UTSA Roadrunners at Florida Atlantic Owls

Nov 5, 20266:30 PM CTESPNBoca Raton, FL
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: UTSA is 4-0 in American play and has won 5 straight. Florida Atlantic just put up 41 in Denton and still lost. Thursday, November 5 in Boca Raton looks like a game where both offenses will score a lot.

THU 11/05, 6:30 PM CT · Week 10ESPN
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UTSA has won 5 straight, is 4-0 in the American, and goes to Boca Raton on extra rest. Its defense is the best unit in this game, even with McCown's turnovers and Donnell out for the season. Florida Atlantic's air raid has topped 40 points in 4 of its last 5 games, but its defense has allowed 48 or more 3 times in that span. The game likely comes down to whether UTSA can slow Veltkamp enough to win a shootout.

UTSA Roadrunners
  • 5 straight wins, 4-0 in American play
  • Held Rice to 14; FAU gave up 49
  • 12 days of rest vs FAU's normal week
  • McCown threw 2 INTs, including a pick-6, at Tulane
  • RB Donnell likely out for the season
  • 3 of the 5 wins came by 7 points or fewer
Florida Atlantic Owls
  • Air raid has scored 41+ in 4 of last 5
  • Covered as a double-digit dog at North Texas
  • Home in Boca after back-to-back road losses
  • Allowed 56, 49 and 48 in 3 of last 4
  • Needed 51 points to beat Rice by 2
  • Normal week after a Thursday road game

Start with the UTSA quarterback, because the Roadrunners' season runs through Owen McCown, mistakes included. In the 42-19 win at Tulane he went 16-of-23 for 173 yards, scored on a 4-yard run and threw 2 interceptions. One of them went back 22 yards for a Tulane touchdown on the first snap of the game. UTSA won by 23 anyway. That says a lot about this team right now: it can give away 7 points on the opening play and still not be in danger.

The run game is the other half of it. B. Donnell has been out since early October with an undisclosed injury and is expected to miss the rest of the season, so the carries have gone elsewhere. A'Marion Peterson scored 2 first-quarter touchdowns at Tulane, and UTSA ran for 5 scores in that game. Losing a back hasn't slowed the ground game much. Florida Atlantic has been easy to run on lately, which brings us to the defense.

Florida Atlantic runs an air raid with Caden Veltkamp throwing it, and the offense is real: 45 at UL Monroe, 66 against Texas Southern, 51 against Rice, 41 at North Texas. The Owls went into Denton as a double-digit underdog against one of the highest-scoring teams in the country and kept it to a 1-score game. The problem is what the defense has given up over the same stretch: 56 at Army, 49 to Rice, 48 to North Texas. When FAU wins, it usually needs to outscore people.

10/25W@Tulane42-19
10/18WvsNavy38-34
10/08WvsSouth Florida31-24
10/03W@Rice16-14
09/26WvsColorado State59-45
10/29L@North Texas41-48
10/24WvsRice51-49
10/17L@Army24-56
10/03WvsTexas Southern66-10
09/27W@UL Monroe45-17

UTSA's streak looks a little softer when you go through the scores. The Roadrunners beat Rice 16-14, Navy 38-34 and South Florida by 7, and gave up 45 to Colorado State in a 59-45 game. The Tulane blowout is their most complete win of the run. Before that, they were winning close games, not running teams off the field. Rice is the one opponent both teams have played. UTSA held Rice to 14 on the road, while FAU needed 51 points to beat Rice by 2 at home. On paper, UTSA has the much better defense.

The schedule helps UTSA. The Roadrunners last played at Tulane and get 12 days to prepare. FAU gets a normal week after a Thursday night game in Denton. The early forecast for Boca is 82 degrees, clear skies and 14 mph wind. A week out, that's worth checking again, not something to bank on. The stakes are simple. UTSA and North Texas came into the week as the only teams unbeaten in American play, and the Roadrunners have to win games like this one to keep that going. FAU is 2-2 in the league and needs a win over a team in the race.

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