Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Nov 14, 20268:30 PM CTESPNStillwater, OK
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: No. 10 Texas Tech is 8-1 and back in the top 10, and the book still has it as the underdog in Stillwater. Oklahoma State is 6-3, has hung 66 on Kansas State, and has the home crowd for the Red Raiders' November test.

SAT 11/14, 8:30 PM CT · Week 11ESPN
Kickoff 49°

No. 10 Texas Tech (8-1, 5-1 Big 12) goes to Stillwater to face 6-3 Oklahoma State, and both offenses are coming off huge games: Castellanos threw 5 touchdowns against West Virginia and Mestemaker and Hawkins combined for 9 total touchdowns against Kansas State. Oklahoma State has been strong at home, with both of its recent losses coming on the road by 1 score, while Texas Tech's defense gave up 48 and 37 in 2 of its last 4 games. The board has the unranked home team favored and a total in the 70s, which tells you how much scoring everyone expects.

Texas Tech Red Raiders
  • Castellanos: career-high 5 TD passes vs West Virginia
  • Season-high 638 yards of offense last time out
  • Won 29-7 at Colorado on the road
  • Gave up 48 to West Virginia at home
  • Allowed 37 in road loss at Cincinnati
  • Needed onside recovery to close out WVU
Oklahoma State Cowboys
  • Mestemaker: 4 TD passes, 313 yards vs K-State
  • Hawkins: 175 rush yards, 4 total TDs
  • Won home games by 14 and 33
  • Allowed 51 in loss at Iowa State
  • Dropped 2 of last 3 road games
  • Unranked; 2 of last 4 were 1-score losses

Saturday, November 14 comes down to 2 quarterbacks who just had career nights. Thomas Castellanos threw for a career-high 5 touchdowns in Texas Tech's 53-48 escape against West Virginia, including the go-ahead score to Kenny Johnson with 2:44 left, and accounted for 464 all-purpose yards. Over in Manhattan, Drew Mestemaker went 22-of-28 for 313 yards and 4 touchdown passes, then ran 1 in and caught 1 more for good measure in the 66-28 win over Kansas State. Either one could take this game over.

The Cowboys also have Caleb Hawkins, who took K-State apart for 175 rushing yards and 3 scores on 20 carries, plus 6 catches for 71 yards and a fourth touchdown. That's the problem for a Texas Tech defense that has just given up 48 to West Virginia and 37 to Cincinnati in the Red Raiders' only loss of the season. Tech's offense is clearly good. The open question is whether its defense can get a stop when it needs one, and the oddsmakers seem to share that doubt, since the ranked team is the one getting points.

Neither team has another game first, so what they showed on November 7 is the freshest look we'll get. Texas Tech piled up a season-high 638 yards against West Virginia, and the 2 teams combined for 1,220 yards, 894 of them before halftime. The Red Raiders still needed a 12-point fourth-quarter rally, a safety and a recovered onside kick to hold on at home. A team that's 8-1 shouldn't be needing an onside kick to beat West Virginia in its own building.

11/08WvsWest Virginia53-48
10/31Wvs22Arizona34-26
10/24L@Cincinnati24-37
10/17WvsArizona State53-25
10/03W@Colorado29-7
11/07W@Kansas State66-28
10/31L@Iowa State49-51
10/24WvsColorado57-24
10/17L@14Houston32-35
10/10WvsUCF42-28

Oklahoma State's season comes down to home versus road. In Stillwater the Cowboys beat UCF 42-28 and Colorado 57-24. Their 2 recent losses both came on the road and both by 1 score: 32-35 at Houston and 49-51 at Iowa State. Saturday is at Boone Pickens Stadium. Texas Tech has played well away from Lubbock too, though. It won 29-7 at Colorado, and the 37-24 loss came at Cincinnati.

The early forecast for Stillwater is 51 degrees, mostly sunny, 12 mph wind and no rain. That's 5 days out and could change, but it's a fine night to throw it around. The stakes are clear. Texas Tech is 5-1 in the Big 12 and in the race. Oklahoma State is 4-2 and needs this one to stay relevant. Both offenses have looked unstoppable lately and both defenses have been easy to score on, so expect a lot of points.

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