Tulane Green Wave at Army Black Knights

Oct 10, 202611:00 AM CTCBSSNWest Point, NY
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Tulane and Army are both 2-2, and neither has looked like a team that settles games early. Saturday, October 10 at Michie Stadium is Tulane's conference opener, and Army needs a win after watching Louisiana Tech hit big play after big play in Ruston.

Week 6 · 10/10, 11:00 AM CTCBSSN
LWLW
Kickoff64°

Tulane and Army meet as 2-2 teams, with Tulane opening league play and Army 1-1 in the conference after a 31-29 loss at Louisiana Tech in which it gave up 501 yards and several long touchdowns. Tulane's offense runs through Maurice Turner, who had 200 rushing yards against Southern Miss, while RB J. McClure is out and WR Z. Lewis Jr. is questionable. Tulane also gets 2 weeks to prepare for Army's option. The likely deciding factor is whether Army's defense stops giving up chunk plays.

Tulane Green Wave
  • Maurice Turner ran for 200 and 2 TDs last out
  • 2 weeks to prepare for the option
  • Blocked late field goal shows special-teams bite
  • Semonza threw for only 129 yards vs Southern Miss
  • McClure out, Lewis Jr. questionable thins skill group
  • 0-2 on the road this season
Army Black Knights
  • Samari Howard averaged 13+ yards a carry at La Tech
  • 270 rushing yards, 431 total at Louisiana Tech
  • Home at Michie after a road trip
  • Gave up 72- and 74-yard TDs at Louisiana Tech
  • Scored on only 4 drives despite 431 yards
  • WR B. Mott still listed out

Army's loss at Louisiana Tech was a 2-point game, but the numbers show a bigger problem. The Black Knights put up 431 yards, 270 of them on the ground, and scored on only 4 drives. The defense then gave up 501 yards, including a 72-yard touchdown run and a 74-yard scoring pass off a trick play. Jeff Monken was blunt about it afterward: "We've just got to play better, assignments and fundamentals... We gave up some big plays." Tulane will have watched that tape closely.

That's because Tulane's offense right now is mostly Maurice Turner. He ran for 200 yards and 2 touchdowns against Southern Miss, and his 74-yard run with 5:26 left won the Battle for the Bell 24-21. Turner is carrying the load with J. McClure out with a foot injury and no timetable to return. Through the air there's less to go on. Kadin Semonza threw for 129 yards in that game, and most of that came on a single 47-yard touchdown to Anthony Brown-Stephens. Z. Lewis Jr. is questionable with a leg injury, so the receiver group could be thinner still.

The board hasn't posted a full number on this one yet. Before it does, the matchup is easy to describe: Army's run game against a Tulane defense that has given up 17, 24, 31 and 21, and Tulane's one proven big-play threat against an Army defense that just leaked chunk plays all night.

Army's offense isn't the problem. Samari Howard ran for 158 yards on 12 carries in Ruston, which is more than 13 yards a touch. Cale Hellums went 12-for-24 for 161 yards and found Brady Anderson 4 times for 79. Army moved the ball fine. The trouble was finishing drives, and an option team that leaves points on the field can't afford to also give up 70-yard plays.

09/26WvsSouthern Miss24-21
09/19L@Kansas State20-31
09/12WvsSouth Alabama28-24
09/05L@Duke3-17
10/03L@Louisiana Tech29-31
09/25W@Temple21-17
09/12LvsSouth Florida24-28
09/05WvsBryant59-3

Tulane's season has gone back and forth. The Green Wave scored 3 points at Duke and fell behind late at home against Southern Miss before rallying, and that win still needed TJ Smith to block a short field goal with 1:45 left. Those are the kinds of games you survive, not the kind you control. Tulane has played 2 Power 4 road games and lost both, by 14 at Duke and by 11 at Kansas State. This is its first true road test against a peer.

There's also a schedule difference. Tulane hasn't played since September 26, so it will have had 2 weeks to prepare for the option, and there isn't much in college football you'd rather have 2 weeks for. Army comes home on a normal week after the trip to Louisiana, sitting 1-1 in league play with WR B. Mott still listed out. The forecast calls for 65 degrees, clear skies and almost no wind. Expect a game decided by whichever defense gives up fewer explosive plays.

Tulane Green Wave at Army Black Knights — Tulane Opens League Play With a Trip to West Point | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush