Texas Tech Red Raiders at Cincinnati Bearcats

Oct 24, 202611:00 AM CTFS1Cincinnati, OH
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: No. 10 Texas Tech has won 5 straight and holds a school-record 8 consecutive regular-season Big 12 wins. Saturday, October 24 at Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati gets its shot at the reigning champs after back-to-back losses.

SAT 10/24, 11:00 AM CT · Week 8FS1
Kickoff 65°

No. 10 Texas Tech (6-0, 3-0 Big 12) visits Cincinnati (4-2, 1-2) after a 53-25 rout of Arizona State. The Bearcats have lost 2 straight, most recently 45-42 at West Virginia, where they gave up 464 passing yards and a last-second field goal. The game turns on whether a Cincinnati defense that has struggled against good offenses can slow a balanced Red Raiders attack that keeps scoring with J'Koby Williams carrying the load. No betting board is posted yet.

Texas Tech Red Raiders
  • Scored on last 7 first-half drives vs Arizona State
  • J'Koby Williams ran for career-high 165 yards
  • Defense held Colorado to 7, scored a pick-six vs ASU
  • RB C. Dickey out, ankle, no timetable
  • WR D. Lee Jr. listed out, undisclosed
  • Needed a 2-point escape vs Houston
Cincinnati Bearcats
  • JC French IV: career-high 389 yards, 4 total TDs
  • Back home at Nippert, where they're unbeaten this year
  • Clean injury report
  • Allowed 464 passing yards at West Virginia
  • Lost 2 straight, both on the road
  • Scored only 7 in the 34-7 loss at Arizona

The quarterback matchup carries this one. Will Hammond has run the Red Raiders' offense without fuss: he went 18-of-26 for 232 yards with a touchdown pass to Coy Eakin and a 9-yard score on the ground in the 53-25 win over Arizona State. On the other side, JC French IV just had the best day of his career. He threw for 389 yards and accounted for 4 touchdowns at West Virginia, and Cincinnati still lost.

That loss is the problem in Cincinnati. The Bearcats led most of the day in Morgantown, and West Virginia never went ahead until Jack Cassidy's field goal at the gun. Mike Hawkins threw for 464 yards against them, ran for 2 scores and drove 82 yards in 8 plays from his own 1. That last drive came after Max Fletcher's 66-yard punt had pinned the Mountaineers with 2:05 left. A defense that can't get a stop in that spot is not the one you want to bring into a game with a top-10 offense. No board is posted on this one yet.

Texas Tech's last game looked like a team that knows it's good. The Red Raiders scored on their last 7 drives of the first half against Arizona State, 4 touchdowns and 3 field goals, and went to the locker room up 43-10. That was a matchup of the past 2 Big 12 champions, and only one of them looked like a champion.

10/17WvsArizona State53-25
10/03W@Colorado29-7
09/26WvsSam Houston49-14
09/19Wvs14Houston28-26
09/12W@Oregon State35-24
10/17L@West Virginia42-45
10/04L@25Arizona7-34
09/26WvsKansas State31-26
09/19WvsMiami (OH)35-31
09/12WvsWestern Carolina62-10

Look at both schedules and the profiles split clearly. Tech's defense held Colorado to 7, and Ben Roberts took an interception back 24 yards for a touchdown against Arizona State. The one scare was a 28-26 escape against Houston. Cincinnati's 4-2 is built on 3 home wins in September, 2 of them by 5 points or fewer, and the Bearcats have dropped both conference road trips since: 34-7 at Arizona, then the shootout loss in Morgantown. Coming home to Nippert helps. Through 6 games, though, this defense hasn't shown it can hold up against a real offense.

Tech's backfield is the thing to watch on the injury front. Running back C. Dickey is out with a sprained ankle and no timetable, but J'Koby Williams has made that easier to absorb. He fumbled early against Arizona State, then ran for a career-high 165 yards and 2 long touchdowns. Receiver D. Lee Jr. is also listed out with an undisclosed injury, so Hammond is short a target. Cincinnati's report is clean right now, which means any fix for that defense has to come from the scheme, not from players coming back.

The forecast says 68 degrees, clear skies and a 4 mph wind for the noon kickoff window, so weather gives neither offense an excuse. Cincinnati needs French to repeat the West Virginia game and the defense to find stops it couldn't find a week earlier. Texas Tech only needs to play like it has all season.

Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 24) — Unbeaten Texas Tech Brings Its Big 12 Machine to Nippert · Barstool Bush