Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs

Nov 14, 202611:00 AM CTESPN,Disney+Dallas, TX
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: No. 14 Wake Forest has spent a month burying people, and SMU has spent it hanging 50 on the ACC at home. The question for Saturday, November 14 is which Wake Forest quarterback gets off the bus in Dallas.

SAT 11/14, 11:00 AM CT · Week 11ESPNDisney+
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Kickoff 57°12 mph

No. 14 Wake Forest (8-1, 5-1 ACC) visits SMU (7-2, 5-2) after a 5-game run of blowouts, mostly against the bottom of the ACC plus an FCS opponent. The game turns on Gio Lopez's right knee: if he can't go, backup Steele Pizzella, fresh off a record-setting half against Merrimack, gets his first real test against Kevin Jennings and an SMU offense that just scored on 8 straight drives. Wake opens as a modest road favorite.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
  • Allowed 7 or fewer in 4 of last 5
  • Pizzella threw 432 yards in 1 half vs Merrimack
  • Beat common foes Virginia, Cal by far wider margins
  • Lopez's right knee unresolved after missing Merrimack
  • Recent run came mostly vs ACC bottom feeders, FCS
  • Short week plus travel for a late-morning road start
SMU Mustangs
  • Jennings: 350 yards, 4 TDs vs Virginia Tech
  • Scored on first 8 drives, season-high 569 yards
  • Extra day of rest off a Friday game

It starts under center. Gio Lopez hurt his right knee in the 51-7 win over Virginia and didn't suit up against Merrimack. Per the ACC's own write-up, he hopes to be back for the trip to SMU, which opens a run of 3 straight ACC games. If he can't go, it's Steele Pizzella, who just threw for 432 yards and 3 touchdowns in 1 half and accounted for 495 yards before the backups took over. That is a backup with real tape, but it's tape against an FCS defense. Doing it against an ACC defense in Dallas would be a different job.

SMU's quarterback situation needs no updates. Kevin Jennings threw for 350 yards and 4 touchdowns in the 51-28 win over Virginia Tech, 3 of them to Yamir Knight, and the Mustangs scored on each of their first 8 drives on the way to a season-high 569 yards. One thing to watch: the Hokies still got 123 rushing yards and 2 scores out of Jeffrey Overton. The book has Wake Forest as a modest road favorite, which is a vote for the Deacs' month and a lot of trust in whoever plays quarterback.

The schedules give SMU a small edge in rest. The Mustangs played Virginia Tech on a Friday night, so they get an extra day before kickoff, while Wake Forest turns around off a Saturday game and flies to Texas for a late-morning start. That won't decide a game on its own, but it adds to a week where Wake's biggest question is health.

11/07WvsMerrimack77-0
10/31WvsVirginia51-7
10/18W@California41-7
10/10W@NC State38-14
10/03WvsStanford57-3
11/07WvsVirginia Tech51-28
10/31L@Syracuse27-30
10/24WvsCalifornia59-20
10/17WvsVirginia23-13
10/03WvsBoston College25-16

Wake Forest's form is ridiculous: 5-0 in the last 5, 264 points scored and 31 allowed. No opponent in that run got past 14. Look at who was on the schedule, though. Stanford, Cal, Virginia and an FCS team make up 4 of the 5. The one game in that stretch against a defense that could push back was a 38-14 win at NC State, which is solid but not a blowout. SMU's offense will be the best the Deacs have seen in more than a month.

There are 2 common opponents, and they mostly favor Wake. The Deacs beat Virginia by 44 and won at Cal 41-7. SMU beat Virginia 23-13 and Cal 59-20, both at home. The Mustangs' early-October home wins over Boston College and Virginia were grinders, and their only loss in the stretch was a 30-27 decision at Syracuse. Their recent run looks more like a team that found its offense mid-season than one that's been dominant all year, and they have Jennings throwing like it right now.

The forecast in Dallas is clear and about 61 degrees with a light 10 mph wind, so weather won't give either offense an excuse. It's an ACC game between 2 teams with 5 conference wins each and a ranked visitor walking into a building where SMU has won 4 straight in this stretch. If Lopez plays, Wake's case is its month. If he doesn't, Pizzella has to prove that 432-yard half travels.

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