Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers

Nov 7, 20269:30 PM CTCWCorvallis, OR
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Both of these teams are coming off a gut-punch on Halloween night. Texas State nearly erased a 25-point hole at No. 20 Boise State, and Oregon State gave the ball away and fell apart at Fresno, so Saturday, November 7 at Reser Stadium is about which group shows up angry.

FINAL · SUN NOV 8, 3:30 AMCW
42
21
Final1Q2Q3Q4QT
TXST
14771442
ORST
7001421
Buzz #29Kickoff 57°

Texas State (4-4) visits Oregon State (5-3) with both teams coming off Halloween losses: the Bobcats came back from 25 down at No. 20 Boise State and still lost by 1, and the Beavers turned it over in a 38-22 loss at Fresno State that ended a 5-game winning streak. The game probably comes down to whether Oregon State cleans up the fumbles and protects Braden Atkinson, and whether Texas State's defense can stop anybody before the Bobcats fall behind again. Oregon State is favored by less than a touchdown on a high total, with rain in the Corvallis forecast and a questionable defensive tackle on the Beavers' report.

Texas State Bobcats
  • Brad Jackson threw 327 yards, 4 TDs at Boise
  • Scored 36 straight on a ranked team on the road
  • OSU DT Tevita Pome'e questionable for Saturday
  • Fell behind Boise 28-3 by halftime
  • Gave up 3 TDs in the last 7 minutes
  • Lost 29-31 at SDSU, a team Oregon State beat 66-14
Oregon State Beavers
  • Won 5 straight before Fresno
  • Beat SDSU 66-14 and Washington State 48-30 at Reser
  • Atkinson threw for 373 yards even on a bad night
  • Lost 2 fumbles and took 5 sacks at Fresno
  • Gave up 191 rushing yards to Fresno
  • Pome'e and WR Eddie Freauff listed questionable

It starts at quarterback, and both of them can sling it. Brad Jackson threw for 327 yards and 4 touchdowns in Boise and nearly pulled off the upset of the weekend in the Pac-12. Braden Atkinson put up 373 yards at Fresno, but it took him 59 attempts, he completed a season-low 56%, and he spent the night getting hit. When a quarterback throws that much, it's usually because nothing else was working.

Oregon State hurt itself more than Fresno State did. The Beavers lost 2 fumbles, came up empty on 3 fourth downs, took 5 sacks and scored their fewest points of the season. Before that, they had won 5 straight. The defense was just as bad. Fresno ran for 191 yards, including a 65-yard touchdown from Bryson Donelson. Coming home to Reser should help, but the Beavers have a week of film to fix.

Texas State's loss was stranger. The Bobcats trailed 28-3 at halftime on the blue turf, then scored 36 straight points, 22 of them in the third quarter, and still lost 46-45 after Boise's backup quarterback threw 3 touchdown passes in the last 7 minutes. That tells you 2 things. The offense can score in a hurry against anyone, and the defense can give it right back.

11/01L@17Boise State45-46
10/24WvsUtah State20-17
10/16WvsColorado State66-27
10/04L@San Diego State29-31
09/26WvsIncarnate Word63-10
11/01L@Fresno State22-38
10/17WvsWashington State48-30
10/10WvsSan Diego State66-14
10/03W@Colorado State56-26
09/27W@UTEP33-7

These 2 have played 2 common opponents, and the results don't line up. Both beat Colorado State easily: Texas State won 66-27 at home and Oregon State won 56-26 on the road. San Diego State is where they split. The Bobcats lost 29-31 out there, and the Beavers beat the Aztecs 66-14 in Corvallis. Oregon State has looked more complete over the full season, while Texas State has played a lot of close games.

Texas State's injury report is mostly tight ends, carried over from mid-October. Oregon State's isn't clean anymore. Defensive tackle Tevita Pome'e and receiver Eddie Freauff were both questionable on the Beavers' first availability report of the week, and losing an interior lineman is a real problem against an offense that just put 45 on Boise. The forecast changed too. It's now 57 degrees with rain, an 82% chance of precipitation and a 5 mph wind, so 2 offenses that like to throw will be doing it with a wet ball. Both teams want to get the taste of Halloween out of their mouths, and in a game with offenses this explosive, the defense that holds up a little better probably wins it.

Free Picks
Texas State 42, Oregon State 21: Final Score & Odds Recap — Texas State Brings Its Fourth-Quarter Chaos to Corvallis