St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers

By JR·2 min read
St. Louis CardinalsSTL(77-84)
Milwaukee BrewersMIL(102-59)
Sunday2:10 PM CT

TLDR: It's the last day of the regular season. The Brewers have the best record in baseball, and the Cardinals are down to their last game of a losing year. The one thing left to settle at American Family Field is whether Jacob Misiorowski finishes with the best ERA a Milwaukee starter has ever posted.

SUN SEP 27, 2:10 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(77-84)
LLLWL
(102-59)
WWWWL

The Brewers, owners of MLB's best record, close the regular season hosting a 77-84 Cardinals team, and Jacob Misiorowski is all but certain to break Mike Caldwell's 1978 franchise ERA record. Milwaukee has won the first 2 of the set, but with the playoffs next, how long Misiorowski and the regulars play matters more than the standings. Andre Pallante and a slumping St. Louis lineup are the other side of a game with only records and tune-ups at stake.

Cardinals
  • Pallante allowed 1 run over 6 innings last start
  • Three of the last 4 losses were by 1-2 runs
  • Brewers starter likely on a short leash
  • Scored 12 runs in the last 5 games
  • Winn out, Jordan and Baez also sidelined
  • Lost 3 straight, including the first 2 here
Brewers
  • Misiorowski owns a 1.86 ERA
  • Won 4 straight, took first 2 of the set
  • Won Saturday's game here by 1 run
  • Ortiz and Vaughn both out of the lineup
  • Nothing to play for before the playoffs
  • Last Misiorowski outing lasted only 3 innings

Misiorowski (15-5, 1.86) takes the ball at 2:10 PM CT, and the record is basically his already. Mike Caldwell's franchise mark of 2.36 has stood since 1978. Per SI's math, Misiorowski could give up 10 earned runs without getting an out and still finish at 2.39. So the question is how long he pitches, not whether he breaks it. His last outing lasted 3 innings on 44 pitches, and a club about to start a deep October run has no reason to push him. Andre Pallante (12-8, 3.61) starts for St. Louis on the road.

Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
(12-8)·3.61 ERA
Sep 22 @ Pirates
L
6.0IP
1ER
2K
2BB
89P
09/27 Lineup
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
(15-5)·1.86 ERA
Sep 20 @ Orioles
ND
3.0IP
0ER
4K
0BB
44P
09/27 Lineup

Pallante has quietly had the best season of any Cardinals starter, with the team's lowest ERA. He followed an 8-run shelling with 6 innings of 1-run ball in Pittsburgh and still took the loss, because his offense got shut out. That's been the Cardinals' problem all week. Masyn Winn is listed out, which takes the everyday shortstop out of a lineup that has scored 12 runs in its last 5 games. Milwaukee isn't at full strength either. Joey Ortiz sat Saturday and Andrew Vaughn is on the IL, so the Brewers' infield will look a little patched. Unsurprisingly, the board has Milwaukee as a heavy favorite.

The Brewers have one reason to care about this game: getting their ace through a clean, short outing before the playoffs. They've won 4 straight and took the first 2 of this set, 8-4 and then 3-2. With the postseason next, expect a light workload for the regulars, a quick hook for the starter and a long day for the relievers who need to show they're ready. Sunday tells you more about how the Brewers plan to handle October than about the standings.

St. Louis is 77-84, has lost 3 straight and is 1-4 in its last 5. The run-scoring numbers are the real concern. In the last 5 games the Cardinals were shut out once, scored 1 run in another and scored 2 in Saturday's 1-run loss here. They've kept games close, though. Three of those 4 losses were decided by 1 or 2 runs, and Pallante has been good enough to keep this one close too.

09/26L@Brewers2-3
09/25L@Brewers4-8
09/24L@Pirates1-2
09/23W@Pirates5-1
09/22L@Pirates0-2
09/26WvsCardinals3-2
09/25WvsCardinals8-4
09/24W@Phillies5-1
09/23W@Phillies4-1
09/22L@Phillies4-6

The Cardinals' injured list reads like a team that's ready for the offseason. Blaze Jordan is done for the year with an ankle injury. Joshua Baez has an oblique strain and Everson Pereira is still on a rehab assignment. Hunter Dobbins had elbow reconstruction and faces a 12-month recovery. The Brewers' list mostly matters for October. Brandon Woodruff is still on flat ground and will be re-evaluated at the end of the month. Quinn Priester and Angel Zerpa have been out for a long time.

For a neutral fan, the reason to watch is to see Misiorowski's arm one more time before it matters for real, and to see the record become official. Everything else in this game is a tune-up for one team and the end of the season for the other.

Live Odds

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers — Misiorowski Chases Brewers ERA Record In Season Finale Against Cardinals | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush