Barstool Bush
Predictions

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves

By Bush StaffUpdated 64d ago·2 min read
Milwaukee BrewersMIL(45-27)
Atlanta BravesATL(46-27)
2—3
FINAL
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MIL
0010000012110
ATL
00000210—370

Jacob Misiorowski (8-2, 1.34) draws Martín Pérez (5-3, 2.90) at 7:15 PM ET in Atlanta, and that pitching mismatch is doing most of the heavy lifting in this preview. Misiorowski is coming off a 9-inning, 1-hit, 15-strikeout shutout of the Phillies on his last turn. Pérez gave Atlanta 5.1 solid innings in his last start against the Mets, but he isn't built to trade zeros with what Milwaukee is rolling out.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Brewers(45-27)
LWWWL
2
Braves(46-27)
PLLLL
3
Best BetBrewers -179
Pregame

Misiorowski is the closest thing to a no-brainer the moneyline market offers right now: 1.34 ERA, coming off a 1-hit complete game, facing a lineup without Acuña and possibly Harris II. Pérez has been steady but he isn't matching zeros with this arm. Lay the price on the Brewers.

The Braves are running on fumes. Atlanta has lost 4 straight and now has a tied game on the books after Wednesday's suspended 0-0 stalemate against San Francisco. Walt Weiss's club is missing Ronald Acuña Jr., catching Joey Bart was just acquired off the IL from Pittsburgh, Michael Harris II is day-to-day with a back issue, and Jurickson Profar is gone for the year on the PED suspension. The lineup card looks thinner every week.

Milwaukee Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski
(9-4)·1.47 ERA
Jun 12 vs Phillies
W
9.0IP
0ER
15K
0BB
95P
06/19 Lineup
Atlanta Braves
Martín Pérez
(6-5)·3.27 ERA
Jun 13 @ Mets
W
5.1IP
1ER
4K
1BB
71P
06/19 Lineup
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(12)
  • Day-To-DayBrandon Sproat (SP) — Manager Pat Murphy said after Wednesday's win over Cleveland that Sproat's hamstring cramps are minor and won't impact his next scheduled start, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/18
  • 10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge (LF) — Lockridge received a platelet-rich plasma injection in his right knee Thursday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILBrandon Woodruff (SP) — Woodruff (shoulder) allowed three runs over 5.1 innings while notching six strikeouts in a rehab start with High-A Wisconsin on Tuesday.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILColeman Crow (SP) — Crow said Sunday that an MRI on his right forearm revealed a mild flexor strain, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILDL Hall (RP) — Hall received an anti-inflammatory injection for his left pectoral strain Friday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILJared Koenig (RP) — Koenig (elbow) transferred his rehab assignment to Triple-A Nashville on Tuesday and could be activated from the injured list in about a week, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILCarlos Rodriguez (RP) — The Brewers placed Rodriguez on the 15-day injured list Monday due to a right shoulder impingement, MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILLogan Henderson (SP) — Henderson received an injection in his back Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILRob Zastryzny (RP) — The Brewers reinstated Zastrzyny (shoulder/ribs) from the 60-day injured list Sunday.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILQuinn Priester (SP) — Priester will undergo thoracic outlet compression surgery on Monday and is expected to be sidelined 8-to-10 months, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/18
  • 60-Day-ILBrian Fitzpatrick (RP) — Fitzpatrick (elbow) has been diagnosed with a left UCL strain and will get a second opinion to determine if he needs Tommy John surgery, MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILAngel Zerpa (RP) — The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/31
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(13)
  • Day-To-DayMichael Harris II (CF) — Harris (back) is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against San Francisco.06/17
  • 10-Day-ILJoey Bart (C) — Atlanta acquired Bart (foot) from the Pirates on Thursday in exchange for Hunter Stratton.06/19
  • 10-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr. (RF) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Wednesday that Acuna (hamstring) is a "long way" from returning from the 10-day injured list, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 10-Day-ILKyle Farmer (DH) — Farmer went 1-for-3 with a double, a run scored and two RBI in Sunday's rout of the Guardians.05/18
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Kinley (RP) — Kinley (4-2) picked up the win over the Nationals on Friday, striking out two in a perfect 11th inning.06/10
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF) — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Strider (SP) — Atlanta transferred Strider (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILSean Murphy (C) — Murphy had the cast on his left hand removed Tuesday and is now wearing a splint to protect his fractured middle finger, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reprots.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP) — Schwellenbach (elbow) has begun throwing on flat ground, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.05/26
  • 60-Day-ILAJ Smith-Shawver (SP) — Manager Walt Weiss said Friday that Smith-Shawver (elbow) has been throwing bullpen sessions, and the next step in his rehab is to face live hitters, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss revealed Wednesday that Jimenez underwent another surgery on his left knee 3-to-4 weeks ago, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/13
  • 60-Day-ILDanny Young (RP) — Atlanta transferred Young (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP) — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08

Milwaukee, meanwhile, just took a series from Cleveland and sits at 45-27, a half-game back of Atlanta for the best record in this matchup. Pat Murphy's group has built its run on pitching, and Misiorowski is the headliner — he threw a 103.7 mph fastball earlier in June, the fastest tracked pitch ever from a starter. He has pitched a shutout in 6 of his last 7 starts. The Braves are averaging 2.8 runs per game over their recent skid. The math is not friendly.

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(45-27)
Jun 18Lvs Guardians2-4
Jun 17Wvs Guardians9-4
Jun 16Wvs Guardians2-1
Jun 14Wvs Phillies4-0
Jun 13Lvs Phillies8-9
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(46-27)
Jun 18Pvs Giants0-0
Jun 17Lvs Giants5-7
Jun 17Lvs Giants2-7
Jun 16Lvs Giants2-7
Jun 14L@ Mets1-8

Atlanta's best path is what it's always been: get to the Brewers bullpen early. Milwaukee's relief corps is banged up — DL Hall, Carlos Rodriguez, Jared Koenig and Brian Fitzpatrick are all on the IL — so if the Braves can run Misiorowski's pitch count or sneak a lead late, there's a soft underbelly. The problem is getting there. Misiorowski went the full 9 last time out on 95 pitches.

This is the start of a 3-game set, and it's hard to find a worse spot to open one. Atlanta is staring down the hottest pitcher in baseball, a depleted lineup against a quality changeup artist in Pérez, and a fan base that watched 4 in a row slip away. If the Braves are going to flip the vibe, they probably need to do it Saturday or Sunday — not tonight.

Sources

MLBMilwaukee BrewersAtlanta BravesPolymarketKalshiJacob MisiorowskiMartín Pérez