Barstool Bush
Predictions

Atlanta Braves at Chicago White Sox

By Bush StaffUpdated 72d ago·2 min read
Atlanta BravesATL(45-22)
Chicago White SoxCWS(35-31)
1—2
FINAL
123456789RHE
ATL
000000100171
CWS
00020000—281

Sale (8-4, 2.23) draws Davis Martin (8-2, 2.61) at Rate Field, first pitch 6:40 PM CT. Two of the better ERAs in the league on the same mound, and the South Side gets the showcase. Sale's last six career starts against his old club have produced a 2-2 record and a 2.92 ERA — most recently a 7-inning, 11-K loss in his 2024 Cy Young run.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Braves(45-22)
LWWWL
1
White Sox(35-31)
WLWLW
2
Best BetWhite Sox +125
Pregame

Atlanta at -142 is asking you to lay a number on a road team missing Acuna and Murphy against a pitcher with a sub-2 ERA in his last several outings. The White Sox at +130 are home, have Martin on the mound, and just took the opener. Take the price.

Atlanta is 45-22 and clearly the better roster on paper, but the version showing up Wednesday is dinged up. Ronald Acuna Jr. is dealing with left hamstring tightness and is listed day-to-day, Sean Murphy is still in a splint, and Drake Baldwin is just now eyeing live BP. They also dropped the series opener 6-5 on Tuesday, which means Sale needs to stop the bleeding or this turns into a real spot.

Atlanta Braves
Chris Sale
(8-5)·2.14 ERA
Jun 4 vs Blue Jays
L
5.2IP
3ER
6K
2BB
108P
06/10 Lineup
Chicago White Sox
Davis Martin
(9-3)·3.18 ERA
Jun 2 @ Twins
L
4.2IP
6ER
2K
3BB
92P
06/10 Lineup
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(45-22)
Jun 9L@ White Sox5-6
Jun 7Wvs Pirates3-2
Jun 6Wvs Pirates6-3
Jun 5Wvs Pirates6-3
Jun 4Lvs Blue Jays2-7
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(35-31)
Jun 9Wvs Braves6-5
Jun 7L@ Phillies5-9
Jun 6W@ Phillies6-3
Jun 5L@ Phillies6-8
Jun 3W@ Twins8-0

Martin has quietly been one of the better arms in the American League — sub-2.00 stretches earlier in the year, 10-strikeout outings against the Angels and Cubs in his rear-view. The catch: his last start was a clunker against Minnesota, 6 earned in 4.2 innings on 92 pitches. Sale wasn't much sharper last time out either, getting tagged for 10 hits in 5.2 against Toronto. Two aces, both coming off losses.

The White Sox at 35-31 are the surprise of the first 10 weeks, and they've got their own injury list — Colson Montgomery is out of the lineup with a back issue, Munetaka Murakami is on the IL with a hamstring, Tyler Gilbert just hit the 15-day with a shoulder impingement. Both bullpens are short, which matters when the total is sitting where it is.

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(13)
  • Day-To-DayBlake Burkhalter (RP) — Triple-A Gwinnett placed Burkhalter on the 7-day injured list March 27 with back spasms, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr. (RF) — Manager Walt Weiss said after Tuesday's game against the White Sox that Acuna is day-to-day with left hamstring tightness, Barrett Sallee of 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.06/10
  • 10-Day-ILDrake Baldwin (C) — Baldwin (oblique) is slated to take live batting practice Thursday and Friday and could be cleared to begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Gwinnett over the weekend, 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.06/10
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Farmer (DH) — Farmer went 1-for-3 with a double, a run scored and two RBI in Sunday's rout of the Guardians.05/18
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Kinley (RP) — Kinley (4-2) picked up the win over the Nationals on Friday, striking out two in a perfect 11th inning.06/10
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF) — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHurston Waldrep (SP) — Waldrep (elbow) had his rehab assignment transferred to Double-A Columbus, where he will make his next start Thursday, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILSean Murphy (C) — Murphy had the cast on his left hand removed Tuesday and is now wearing a splint to protect his fractured middle finger, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reprots.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP) — Schwellenbach (elbow) has begun throwing on flat ground, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILAJ Smith-Shawver (SP) — Manager Walt Weiss said Friday that Smith-Shawver (elbow) has been throwing bullpen sessions, and the next step in his rehab is to face live hitters, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss revealed Wednesday that Jimenez underwent another surgery on his left knee 3-to-4 weeks ago, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/13
  • 60-Day-ILDanny Young (RP) — Atlanta transferred Young (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP) — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
(17)
  • Day-To-DayColson Montgomery (SS) — Montgomery (back) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against Atlanta.06/10
  • Day-To-DayMason Adams (RP) — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILEverson Pereira (RF) — Pereira (pectoral) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Friday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 10-Day-ILMunetaka Murakami (1B) — White Sox manager Will Venable said Monday that Murakami (hamstring) stayed back in Chicago during the team's road trip and was given a platelet-rich plasma injection, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.06/01
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Gilbert (RP) — The White Sox placed Gilbert on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a left shoulder impingement.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILNoah Schultz (SP) — White Sox manager Will Venable said Wednesday that Schultz (knee) remains sore and isn't ready to throw a bullpen session, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILJordan Hicks (RP) — Hicks was placed on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a right lat strain.05/23
  • OutTim Elko (1B) — Elko (knee) agreed to a minor-league contract with the White Sox on Sunday, Jack Ankony of SI.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAustin Hays (LF) — Hays has been pulled off his rehab assignment at Triple-A Charlotte due to a recurrence of left calf soreness, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILKyle Teel (C) — Teel (hamstring) has begun hitting off a tee and doing catching drills, MLB.com reports.06/06
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Leasure (RP) — Leasure (forearm) said Friday that he will be shut down from throwing for four weeks, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.05/30
  • 60-Day-ILKy Bush (SP) — Bush (elbow) had a setback in his recovery from Tommy John surgery and is unlikely to return until the second half of the season, MLB.com reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILDrew Thorpe (SP) — Thorpe (elbow) recently underwent an appendectomy but has resumed throwing, MLB.com reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILPrelander Berroa (RP) — Berroa is dealing with right elbow inflammation and will have his rehab stint paused, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.05/17
  • 60-Day-ILMike Vasil (RP) — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTanner Murray (LF) — The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILBrooks Baldwin (LF) — The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.05/08

Market read: the total opened at -104 to the over and got hammered to +111, meaning the under is the side everyone's leaning into. Two starters with ERAs under 2.70, an Atlanta lineup without Acuna and Murphy, and a White Sox group missing Montgomery and Murakami — that's the math behind the move.

Sources

MLBAtlanta BravesChicago White SoxPolymarketKalshiChris SaleDavis Martin