Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

By JR·2 min read
Atlanta BravesATL(94-67)
Miami MarlinsMIA(79-82)
Sunday3:10 PM ET

TLDR: The regular season ends Sunday at loanDepot park. Atlanta and Miami have split the first 2 of this set, and the finale decides the series.

SUN SEP 27, 3:10 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(94-67)
WLLWL
(79-82)
LWLWW

The Braves and Marlins finish the regular season with the series split 1-1. Rookie JR Ritchie faces Janson Junk, who Atlanta beat up in May but who threw 5 scoreless innings at Wrigley his last time out. The board has it as a pick'em, and the unknowns are Atlanta's lineup choices in game 162 and whether Miami's injured lineup and bullpen can hold up.

Braves
  • Hit Junk for 8 earned runs in May
  • Ritchie struck out 8 in his last start
  • Won Saturday 8-3 after a bullpen game
  • Rookie starter is 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA
  • Shut out twice in the last 5 games
  • Finale lineup could be resting regulars
Marlins
  • Junk allowed 2 hits in 5 scoreless at Wrigley
  • Beat Atlanta 3-0 to open the series
  • Edwards and Stowers both day-to-day
  • Bullpen missing Bender, Fairbanks and Nardi
  • Ralston opener lasted only 1 1/3 Saturday

JR Ritchie (1-4, 4.79) gets the last regular-season start for Atlanta. The rookie was a 2022 second-rounder who debuted this year, and his last outing was the best case for him: 8 strikeouts over 5 innings with 1 earned run, in a game the Braves lost anyway because they didn't score against Cincinnati. Janson Junk (6-9, 4.31) goes for Miami after a quiet, sharp 5 innings at Wrigley where the Cubs got 2 hits off him. First pitch is 3:10 PM ET.

JR Ritchie
JR Ritchie
(1-4)·4.79 ERA
Sep 22 vs Reds
L
5.0IP
1ER
8K
3BB
86P
09/27 Lineup
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
(6-9)·4.31 ERA
Sep 22 @ Cubs
ND
5.0IP
0ER
6K
1BB
84P
09/27 Lineup

Miami's lineup is short-handed. Xavier Edwards (thumb) sat Saturday and Kyle Stowers was missing from the lineup to open the series, and both are still day-to-day going into the finale. The bullpen behind Junk has been gutted for weeks: Anthony Bender and Pete Fairbanks are both headed for surgery, and Andrew Nardi is already done for the year. Atlanta's injury list is mostly rotation arms, Strider, Schwellenbach, Elder and Waldrep, which is how a rookie ends up starting game 162. The board has this about as close as a line gets.

Neither club had a normal game Saturday. Both ran bullpen games. Brent Suter opened with 3 innings for Atlanta, and Miami's opener Jack Ralston lasted 1 1/3 and gave up 3 runs before the Braves pulled away to win 8-3. Miami took the opener 3-0, so the teams have traded wins and both staffs have covered a full game with relievers going into Sunday.

There's history here for Junk, and it's bad. The Braves hit him hard in May: 8 earned runs on 8 hits in 5 innings of a 9-1 rout, with 3-run homers from Austin Riley and Dominic Smith. He has pitched much better lately, and the Marlins lineup he's backed by this time is missing its second baseman. Still, Atlanta's hitters know exactly what he throws.

The open question is what lineup Atlanta brings to a 94-win club's last regular-season game. Nobody has said. Brian Snitker isn't the one deciding anymore; it's Walt Weiss's call. A full lineup facing Junk looks a lot like May. A day-off lineup against a pitcher coming off 5 scoreless innings is a different game, and it's the kind of news that only shows up when the lineup card does.

09/26W@Marlins8-3
09/25L@Marlins0-3
09/24LvsReds6-7
09/23WvsReds3-2
09/22LvsReds0-4
09/26LvsBraves3-8
09/25WvsBraves3-0
09/24L@Cubs1-2
09/23W@Cubs3-2
09/22W@Cubs8-2

Miami is 79-82 and has played the Cubs and Braves even over the last week. They lost the regular-season series to Atlanta in May and don't have much else to play for beyond this set. Atlanta has been uneven lately: it dropped 2 of 3 at home to Cincinnati before coming to Miami. Neither team comes in looking dominant, and that fits a line this flat.

Live Odds

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