Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays

Fri Sep 117:10 PM ETSt. Petersburg, FL
By JR·1 min read

TLDR: Tampa Bay's push toward October runs through Tropicana Field, and Houston is showing up shorthanded.

FINAL · FRI SEP 11, 11:10 PM
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(87-59)
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Tampa Bay's 87-59 club hosts a .500 Houston team at Tropicana Field, with Drew Rasmussen — fresh off one of his best starts of the year — opposing an unproven Miguel Ullola. The board favors Tampa Bay clearly, but a Rays bullpen thinned by four recent IL additions and a run of negative headlines complicate an otherwise lopsided picture.

Houston Astros
  • Took 2 of first 3 from Philadelphia
  • Won last game before this one, 2-1
  • Dropped both meetings with Arizona
  • Scored 2 runs or fewer in 3 of last 5
  • Correa, Matthews out for season plus 2 starters on IL
Tampa Bay Rays
  • Rasmussen: 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 K last time out
  • 87-59 record, among the sport's best marks
  • Took 2 of first 3 from Atlanta
  • Four relievers added to IL in two weeks
  • Rotation also down McClanahan and Pepiot
  • Lost their last game before this one

Miguel Ullola (0-0, 3.86 ERA) gets the ball for Houston with essentially no track record to lean on, while Tampa Bay counters with Drew Rasmussen (14-5, 2.88 ERA), who is quietly having one of the better seasons on either roster. First pitch at Tropicana Field is 7:10 PM ET.

Miguel Ullola
Miguel Ullola
(2-0)·2.30 ERA
2026 · No starts yet
ND
—IP
—ER
—K
—BB
—P
09/11 Lineup
Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen
(16-5)·2.67 ERA
Sep 5 @ Rangers
ND
7.0IP
1ER
7K
0BB
97P
09/11 Lineup

Rasmussen's last time out went about as well as it gets — 7 innings, 1 earned run, 7 strikeouts, no walks — and Houston's lineup has been mostly held in check lately, scoring 2 runs or fewer in three of its last 5 games. The board treats Tampa Bay as the clear favorite here, but the number still leaves room for Houston to keep this closer than the records suggest.

That gap between the favorite and the number matters more than usual this week, because Tampa Bay isn't walking into this one at full strength.

09/10W@Phillies2-1
09/09L@Phillies7-11
09/08W@Phillies6-5
09/06LvsDiamondbacks2-3
09/05LvsDiamondbacks3-4
09/10L@Braves1-3
09/09W@Braves7-2
09/08W@Braves7-1
09/06L@Rangers6-8
09/05W@Rangers6-3

Houston split its last two with Arizona before taking 2 of the first 3 from Philadelphia, a stretch that included a 2-1 win its last time out. Tampa Bay, for its part, has taken 2 of the first 3 from Atlanta but dropped its most recent game before arriving in St. Petersburg for this one.

The injury sheets tell most of the story. Houston is missing shortstop Carlos Correa and center fielder Brice Matthews for the year, along with two starting pitchers, but it's Tampa Bay's bullpen that's taken the bigger recent hit — four relievers landing on the injured list in the last two weeks, on top of rotation pieces Shane McClanahan and Ryan Pepiot already out. Rasmussen going deep would help paper over that, the way he did his last time out.

Astros 1, Rays 3: Final Score & Odds Recap — Drew Rasmussen And The Rays Host A Shorthanded Astros Club