UTSA Roadrunners at Tulane Green Wave

Oct 24, 20267:00 PM CTESPNUNew Orleans, LA
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: UTSA is 3-0 in the American and has made a habit of winning shootouts. Tulane is 3-3, just forced 6 turnovers against Memphis, and gets this one at home on Saturday, October 24.

SAT 10/24, 7:00 PM CT · Week 8ESPNU
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UTSA (6-1, 3-0 American) travels to Tulane (3-3, 1-1) with an offense that has won shootouts against Colorado State and Navy and a defense that has leaked points at home. Tulane is coming off a 6-turnover defensive win over Memphis, but with a freshman quarterback, RB J. McClure out and its TE questionable, the Green Wave need their defense to keep the score down. No betting board is posted yet.

UTSA Roadrunners
  • 3-0 in the American, conference wins all one-score or better
  • Offense hung 59 on Colorado State, 38 on Navy
  • Has closed out tight ones: 16-14 Rice, 38-34 Navy
  • Allowed 45 and 34 in 2 of last 3 home games
  • RB B. Donnell likely out for the season
  • Managed 6 points in its one game against a strong opponent (Texas)
Tulane Green Wave
  • Forced 6 turnovers, pick-six against Memphis
  • Defense held 4 of last 5 to 24 or fewer
  • At home, with 1 more day of rest than UTSA

The quarterback question sits on Tulane's side. Freshman Trace Johnson made his first college start against Memphis and went 11-of-21 for 165 yards with a touchdown and an interception. That's a decent line for a first start, but it isn't the reason Tulane won. Whether he gets the job again for UTSA is the first thing to watch this week, and it shapes how much the Green Wave can do with the ball.

The Memphis win came from the defense. Tulane forced 6 turnovers, and TJ Smith ended the first half by returning an interception 76 yards for a touchdown. Johnnie Daniels put it away with a 48-yard run on fourth-and-1 with 1:34 left. Take away the pick-six and the offense looks a lot like the group that scored 17 at Army and 20 at Kansas State. It's also thin at the skill spots. RB J. McClure is out with a foot injury and has no timetable, and TE T. Thompson is questionable with a toe injury. No board is posted for this one yet.

UTSA is the other kind of team. The Roadrunners have won 4 straight as of this week and sit at 6-1. Their only loss was a 6-30 beating at Texas, and since then they've won by outscoring people. They dropped 59 on Colorado State and still gave up 45. Against Navy they fell behind 7-0 after the first quarter, led 21-13 at the half and finished it 38-34 after a 14-14 fourth quarter. Not every win was a shootout, though. They also beat Rice 16-14.

10/18WvsNavy38-34
10/08WvsSouth Florida31-24
10/03W@Rice16-14
09/26WvsColorado State59-45
09/20L@19Texas6-30
10/16WvsMemphis31-17
10/10L@Army17-20
09/26WvsSouthern Miss24-21
09/19L@Kansas State20-31
09/12WvsSouth Alabama28-24

This game comes down to Tulane's defense against UTSA's ability to score in bunches. The Roadrunners have allowed 34 or more in 2 of their last 3 home games. Tulane's defense has held 4 of its last 5 opponents to 24 or fewer. Tulane's games have been tight too: 28-24 over South Alabama, 24-21 over Southern Miss, a 17-20 loss at Army. If the Green Wave can keep this in the low 20s, it plays the way they want.

UTSA has its own hole in the backfield. RB B. Donnell has been out with an undisclosed injury and is likely done for the season, and the offense has kept scoring without him. Tulane's run game without McClure has been less steady, so the Green Wave need short fields from their defense more than UTSA does. Early forecasts call for clear skies around 75 degrees with a 12 mph breeze in New Orleans, but that's a week out and could change.

The stakes are simple. UTSA can stay unbeaten in conference play and keep its grip on the top of the American. Tulane is at 1-1 in the league and can't afford a second conference loss at home. One team forces turnovers and the other team scores a lot, and the outcome probably turns on which of those shows up.

UTSA vs. Tulane: Polymarket Odds & Prediction (Oct. 24) — UTSA Brings a Perfect Conference Mark Into Yulman Stadium · Barstool Bush