Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

By Bush StaffUpdated 69d ago·2 min read
Atlanta BravesATL(46-24)
New York MetsNYM(31-39)
18
FINAL
123456789RHE
ATL
100000000142
NYM
400020028131

Elder rolls in at 5-3 with a 2.66 ERA and a 6-inning, 2-run no-decision against the Pirates in his last outing — exactly the kind of contact-managing start the Braves need given how thin the rotation just got. Peralta counters at 4-5, 4.04, and his last time out was a 6-run rough one against the Cardinals at home. The price reflects it: Mets a slight home chalk, Braves basically a coin flip on the moneyline.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Braves(46-24)
WLPLL
1
Mets(31-39)
LWWLL
8
Best BetBraves -106
Pregame

Elder at a 2.66 ERA getting a coin-flip price against a Peralta coming off a 6-run start is the kind of pitching mismatch the market should be paying more for. The Mets' offense just managed 1 run on Saturday and is still without Lindor and Polanco. Take the Braves to win outright.

The bigger Atlanta story isn't Sunday's starter — it's Friday's. Spencer Strider was pulled in the 4th with right arm soreness, his velocity sitting 88-89 after living 92-96 in the early innings, and the Braves dropped him on the 15-day IL with elbow inflammation. That moves a rotation that already had Schwellenbach, Smith-Shawver and Murphy on the shelf from "thin" to "hold your breath every 5th day." Ronald Acuna Jr. is also day-to-day with hamstring tightness, so Walt Weiss is patching this together.

Atlanta Braves
Bryce Elder
(5-6)·4.01 ERA
Jun 7 vs Pirates
ND
6.0IP
2ER
4K
2BB
88P
06/14 Lineup
New York Mets
Freddy Peralta
(5-6)·4.53 ERA
Jun 9 vs Cardinals
L
6.0IP
6ER
5K
2BB
98P
06/14 Lineup
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(13)
  • Day-To-DayBlake Burkhalter (RP)Triple-A Gwinnett placed Burkhalter on the 7-day injured list March 27 with back spasms, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILDrake Baldwin (C)Baldwin (oblique) will report to Triple-A Gwinnett on Saturday to begin a rehab assignment, Barrett Sallee of 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr. (RF)Manager Walt Weiss said after Tuesday's game against the White Sox that Acuna is day-to-day with left hamstring tightness, Barrett Sallee of 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.06/10
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Farmer (DH)Farmer went 1-for-3 with a double, a run scored and two RBI in Sunday's rout of the Guardians.05/18
  • 15-Day-ILSpencer Strider (SP)Strider was removed from Friday's game against the Mets due to right arm soreness.06/13
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Kinley (RP)Kinley (4-2) picked up the win over the Nationals on Friday, striking out two in a perfect 11th inning.06/10
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF)Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILSean Murphy (C)Murphy had the cast on his left hand removed Tuesday and is now wearing a splint to protect his fractured middle finger, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reprots.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP)Schwellenbach (elbow) has begun throwing on flat ground, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILAJ Smith-Shawver (SP)Manager Walt Weiss said Friday that Smith-Shawver (elbow) has been throwing bullpen sessions, and the next step in his rehab is to face live hitters, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP)Atlanta manager Walt Weiss revealed Wednesday that Jimenez underwent another surgery on his left knee 3-to-4 weeks ago, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/13
  • 60-Day-ILDanny Young (RP)Atlanta transferred Young (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP)Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
New York Mets
New York Mets
(19)
  • Day-To-DayBrandon Waddell (RP)Waddell (shoulder) picked up the win after allowing three runs on four hits while striking out two across three innings during Saturday's game against Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes Barre.06/01
  • Day-To-DayAdbert Alzolay (RP)The Mets reassigned Alzolay to minor-league camp Tuesday.06/01
  • Day-To-DayMike Tauchman (RF)Tauchman (knee) is still rehabbing at the Mets' spring training complex and has yet to resume baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.05/18
  • Day-To-DayGrae Kessinger (3B)no05/13
  • Day-To-DayJoe Jacques (RP)The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayKevin Herget (RP)Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJose Rojas (3B)Triple-A Salt Lake placed Rojas on its COVID-19 injured list Sunday, Jeff Fletcher of The Orange County Register reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILFrancisco Lindor (SS)Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns said Friday that he expects Lindor (calf) to return "this month," Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.06/12
  • 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B)An MRI on Polanco's left ankle/Achilles tendon came back negative Tuesday, Andrew Tredinnick of The Bergen Record reports.06/09
  • 10-Day-ILTyrone Taylor (CF)Taylor (hip) began running this past week but has yet to resume full baseball activities, Tim Britton of The Athletic reports.06/08
  • 10-Day-ILRonny Mauricio (SS)The Mets placed Mauricio (thumb) on the 10-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILKodai Senga (SP)Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said Friday that Senga (spine/arm) will require at least one more minor-league rehab start before the organization considers activating him from the 15-day injured list, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.06/12
  • OutRobert Stock (RP)Stock (shoulder) said Sunday that he'll require surgery to address thoracic outlet syndrome and could be sidelined for the remainder of the season, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF)Robert (spine) said Thursday that his back has been responding better in recent days and he expects to return before the end of this season, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP)The Mets transferred Holmes (fibula) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP)The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP)The Mets placed Nunez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP)The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP)The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08

The Mets aren't exactly whole either. Francisco Lindor (calf) is still out but David Stearns said Friday he expects him back "this month." Jorge Polanco is on the IL, Kodai Senga needs another rehab start before activation, and the offense looked it on Saturday — Eli White did most of the damage and Michael Harris II tagged a 392-foot homer off the second deck in right while Carlos Mendoza's group managed one run. At 31-39, New York can't keep splitting the difference against the team with the best record in baseball.

Saturday's loss was the Mets' offense in a nutshell: not enough traffic, not enough damage. They did punch out a 7-5 win in the opener Friday, so the bats aren't dead, but going 1-for-2 against an Elder type who pitches to contact means staying out of double plays and actually stringing some at-bats together. Peralta's stuff plays up at home when he's missing bats; when he's not, it gets loud, like it did against St. Louis.

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(46-24)
Jun 13W@ Mets3-1
Jun 12L@ Mets5-7
Jun 11P@ White Sox0-0
Jun 10L@ White Sox1-2
Jun 9L@ White Sox5-6
New York Mets
New York Mets
(31-39)
Jun 13Lvs Braves1-3
Jun 12Wvs Braves7-5
Jun 11Wvs Cardinals5-4
Jun 10Lvs Cardinals2-9
Jun 9Lvs Cardinals0-7

This is also a vibes game for Atlanta. The Braves dropped 3 of 4 to the White Sox earlier in the week (including a tie), and Friday's blowout looked like the wheels coming off until Eli White and Harris bailed them out Saturday. A series win on the road with Strider going on the IL would be the kind of "we're fine" stamp the NL East leader needs. A loss and the noise around the rotation gets a lot louder heading into next week.

MLBAtlanta BravesNew York MetsPolymarketKalshiBryce ElderFreddy Peralta