The Braves have one of the best records in baseball and the Mariners can't get out of their own way. That's the matchup in a sentence. Seattle is the chalk at home anyway, because the market trusts the rotation more than it trusts whatever Atlanta's lineup is doing without Ronald Acuña Jr. — but Bryan Woo is the one stepping into the box, and Woo has been the problem lately.
Woo got torched for 7 runs in 3 innings against the Cardinals on April 25, then gave up 6 more over 6 innings to the Royals on May 1 — back-to-back starts of 6+ earned runs for the first time in his career. The 4.61 ERA is doing him a small favor at this point. He's been pumping strikes; the strikes have been getting pumped right back.
Martín Pérez, meanwhile, is the most interesting man on the Atlanta staff right now. He got DFA'd last weekend, hit free agency, re-signed on a minor-league deal, and was right back in the rotation by Friday — where he proceeded to throw 6 scoreless at the Phillies in a 9-0 win. The 2.22 ERA is real. He has earned the right to keep getting the ball.
The market has Seattle at -130 and -1.5, which is a vote for the home pitching environment over the actual pitching matchup on the card. EV is negative on every side here — no free money — and the public is split, with sharp handle leaning Atlanta moneyline (87% of handle, 64% of bets) and Under 8.5 (71% handle). That's a fade-the-public-totals look if you're squinting.
- Day-To-DayJorge Mateo SS — Mateo is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Mariners.
- Day-To-DayBlake Burkhalter RP — no
- 10-Day-ILHa-Seong Kim SS — Kim (finger) is moving his rehab assignment from Double-A Columbus to Triple-A Gwinnett this week, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
- 10-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr. RF — Manager Walt Weiss said Sunday that Acuna has been diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain of his left hamstring, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
- 15-Day-ILDylan Dodd RP — Dodd (back) is expected to begin a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Gwinnett in the coming days, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
- 15-Day-ILHurston Waldrep SP — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Waldrep (elbow) will throw a bullpen session in about a week and could be ready to rejoin the team in June, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
- SuspensionJurickson Profar LF — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
- 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach SP — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Schwellenbach (elbow) has yet to begin a throwing program and will not make his season debut until after the All-Star break, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
- Day-To-DayTeddy McGraw SP — McGraw is working his way back from right elbow issues, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.
- 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan 3B — Donovan (groin) will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Arkansas on Tuesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
- 10-Day-ILWill Wilson 3B — The Mariners selected Wilson's contract from Triple-A Tacoma on Monday.
- 10-Day-ILVictor Robles RF — Robles (pectoral) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Tacoma on Sunday, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
- 10-Day-ILPatrick Wisdom 1B — The Mariners placed Wisdom on the 10-day injured list Friday due to a left oblique strain, retroactive to Wednesday.
- 15-Day-ILMatt Brash RP — Brash (lat) began playing catch Tuesday, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
- 15-Day-ILGabe Speier RP — Speier picked up his first save of the season Friday against the Angels, allowing one unearned run with no hits or walks while striking out one across one inning.
- 15-Day-ILBryce Miller SP — Miller (oblique) is scheduled to make his next rehab start with High-A Everett on Wednesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
Atlanta's IL list is brutal on paper — Acuña, Schwellenbach, Waldrep, Smith-Shawver, Profar suspended for the year — and the team keeps winning anyway. That's the scary part for Seattle. The Mariners are missing Brendan Donovan, Bryce Miller, Victor Robles and a chunk of their bullpen, and they don't have the offensive depth to absorb it the way Atlanta has. First pitch 3:10 PM local. Woo needs a stopper start. Pérez looks like the wrong guy to give it to him against.