The matchup is a contrast in styles. Toledo had been scoring at a high rate until one bad afternoon. Eastern Michigan has been winning lower-scoring games: 29-3 over Lindenwood, then the Akron game, where 25 points was enough. If the Eagles can keep the game in the 20s, they've shown they can win it late.
Central Connecticut63-10
Lindenwood29-3
For Toledo, the Buffalo loss is more about ball security than scheme. You don't score 39 or more in 4 straight weeks by accident. You do lose to a MAC team by 15 when you give it the ball 3 times and let its running back break an 87-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter, which is what Messiah Burch did. Both problems are fixable in a week, and both will show up again if they aren't. Toledo is 1-1 in conference play, so dropping a second league game in 8 days would put a real dent in its MAC hopes.
The early forecast for Ypsilanti is in the high 40s with light drizzle and wind around 14 mph. A week out, that can change. If it holds, it makes the passing game harder, which matters for a Toledo offense that has to bounce back from a game where its quarterback threw 35 times and got 203 yards out of it. Eastern Michigan has the home crowd and the 3-game streak. Toledo has the more productive season. Neither team is ranked, but this one should help settle the MAC standings.