Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals

By Bush StaffUpdated 70d ago·2 min read
Houston AstrosHOU(32-39)
Kansas City RoyalsKC(28-42)
87
FINAL
123456789RHE
HOU
0002210218110
KC
0121030007111

First pitch is 6:15 PM CT and the pitching matchup is a clear edge for the home side on paper. Burrows is 3-8 with a 5.77 ERA and got tagged for 4 earned in 5 innings against the A's his last time out. Noah Cameron just shoved 6 shutout innings at the Twins with 7 strikeouts and no walks, and he's been the Royals' steadiest arm in June while the rest of the staff has been a triage unit.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Astros(32-39)
WLLWL
8
Royals(28-42)
LLLWW
7
Best BetRoyals -127
Pregame

Cameron is the best starter in this game by a wide margin and he's coming off a 7-strikeout shutout effort against Minnesota. Burrows' 5.77 ERA and a thinned-out Astros lineup make the Royals' price at -126 the fair side. Lay it.

The vibes don't fully match the numbers, though. Kansas City has dropped 3 in a row and just blew an 8-run scoring night in the series opener. The Astros are 32-39 but they keep finding ways to bank wins they probably shouldn't, and Friday's 10-8 result was a reminder that the offense can still travel even with Yainer Diaz, LaMonte Wade Jr., and Nick Allen all on the shelf.

Houston Astros
Mike Burrows
(3-8)·5.48 ERA
Jun 7 vs Athletics
L
5.0IP
4ER
3K
2BB
97P
06/13 Lineup
Kansas City Royals
Noah Cameron
(4-5)·4.50 ERA
Jun 7 @ Twins
W
6.0IP
0ER
7K
0BB
104P
06/13 Lineup
Houston Astros
Houston Astros
(32-39)
Jun 13W@ Royals10-8
Jun 11L@ Angels2-3
Jun 10L@ Angels1-10
Jun 9W@ Angels5-4
Jun 7Lvs Athletics0-5
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(28-42)
Jun 13Lvs Astros8-10
Jun 11Lvs Rangers2-4
Jun 10Lvs Rangers4-6
Jun 9Wvs Rangers5-3
Jun 7W@ Twins6-5

The Royals' injury list is where this game really tilts. Seth Lugo just landed on the 7-day concussion IL, Kris Bubic and Cole Ragans are still rehabbing elbows, and Kyle Isbel was diagnosed with a Grade 3 plantar fascia tear that's likely a season-changer for the outfield. Closer Carlos Estevez is also out with a shoulder. That's a rotation and a bullpen running on backups, which is why even a Burrows start feels gettable.

Houston Astros
Houston Astros
(14)
  • Day-To-DayPeter Lambert (SP)Lambert (5-4) earned the win Friday over the Athletics after tossing 5.1 innings of one-run ball. He allowed five hits and four walks while fanning four.06/11
  • Day-To-DayWalker Janek (C)Double-A Corpus Christi placed Janek on its 7-day injured list Sunday due to an unspecified injury.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILYainer Diaz (C)Diaz (oblique) is starting a minor-league rehab assignment Tuesday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/09
  • 10-Day-ILLaMonte Wade Jr. (1B)Wade left Monday's game against the Angels with right hamstring soreness, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 10-Day-ILNick Allen (SS)Allen was removed from Sunday's game against the Athletics due to left hamstring discomfort.06/08
  • 10-Day-ILBraden Shewmake (SS)Shewmake (groin) is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Brewers, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.06/02
  • 15-Day-ILBennett Sousa (RP)The Astros announced Friday that Sousa (elbow) has begun a throwing progression, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr. (SP)The Astros announced Friday that McCullers (shoulder) began a throwing progression, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Brown (SP)Brown (shoulder) will make his next start at Triple-A Sugar Land on Wednesday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/06
  • 60-Day-ILBrandon Walter (SP)The Astros announced Friday that Walter (elbow) is in the midst of a throwing progression at the team's complex in West Palm Beach, Fla., Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILCristian Javier (SP)Javier (shoulder) recorded two outs -- both via strikeout -- and was charged with two earned runs on two hits and two walks in a rehab start Wednesday with Double-A Corpus Christi.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Correa (SS)Correa is scheduled to undergo surgery Monday in Houston to repair the tendon in his left ankle, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Wesneski (SP)Wesneski (elbow) has progressed to throwing live batting practice this week, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.05/29
  • 60-Day-ILRonel Blanco (SP)Blanco (elbow) has progressed to throwing live batting practice this week, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.05/29
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
(12)
  • Day-To-DayAnthony Simonelli (SP)no05/08
  • Day-To-DayJavier Vaz (2B)Vaz (fingers) has produced a .238/.304/.262 slash line with zero home runs and three stolen bases in 10 games since being activated from Double-A Northwest Arkansas' 7-day injured list April 22.05/08
  • Day-To-DayTyson Guerrero (RP)no05/08
  • 7-Day ILSeth Lugo (SP)The Royals placed Lugo on the 7-day concussion list Friday.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Isbel (CF)Isbel has been diagnosed with a Grade 3 tear of a portion of his left plantar fasciitis.06/11
  • 15-Day-ILNick Mears (RP)Mears (shoulder) began a throwing progression this week and could progress to a bullpen by the end of the week, MLB.com reports.06/11
  • 15-Day-ILKris Bubic (SP)Bubic (elbow) yielded six runs (five earned) on eight hits and one walk over 1.1 innings in his first rehab start with Triple-A Omaha on Tuesday.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILCole Ragans (SP)Ragans (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Wednesday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILCarlos Estevez (RP)Estevez (shoulder) began playing catch Wednesday, MLB.com reports.05/28
  • 60-Day-ILJonathan India (2B)no06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJames McArthur (RP)McArthur (elbow) underwent surgery Friday to help combat continued soreness and inflammation, MLB.com reports.05/25
  • 60-Day-ILAlec Marsh (SP)The Royals placed Marsh (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Houston's own IL is brutal too — Hunter Brown, Lance McCullers Jr., Cristian Javier, and Carlos Correa headline a list that would sink most teams. Joe Espada has had to lean hard on guys like Burrows just to eat innings, and Friday's 18-run shootout means the Astros bullpen isn't exactly fresh either. If Cameron goes 6 and hands it off with a lead, the Royals' shaky relief group is the only thing standing between them and a series split.

Pinnacle has KC at -126 and Houston at +114, with the total at 9.5. That's a tight line for a game where the home starter has a 2-run ERA edge and the road team is starting a guy with a 5.77. The market is essentially pricing in how thin Kansas City is everywhere except the mound.

MLBHouston AstrosKansas City RoyalsPolymarketKalshiMike BurrowsNoah Cameron