Utah State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats

Two Pac-12 Newcomers Collide in a Preview of the Future

By Pablo SanchezUpdated 5d ago·2 min read
Utah State AggiesUSU
Texas State BobcatsTXST
AT
6:30 PM CT
Bush’s Picks
USUTXST
USUTXST
OverUnder
Best BetTexas State

Texas State brings back its entire offensive engine — Jackson, Sparks, Dawn, Burrell — while Utah State is trusting a brand-new starting quarterback and a retooled offensive line. That continuity gap is real, and it's why the Bobcats look like the safer moneyline play in a game with no track record between these two.

Utah State
  • Offense ranked 2nd in Mountain West at 30.9 PPG
  • New OC Anae is a proven Mendenhall collaborator
  • RB Javen Jacobs averaged 6.6 yards per carry
  • Brand-new starting QB with limited college snaps
  • Defense couldn't stop anyone in 2025
  • Heavy reliance on transfers for immediate roles
Texas State
  • Kept its entire offensive core through the portal
  • Bowl MVP QB Brad Jackson returns
  • Won 7 of last 8 games including bowl blowout
  • New defensive coordinator still installing scheme
  • No Pac-12 track record either
  • CFN projects a modest 5-7 season

This is the first year either program has ever played a down in the Pac-12, so there's no history here — just two teams trying to prove they belong. Texas State comes in with more continuity after going 7-6 and closing 2025 with a 41-10 rout of Rice in the Armed Forces Bowl. Utah State finished 6-13 back... actually 6-7 under first-year coach Bronco Mendenhall, capping the year with a bowl loss to Washington State.

Utah State's biggest offseason storyline is behind center. BYU transfer McCae Hillstead was named the Aggies' starter in April after beating out fellow transfer Grady Brosterhous, and Mendenhall called the quarterback room the program's strongest position group this spring. Texas State didn't have to sort through any of that drama — Brad Jackson, who threw for over 4,000 total yards and scored 20 total touchdowns last season, is back and was the bowl MVP against Rice.

Retention was the story of Texas State's offseason. Keeping Jackson, receivers Beau Sparks and Chris Dawn Jr., and running back Greg Burrell (671 rushing yards in 2025) together instead of losing them to the portal was one of the better transfer-window wins for any Group of Five program anywhere. Utah State, by contrast, is leaning on transfers to fill holes and installing new offensive coordinator Robert Anae, a familiar face from Mendenhall's BYU and Virginia days — but it's still a retool, not a return of a finished product.

Where Utah State separated itself last year was on offense — the Aggies ranked second in the Mountain West at 30.9 points per game — but the defense couldn't get off the field, and that's the swing factor heading into this one. Texas State brought in a new defensive coordinator in Will Windham to try to build on a 7-6 season that flashed real upside. Neither defense is a finished product, which sets up a matchup that could come down to whoever's offense holds up longer.

Utah State Aggies
Utah State Aggies
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.

Both programs are chasing the same goal — proving their move to the new-look Pac-12 wasn't a mistake — and a head-to-head like this one is exactly the kind of game that shapes how each fan base feels about the conference jump by November.

CFBUtah State AggiesTexas State BobcatsPinnaclePolymarketKalshi