Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Atlanta has already clinched nothing by showing up: the NL East leaders have been shut out in 2 of their last 4 games, and Miami just did it to them 3-0 to open the set. Saturday is about whether a lineup built around Matt Olson's 41 homers can find a pulse before October.

SAT SEP 26, 4:10 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(93-67)
LLWLW
(79-81)
WLWWL

The NL East-leading Braves open this game in a scoring drought, shut out in 2 of their last 4 including Miami's 3-0 win in the series opener. Both teams are starting pitchers who project as bullpen days. Atlanta's rotation and Miami's late relief are both thinned by injuries, so the game probably turns on whether the Braves' bats find a pulse against a Marlins team that is much better at home than its record suggests.

Braves
  • Olson has 41 homers, can flip any game
  • Drake Baldwin 14-for-41 over the last 10
  • Leads the season series comfortably
  • Shut out in 2 of the last 4 games
  • Suter hasn't started since August 1
  • Rotation gutted: Strider, Schwellenbach, Elder, Perez out
Marlins
  • 46-33 at home this season
  • Conine has 3 homers in the last 10 games
  • Blanked Atlanta in the series opener
  • Xavier Edwards still sidelined with thumb
  • Fairbanks, Bender, Nardi, Zuber all out of the pen
  • Ralston a reliever with 17 strikeouts on the season

Brent Suter (3-2, 3.48) gets the ball for Atlanta against Jack Ralston (0-2, 4.50) at 4:10 PM ET, and neither name tells you how long either man will be out there. Suter's last start came back on August 1 against Milwaukee: 2 innings, 41 pitches, 3 walks, done. Ralston has 17 strikeouts on the season and ESPN lists him as a reliever. This is a bullpen game on both sides wearing a starter's name tag, which matters because both bullpens are hurting.

Brent Suter
Brent Suter
(3-2)·3.48 ERA
Aug 1 vs Brewers
ND
2.0IP
0ER
1K
3BB
41P
09/26 Lineup
Jack Ralston
Jack Ralston
—
2026 · No starts yet
ND
—IP
—ER
—K
—BB
—P
09/26 Lineup

Look at who Atlanta has lost. Spencer Strider, Spencer Schwellenbach, Bryce Elder, Martin Perez and now Hurston Waldrep are all on the IL, and that's why a lefty swingman is starting a late-September game for a 93-win team. Miami's list is just as ugly at the back end: Pete Fairbanks and Anthony Bender are both headed for surgery, Andrew Nardi's season is over, and Tyler Zuber just went on the 15-day. The Marlins are also still without Xavier Edwards, whose thumb kept him out Friday. That's a real hole, because Edwards has 17 doubles, 6 triples and 6 homers this year. Atlanta is a modest road favorite on the moneyline.

The Braves' problem right now isn't pitching, it's the lineup. They put up 0 runs against Cincinnati, 3 in a win, and 0 again in the opener here. According to FOX Sports, Atlanta is hitting .237 over its last 10 and has been outscored by 3 in that stretch, and the team is only 41-38 on the road this year. Drake Baldwin is the exception: 14-for-41 over those 10 games. Olson is still the guy who can end a slump with one swing.

09/25L@Marlins0-3
09/24LvsReds6-7
09/23WvsReds3-2
09/22LvsReds0-4
09/20W@Astros4-2
09/25WvsBraves3-0
09/24L@Cubs1-2
09/23W@Cubs3-2
09/22W@Cubs8-2
09/20L@Padres3-7

Miami is 79-81, but this is a different team at loanDepot park. The Marlins are 46-33 at home, per FOX Sports, and they took 2 of 3 from the Cubs before blanking Atlanta. Griffin Conine is 9-for-34 with 3 homers over his last 10 games and has more or less carried the lineup with Edwards out. Miami's .327 team OBP ranks 5th in the NL, and a lineup that works counts is the right kind to bring against a bullpen game.

  • 10-Day-ILLane Thomas (LF) — Thomas (intercostal) took some swings off a tee Tuesday.09/22
  • 15-Day-ILMartin Perez (SP) — Perez didn't factor into the decision Sunday against Houston, striking out two while allowing one run on six hits and two walks in 4.1 innings.09/24
  • 15-Day-ILReynaldo Lopez (RP) — Lopez (4-5) took the loss in Monday's 7-3 loss against the Cubs after allowing five runs on six hits and two walks with two strikeouts over three innings. After the game, manager Walt Weiss stated that Lopez may be placed on the injured list due to a shoulder injury.09/15
  • 15-Day-ILBryce Elder (SP) — Atlanta placed Elder on the 15-day injured list Wednesday due to arthroscopic right knee surgery.09/09
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF) — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHurston Waldrep (SP) — Atlanta recalled Waldrep (elbow) from Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday and placed him on the 60-day injured list.09/24
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP) — Jimenez (knee) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Gwinnett on Tuesday.09/15
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Strider (SP) — Strider (elbow) is not expected to return to Atlanta's active roster before the end of this season.08/28
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP) — Schwellenbach will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a fracture in his right elbow.08/28
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP) — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • Day-To-DayNewXavier Edwards (2B) — Edwards (thumb) remains out of the lineup for Friday's game versus Atlanta.09/25
  • 10-Day-ILOwen Caissie (RF) — The Marlins placed Caissie on the 10-day injured list Sunday due to a lumbar stress reaction.09/13
  • 15-Day-ILNewTyler Zuber (RP) — Zuber gave up a run on two hits in one-third of an inning during Monday's loss to the Red Sox.09/25
  • 15-Day-ILAnthony Bender (RP) — Bender will undergo surgery to address the stress reaction in his right shin.09/19
  • 15-Day-ILPete Fairbanks (RP) — Fairbanks will undergo surgery to treat thoracic outlet syndrome.09/19
  • 15-Day-ILMax Meyer (SP) — Meyer (neck) has been shut down from throwing and will not return this season.09/15
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP) — Nardi (elbow) is slated to undergo season-ending surgery Friday.08/24
  • 60-Day-ILWilliam Kempner (RP) — The Marlins transferred Kempner (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday.08/21
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP) — Snelling (elbow) is expected to begin a throwing program in September.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP) — Mazur (elbow) is expected to begin a throwing program sometime in September.08/07
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP) — Henriquez (elbow) began playing catch from 60 feet out Friday.07/18

Atlanta still leads the season series comfortably, according to FOX Sports, and on paper the Braves have the better roster. It's a Saturday afternoon under the roof with nothing but late-season innings from both staffs. The Braves have had plenty of chances to put this opponent away this year. How this one goes depends on whether their bats show up before the Marlins' makeshift pen runs out of outs.

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Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins — Braves Try To Wake Up The Bats Against Miami's Bullpen Day | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush