Texas Longhorns at Tennessee Volunteers

Sep 26, 202611:00 AM CTKnoxville, TN
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Arch Manning and the top-ranked Longhorns take their unbeaten record into the loudest building in the SEC, where Tennessee will be breaking in a new quarterback for the fifth year running.

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The No. 1 Longhorns head to Knoxville off a signature comeback win over Ohio State and a shakier follow-up against UTSA, while Tennessee is suddenly breaking in a new starting quarterback after Joey Aguilar's eligibility was denied. The board favors Texas, but a real share of that price still reflects the Aguilar-era version of the Volunteers' offense.

Texas
  • No. 1 nationally after biggest comeback of Manning's career
  • Manning threw 4 TDs, 305 yards in season opener
  • Manning's own grade on UTSA win: 'not good enough'
  • Late-week distraction from joking Sarkisian-video comment
Tennessee
  • Offense averaged 39.8 points a game last season
  • Hosts in Neyland, one of the SEC's toughest venues
  • Lost starting QB Aguilar to a denied eligibility ruling
  • Handing the job to a new starter for a 5th straight year

Manning arrives with some noise attached to him — a joking comment about a doctored video of Steve Sarkisian went sideways enough that he had to apologize for it — but the football has mostly backed him up, headlined by the biggest comeback win of his career against Ohio State. Tennessee's answer at quarterback looks nothing like the one it had a couple weeks ago: Joey Aguilar was denied an extra year of eligibility and is now off to prepare for the NFL Combine, which hands the job to a new starter making his first real case in the sport's toughest building.

Neyland Stadium should be forecast-friendly on Saturday, September 26 — clear skies, 68 degrees, barely a breeze — so nothing about the elements figures to slow either offense down. That leaves the game to be decided by whether Tennessee's new quarterback can hold up against a Texas defense that just weathered, and survived, a slugfest with Ohio State. The DraftKings board treats Texas as the clear favorite here, but a chunk of that price was likely built on the version of Tennessee that still had Aguilar under center.

This isn't the first time Tennessee has had to replace a starter on short notice — it's the program's fifth different quarterback situation in as many seasons — and Neyland has bailed the Vols out before. Texas, for its part, has spent September proving it can survive without style points: a rout of Texas State, a wild comeback over Ohio State, then a business-like win over UTSA that had Manning himself grading it below standard.

09/20WvsUTSA30-6
09/12Wvs#7 Ohio State24-23
09/05WvsTexas State59-7
12/31Wvs#18 Michigan41-27
11/29Wvs#23 Texas A&M27-17
09/19WvsKennesaw State42-9
09/12W@Georgia Tech45-24
09/05WvsFurman56-9
12/30L@Illinois28-30
11/29LvsVanderbilt24-45

Texas's résumé through three games is about as loud as a résumé gets — the No. 1 ranking, the comeback over Ohio State, a 305-yard, 4-touchdown opener against Texas State. Manning wasn't nearly as sharp against UTSA, throwing for only 161 yards in a 30-6 win he later called "not good enough," which reads either as a perfectionist's gripe or a hint that the Ohio State performance flattered the group around him.

  • QuestionableD. McCutcheon (WR)McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against the UTSA on Saturday, September 19th.09/13
  • QuestionableT. Goosby (OG)Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the UTSA on Saturday, September 19th.09/13
  • QuestionableD. Cooper (RB)Cooper is hampered by a foot injury, and it is up in the air if he will kit up in the season opening clash against the UTSA on Saturday, September 19th.09/13
  • OutN. Townsend (TE)Townsend is hampered by a knee injury, and he is unlikely to suit up against UTSA on Saturday, September 19th.09/18
  • QuestionableJ. Baker (RB)Baker is nursing with a hand injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Texas on Saturday.09/20
  • QuestionableJ. Gordon (RB)Gordon is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Texas on Saturday.09/20
  • OutJ. Harmon (LB)Harmon has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to ACL tear.09/07

Tennessee's headline injury is really a quarterback swap: Aguilar, who threw for 3,565 yards and 24 touchdowns behind an offense that averaged 39.8 points a game a season ago, won't play another down for the Volunteers. Whoever replaces him walks into a home game against the No. 1 team in the country, in front of the loudest crowd he'll see all year, with almost no margin for the kind of shaky half that got Manning through against UTSA.

Both programs are treating this as one of their bigger tests of the young season, even if the Polymarket room around the game has stayed quiet so far with six days still on the clock. That figures to change fast — a ranked SEC matchup at Neyland with a new quarterback under center is exactly the kind of game that fills up in the final 48 hours.

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Texas Longhorns at Tennessee Volunteers — No. 1 Texas Rolls Into Neyland to Face a Tennessee Team Starting Over at QB | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush