Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels

Tue Jul 286:38 PM PT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Houston's clinging to a Wild Card push. The Angels are already halfway into the trade deadline. This series in Anaheim is what a race looks like standing next to a rebuild.

FINAL · WED JUL 29, 1:38 AM
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Houston Astros
  • Won 4 of last 5 games
  • Alvarez hitting .323 with 34 homers
  • Lambert posting a 3.03 ERA breakout year
  • Rotation down four starters to injury
  • Correa lost for the season after ankle surgery
  • Got blown out 3-12 by White Sox last week
Los Angeles Angels
  • Detmers' peripherals far better than his ERA
  • Snapped a mini-slide with a win over Giants
  • Nothing to lose, house-money mentality down the stretch
  • Lost 4 of last 5 games
  • GM fired in June, front office in flux
  • Rendon, Kikuchi, d'Arnaud all out for the year

Peter Lambert (8-5, 3.03 ERA) takes the mound for Houston at 6:38 PM PT off arguably the best season of his career, a onetime Rockies castoff who's turned himself into a steady piece of a thin Astros staff. He draws Reid Detmers, who's carrying a worse ERA on the scoreboard but has quietly been one of the unluckiest starters in baseball behind him.

Houston Astros
Peter Lambert
(8-6)·3.09 ERA
Jul 22 vs Marlins
ND
6.0IP
2ER
3K
2BB
89P
07/28 Lineup
Los Angeles Angels
Reid Detmers
(3-8)·4.00 ERA
Jul 22 vs Cardinals
L
5.1IP
1ER
6K
2BB
85P
07/28 Lineup

Houston took Monday's opener 6-4 and has won 4 of its last 5, leaning on Yordan Alvarez's monster year at the plate even with Spencer Arrighetti and Hayden Wesneski both out of the rotation. The Angels have lost 4 of 5 and are playing out a season that's already over in every way that matters, with a front office that fired its GM in June and is about to blow up the roster before next Monday's deadline.

None of that context is lost on the betting market, where Houston sits as a modest road favorite despite the rebuild gap between these two clubs — a number that says more about lineup depth and bullpen uncertainty than it does about which team is actually better.

Carlos Correa's ankle surgery already gutted the middle of Houston's infield for the year, and the rotation is missing multiple arms, but the lineup around Alvarez has enough juice to cover for it against a last-place club that's lost Anthony Rendon, Yusei Kikuchi and Travis d'Arnaud for the season. The Angels' injury report reads like an inventory of a team that stopped fighting the standings months ago.

Detmers himself is reportedly on the Angels' trade block along with Zach Neto and Jo Adell, so there's a real chance this is one of his last starts in an Angels uniform regardless of what happens Tuesday. His strikeout rate and quality-of-contact numbers this year have actually been strong — the results just haven't followed, largely thanks to the glovework behind him.

07/28W@Angels6-4
07/26L@White Sox3-12
07/25W@White Sox4-1
07/24W@White Sox9-5
07/23WvsMarlins5-2
07/28LvsAstros4-6
07/26W@Giants4-3
07/25L@Giants2-9
07/25L@Giants6-7
07/22LvsCardinals0-1

Whatever the final score, the story that matters more for Los Angeles is what happens after the deadline closes. For Houston, it's whether four straight wins over a bad team is the start of a real second-half push or just an easy stretch before the schedule gets harder.

Astros 3, Angels 2: Final Score & Odds Recap — Astros Chase a Wild Card While Angels Play Out the String