Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals

Sat Sep 56:10 PM CT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Toronto needed one more win to keep its wild-card math alive, and Kansas City obliged in a game that was way tighter than it should have been. The Blue Jays out-hit the Royals nearly two-to-one and still had to sweat out the final out.

FINAL · SAT SEP 5, 11:10 PM
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TOR
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KC
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Toronto Blue Jays
  • Won 4 of last 5, form trending up
  • Scherzer's last start: 7 scoreless innings, 10 K
  • In the thick of the AL wild-card race
  • Rotation down Bieber and Taillon to IL this week
  • Scherzer's season ERA sits at 6.03
  • Bullpen already stretched by multiple long-term IL arms
Kansas City Royals
  • Beat Miami 7-3 in last 5, capable of a spoiler night
  • Nothing to lose down the stretch, plays loose
  • Lost 4 of last 5, sit at 63-79 on the year
  • Lugo's last start: 3.2 innings, 9 earned runs
  • Bullpen lost 3 relievers to season-ending injuries

Scherzer (2-7, 6.03 ERA) and Lugo (6-8, 5.04 ERA) took the mound at Kauffman Stadium, and neither man's season line matched what he'd shown his last time out. Scherzer allowed one hit and no runs over 7 innings with 10 strikeouts against Seattle, while Lugo was rocked for 9 earned runs in just 3.2 innings against Cleveland — two arms trending in opposite directions walking into this one.

Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer
(3-8)·6.07 ERA
Aug 30 vs Mariners
W
7.0IP
0ER
10K
1BB
97P
09/05 Lineup
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
(7-9)·5.06 ERA
Aug 30 @ Guardians
L
3.2IP
9ER
2K
2BB
93P
09/05 Lineup

Toronto's rotation picture kept thinning around him. The Blue Jays placed Jameson Taillon on the 15-day injured list Saturday with right elbow inflammation, and manager John Schneider said Shane Bieber (shoulder) is still probably a week away from even throwing off a mound. Kansas City's bullpen isn't in better shape: Nick Mears and Carlos Estevez are done for the year after season-ending shoulder surgeries, and Beck Way has been shut down too. None of that stopped Toronto from opening as a short road favorite, with the total set at 9.5.

It played out under that number. Toronto out-hit Kansas City 13-7 but had to survive two Royals errors, and Kansas City lost Jac Caglianone mid-game to left elbow soreness. The Blue Jays' bullpen made things interesting after building the cushion, and a 4-3 final is a lot closer than the hit column suggests it should have been.

That's back-to-back wins for Toronto in this set, coming on the heels of a stretch where the Blue Jays won 6 of their past 7 games and clawed back into the thick of the AL wild-card race, per a report from SI.com. Kansas City, 16 games under .500, is playing out a September that's about auditioning arms, not the scoreboard.

09/04W@Royals9-2
09/03W@Guardians6-3
09/02W@Guardians11-0
09/01L@Guardians1-6
08/30WvsMariners7-0
09/04LvsBlue Jays2-9
09/03WvsMarlins7-3
09/02LvsMarlins6-9
09/01LvsMarlins3-6
08/30L@Guardians1-11

The health reports explain a lot about how thin both benches are getting down the stretch. Toronto is already down two rotation pieces to the IL this week alone, on top of Trey Yesavage, Anthony Santander and Jonatan Clase already out long-term, which is why Schneider is leaning so hard on whoever's healthy in September. Kansas City's situation is worse — with Cole Ragans, Alec Marsh, Mears and Estevez all done for the season, manager Matt Quatraro is patching together innings with whatever's left in the system.

None of it changes the standings math. Toronto needed exactly this kind of ugly, closer-than-it-should-be win to keep pace, and got it. Kansas City's September is about evaluation, not results, and Saturday's game — final score and all — fit that shape perfectly.

Blue Jays 4, Royals 3: Final Score & Odds Recap — Blue Jays Grind Past Royals As Scherzer, Wild-Card Push Roll On