Weather is worth watching. The early forecast for Muncie is 67 degrees with light drizzle, a 31% chance of rain and wind around 4 mph. That's nowhere near a washout, and the wind is too light to affect the kicking game. Still, a wet ball in an outdoor MAC stadium usually means more handoffs and fewer deep shots, and that forecast has 6 days to change.
Central Connecticut63-10
For Toledo, the question is how well it travels. A month of home games is a comfortable routine, and conference road games in October are where MAC contenders prove themselves. The Rockets played 3 straight at home, so they should be fresh. That fits with them being priced as the clearly better team.
For Ball State, the 41-point home opener is the argument. The Cardinals can score at Scheumann when the matchup allows it. The catch is that Stony Brook is an FCS team, and the rest of Ball State's September came against far better competition on the road. Toledo is somewhere in between: better than Stony Brook, and nowhere near Ohio State. Where the Rockets fall in that range decides whether this is a game in the second half or just a MAC Saturday that's over early.
No pick markets are open on this one yet. The case for both teams is below, and the takes will post when the board opens.