Barstool Bush
Predictions

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox

By Bush StaffUpdated 67d ago·2 min read
Toronto Blue JaysTOR(34-38)
Boston Red SoxBOS(29-40)
6—1
FINAL
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TOR
001021002670
BOS
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Dylan Cease (3-3, 2.91) takes the ball for Toronto opposite Boston rookie Payton Tolle (3-3, 2.70) at 6:45 PM ET. Cease's last outing was a 6-inning, 11-strikeout gem against the Phillies that reportedly tied his career high for whiffs generated, and Tolle's been arguably the brightest spot of Boston's season — though he ran into a wall in his last start, getting tagged for 4 earned on 9 hits in Tampa.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Blue Jays(34-38)
LLWLW
6
Red Sox(29-40)
LWWLL
1
Best BetBlue Jays -124
Pregame

Cease at a small minus number against a rookie in his first look at this Toronto lineup is a fine price. Vladdy returning to the order tips a tight matchup toward the visitors, and Toronto's ace just struck out 11 in his last outing. Lay the short juice on the Blue Jays.

Bigger story for Toronto: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is expected back in the starting lineup Tuesday after a back issue limited him to a pinch-hit appearance Sunday. That's a real boost for a Blue Jays offense that just dropped 2 of 3 at home to the Yankees and got blown out 8-3 in the finale. Andres Gimenez is still day-to-day with wrist soreness, so the middle infield could look patched together again.

Toronto Blue Jays
Dylan Cease
(4-4)·3.02 ERA
Jun 9 vs Phillies
ND
6.0IP
1ER
11K
1BB
93P
06/16 Lineup
Boston Red Sox
Payton Tolle
(4-5)·2.78 ERA
Jun 9 @ Rays
L
6.0IP
4ER
3K
1BB
94P
06/16 Lineup
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(34-38)
Jun 14Lvs Yankees3-8
Jun 13Lvs Yankees1-3
Jun 12Wvs Yankees8-5
Jun 10Lvs Phillies4-7
Jun 9Wvs Phillies3-2
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(29-40)
Jun 14Lvs Rangers4-6
Jun 13Wvs Rangers6-3
Jun 12Wvs Rangers10-1
Jun 10L@ Rays5-7
Jun 9L@ Rays3-4

Boston isn't exactly riding momentum either. The Sox dropped Sunday's series finale 6-4 to Texas after taking the first two against the Rangers, and they're 29-40 with an interim manager in Chad Tracy still trying to steady the rotation. Tolle's been the steadiest arm they've got — he's allowed 3 runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 starts — but the Rays did show a blueprint for how to grind him out.

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
(16)
  • Day-To-DayVladimir Guerrero Jr. (1B) — Guerrero (back) was available to pinch hit Sunday and will likely rejoin the starting lineup Tuesday against the Red Sox, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.06/15
  • Day-To-DayAndres Gimenez (SS) — Gimenez was scratched from the lineup for Sunday's game against the Yankees due to left wrist soreness.06/14
  • Day-To-DayGeovanny Jesus Planchart (C) — no05/08
  • Day-To-DayChay Yeager (RP) — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILAddison Barger (RF) — The Blue Jays are hoping to send Barger (elbow) on a rehab assignment next week, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILDaulton Varsho (CF) — The Blue Jays placed Varsho on the 10-day injured list Friday, retroactive to June 10, with left wrist inflammation.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILLenyn Sosa (2B) — Sosa went 2-for-5 with a solo home run, an additional run and an additional RBI on Saturday against the Twins in an 11-4 victory.05/28
  • developmental listFernando Perez (P)
  • 60-Day-ILYimi Garcia (RP) — Garcia (elbow) has yet to pitch on back-to-back days during his rehab assignment, or even twice in three days, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.06/15
  • 60-Day-ILShane Bieber (SP) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Friday that Bieber (elbow) will likely make another rehab start with Triple-A Buffalo before rejoining Toronto, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/12
  • 60-Day-ILLazaro Estrada (RP) — Estrada (shoulder) struck out three over three perfect innings of relief Sunday in a rehab appearance with Triple-A Buffalo.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Mantiply (RP) — Mantiply will undergo arthroscopic surgery to repair some damage in his left knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJose Berrios (SP) — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILAnthony Santander (RF) — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCody Ponce (SP) — Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBowden Francis (SP) — The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
(15)
  • Day-To-DayMickey Gasper (C) — Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said that Gasper is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Rangers due to slight groin tightness, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.06/14
  • Day-To-DayHobie Harris (RP) — Harris was optioned to Triple-A Rochester on Saturday, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILRoman Anthony (LF) — Anthony continues to experience pain in his injured right hand when swinging, though he still believes he is progressing in his recovery, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.06/13
  • 10-Day-ILNick Sogard (3B) — Sogard (oblique) told reporters Friday that he plans to start swinging a bat Monday, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports.06/12
  • developmental listNoah Song (SP) — Song (elbow) was reinstated from Double-A Portland's 7-day injured list Friday and made his 2025 debut for the affiliate in relief Sunday, striking out one and issuing one walk over a scoreless inning.06/14
  • 15-Day-ILJovani Moran (RP) — The Red Sox placed Moran on the 15-day injured list Saturday, retroactive to Friday, with left elbow inflammation, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.06/06
  • OutBrendan Rodgers (2B) — Rodgers (shoulder) re-signed Friday with the Red Sox on a two-year, minor-league contract, Chris Hatfield of SoxProspects.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILGarrett Crochet (SP) — Crochet clarified Friday that his lat strain is asymptomatic, but his shoulder is taking longer than expected to recover, Gabrielle Starr of the Boston Herald reports. The left-hander also said he doesn't expect to come off the injured list until after the All-Star break.06/12
  • 60-Day-ILPatrick Sandoval (SP) — Sandoval (biceps) will make his next rehab start for Triple-A Worcester on Thursday, MLB.com reports.06/08
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Story (SS) — Story underwent surgery to repair a sports hernia Thursday and will be sidelined 6-10 weeks, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILRomy Gonzalez (1B) — Gonzalez (shoulder) took batting practice at Fenway Park on Wednesday, WEEI reports.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILKutter Crawford (SP) — Interim manager Chad Tracy said Tuesday that Crawford (elbow) is dealing with moderate tightness in his right forearm, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.06/02
  • 60-Day-ILTriston Casas (1B) — Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy told reporters Wednesday that Casas (abdomen/knee) is close to being cleared to swing a bat, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.05/27
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Houck (SP) — Houck (elbow) has been making throws out to 105 feet three days per week, MLB.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILJohan Oviedo (SP) — Oviedo (elbow) will be reevaluated by Dr. Keith Meister in two weeks to determine his progress, Marcos Grunfeld of ElEmergente.com reports.05/08

Injury report is ugly on both sides. Toronto is without Shane Bieber, Jose Berrios, Bowden Francis, Anthony Santander, Daulton Varsho and Addison Barger. Boston's rotation is missing Garrett Crochet (out until after the All-Star break), Tanner Houck, Kutter Crawford and Patrick Sandoval, plus Roman Anthony and Trevor Story on the position-player side. Tolle making history every fifth day is the only reason the Sox rotation is functional.

Stylistically this should be a low-scoring rock fight. Cease is leading the AL in strikeouts and is fresh off a 98-mph-in-the-6th-inning outing, while Tolle's command and quality-start rate have been the engine of a thin Red Sox staff. Total sitting at 7.5 reflects exactly that — two arms who can shorten a night in a hurry.

Sources

MLBToronto Blue JaysBoston Red SoxPolymarketKalshiDylan CeasePayton Tolle