn't finish drives.

11/07Wvs13Kentucky34-6
10/24L@20South Carolina24-27
10/17Wvs7Alabama26-10
10/10W@Arkansas24-17
10/03WvsAuburn24-14
11/07L@20South Carolina9-17
10/24L@7Alabama20-31
10/17WvsThe Citadel41-0
10/10L@Missouri6-27
10/03WvsArkansas34-7

Look at A&M's last 5 games and the pattern repeats: the Aggies have either blown somebody out or barely scored. They beat Arkansas 34-7 and The Citadel 41-0. In their 3 losses they scored 6 at Missouri, 20 at Alabama and 9 at South Carolina, and all 3 of those came on the road. Now they're back home, where the offense has looked like a different unit. A&M ranks 17th in FBS in time of possession at 32:26 per game, so its best plan is to run Owens, keep Bishop on the sideline and turn this into a short game.

That's the real matchup here. Tennessee has the better run game and the better defense, and both of those travel. A&M needs long drives and needs to turn them into touchdowns, which it couldn't do last time out. The early forecast for College Station is mostly sunny, around 69 degrees with a light wind, so weather shouldn't decide anything. Tennessee has more to lose. A&M has a home crowd and, if it can finish drives, the yardage to make this a game.

Free Picks
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Nov. 14) — Tennessee Brings Its Defense and Its Playoff Hopes to Kyle Field