Memphis has a clear résumé. The Tigers won at UNLV 27-21, scored 40-plus at home against Arkansas State and UT Martin, then flattened Charlotte. The one loss is the blemish: 38-20 at Boise State, the only time they played a team that could match them, and they couldn't.
UT Martin45-21UAB is 3-2 and has won 2 straight. The Navy win, 24-20 in Birmingham, is what gave the Blazers their 1-0 American record, and they beat Samford 33-14 after that. Away from home is where it has gone wrong: 42-23 at Illinois and 21-14 at Louisiana. Their 2 road losses were their only road games, and Memphis is a bigger test than either of those opponents was.
The Charlotte score needs some context. The 49ers are 0-5, so 59-8 tells you Memphis took care of a bad team, not that it's a juggernaut. Still, Jermane Hayes went for 163 yards on 6 catches, and the defense forced 4 turnovers. Memphis' defense handing a short field to an offense that's already producing is exactly what UAB can't allow if it wants to keep this close.
The early forecast is 85 degrees and cloudy with light wind, which is warm for a noon-hour game in October. For UAB, everything comes down to the Grantham defense keeping Stokes in check long enough for an offense that likes the low 20s to stay in it. For Memphis, it's simple: do what they've done at home all year and turn this into a shootout UAB isn't built to win.













