Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

Mon Sep 71:05 PM ET
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: A division race that's tightened all September came down to one run at Citizens Bank Park, and it took a pitchers' duel to get there.

FINAL · MON SEP 7, 5:05 PM
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ATL
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PHI
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Atlanta Braves
  • Had taken 2 of first 3 meetings in this set
  • Holmes allowed zero earned runs in his last look
  • 3-2 over their last 5 games entering Monday
  • Rotation down two starters for the season
  • Bullpen missing three relievers to the 60-day IL
  • Shut out on just 2 hits in the finale
Philadelphia Phillies
  • Luzardo riding one of the best stretches of his season
  • Bohm and Stott have carried the offense since August
  • Sharp money's biggest single position landed on Philadelphia
  • Lost 2 of the first 3 meetings in this set
  • Trea Turner scuffling badly entering September
  • Missing Adolis Garcia and Johan Rojas to season-ending surgeries

Jesus Luzardo (13-5, 2.92 ERA) went for Philadelphia in the 1:05 PM ET finale of this four-game set, opposite Grant Holmes (9-5, 3.49 ERA) for Atlanta — a clash between a Cy Young-caliber arm on one of the best runs of his season and a steady but clearly less dominant Braves starter trying to keep the bullpen out of it.

Grant Holmes
Grant Holmes
(10-5)·3.47 ERA
Sep 2 @ Nationals
ND
3.0IP
0ER
1K
0BB
26P
09/07 Lineup
Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
(14-5)·2.87 ERA
Sep 1 @ Diamondbacks
W
6.2IP
1ER
6K
1BB
99P
09/07 Lineup

Luzardo came in riding a scoreless-caliber stretch across his last five outings, missing bats at an elite clip, per Yahoo Sports coverage of the series. Holmes, meanwhile, was working off a strange final tune-up before this one — just 3 innings and 26 pitches against Washington, 0 earned runs allowed but a short look that leaned harder on Atlanta's already-thin relief corps than a normal turn would.

Atlanta's pitching depth has been a season-long story — Spencer Strider and Spencer Schwellenbach both lost for the year, Robert Suarez and Joey Jimenez both on the 60-day list — and Philadelphia's lineup has quietly turned a corner of its own since August, even with Trea Turner mired in a rough stretch entering September, per 97.5 The Fanatic.

Atlanta had taken 2 of the first 3 meetings in this set, riding a bullpen that's kept games tight even while thin — Atlanta is 3-2 over its last 5 as of Monday. Philadelphia had the better of the season-long shape, per The Inquirer's playoff tracker, but couldn't solve Holmes and the Atlanta pen the first two times around this week.

09/06W@Phillies5-4
09/05L@Phillies2-4
09/04W@Phillies5-2
09/02W@Nationals9-0
09/01L@Nationals5-9
09/06LvsBraves4-5
09/05WvsBraves4-2
09/04LvsBraves2-5
09/02L@Diamondbacks0-1
09/01W@Diamondbacks7-1

It stayed a stalemate for most of the afternoon. Atlanta managed only 2 hits all game, and the only run of the day was enough — Philadelphia's pitching staff did the rest, closing out a 1-0 final that flipped the result of this series' first two meetings.

The Polymarket chat showed up in a big way for a Monday matinee — the room ran roughly 3 times a typical MLB crowd this season, and a couple of posters holding Atlanta were still calling it before the shutout set in: "Braves gonna win this I had a vision" and, simpler, "Braves lock." Neither aged well, but the room's size said plenty about how much this NL East race still matters with three weeks left.

Braves 0, Phillies 1: Final Score & Odds Recap — Phillies Blank Braves 1-0 Behind Luzardo's Latest Gem