St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins

By Bush StaffUpdated 70d ago·2 min read
St. Louis CardinalsSTL(37-30)
Minnesota TwinsMIN(32-39)
96
FINAL
123456789RHE
STL
2200005009130
MIN
000220011670

Liberatore (3-3, 4.48) draws Connor Prielipp (2-4, 5.15) at 1:10 PM CT in a Saturday matinee that looked very different 24 hours ago. The Cardinals carried a lead into the 7th on Friday and walked out of the building on the wrong side of a 9-8 final. Now they get a lefty matchup with two starters who've been streaky all spring.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Cardinals(37-30)
LLWWW
9
Twins(32-39)
WLWLL
6
Best BetTwins -113
Pregame

The market is treating this as a coin flip at -102/-108, with the Twins a tick ahead on fair probability. With the home field, a fresher offensive top of the order, and a Cardinals pen that just burned multiple high-leverage arms on Friday, the small price on Minnesota is the side I want. No edge to chase here, but if you're picking one, take the team with the better closing setup.

Liberatore is the more stable arm of the two, even if the ERA doesn't scream it. Cardinals beat writers have been pointing out his splits: roughly a 3.20 ERA the first time through and something close to 9.50 the third time. That makes how Oli Marmol handles the 5th inning the actual game within the game. Prielipp, meanwhile, is the 25-year-old lefty whose three-pitch mix had him posting a 2.88 ERA through his first 5 starts before the league started catching up — he's at 49 punchies in 43.2 innings and still misses bats.

St. Louis Cardinals
Matthew Liberatore
(3-5)·5.56 ERA
Jun 6 vs Reds
ND
4.1IP
3ER
4K
3BB
84P
06/13 Lineup
Minnesota Twins
Connor Prielipp
(2-5)·5.17 ERA
Jun 7 vs Royals
L
4.1IP
2ER
7K
1BB
77P
06/13 Lineup
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
(37-30)
Jun 13L@ Twins8-9
Jun 11L@ Mets4-5
Jun 10W@ Mets9-2
Jun 9W@ Mets7-0
Jun 7Wvs Reds5-3
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(32-39)
Jun 13Wvs Cardinals9-8
Jun 11L@ Tigers0-11
Jun 10W@ Tigers6-4
Jun 9L@ Tigers4-10
Jun 7Lvs Royals5-6

The Twins enter as the team that just snapped a brutal stretch by erupting late. Royce Lewis tied Friday's game on the first pitch he saw from Ryne Stanek in the 8th, Brooks Lee followed with the go-ahead bomb, and Byron Buxton was on base all night. That's the third Buxton/Lewis/Lee multi-hit night this week, and it came against a Cardinals bullpen that's been thin since Ryan Fernandez landed on the IL. Walker Jenkins is also expected to start his rehab assignment in Fort Myers this weekend, which puts a real return on the calendar for the first time in over a month.

On the Cardinals side, this is a roster that barely resembles the one that broke camp — Arenado, Goldschmidt, Contreras and Donovan are all gone, and the lineup runs through Masyn Winn, Jordan Walker, Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt. Walker had a 3-run double in Friday's loss and Burleson is locked in. They're 37-30 and playing better than the names on the page suggest, but a 5th-game-in-5-days bullpen is the kind of thing that bleeds quickly in a 1 PM start.

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
(7)
  • Day-To-DayPacky Naughton (RP)Naughton will undergo surgery next month to repair the damaged UCL in his left elbow, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.05/14
  • Day-To-DaySem Robberse (SP)Robberse (elbow) signed a minor-league contract with the Cardinals on Monday, which includes an invitation to spring training, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayVictor Santos (RP)The Red Sox traded Santos (undisclosed) and Nick Robertson to the Cardinals on Friday in exchange for Tyler O'Neill (foot), Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayIxan Henderson (SP)Henderson (elbow) is starting the season on the 60-day injured list at Triple-A Memphis.05/08
  • Day-To-DayZack Thompson (RP)The Cardinals reassigned Thompson (shoulder) to minor-league camp Monday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILRyan Fernandez (RP)The Cardinals recalled Fernandez from Triple-A Memphis on Tuesday.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILRamon Urias (3B)Urias (elbow) returned to St. Louis to undergo an examination on his left elbow, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.06/12
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
(11)
  • Day-To-DayWalker Jenkins (CF)Jenkins (shoulder) could start a rehab assignment with Single-A Fort Myers as soon as Saturday, Aaron Gleeman of AaronGleeman.com reports.06/12
  • Day-To-DayJulian Merryweather (RP)Merryweather (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment with the Twins' rookie-level Florida Complex League affiliate Tuesday, Theodore Tollefson of ZoneCoverage.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayMatt Canterino (SP)Canterino (shoulder) will be with the Twins in big-league spring training but isn't expected to pitch during camp as he continues to recover from shoulder surgery, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILRyan Jeffers (C)Jeffers had the cast and stitches removed from his surgically repaired left hand and has resumed throwing, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILMick Abel (SP)Abel (elbow) struck out five and permitted two hits and no walks over three scoreless frames in his first rehab start with Triple-A St. Paul on Wednesday.06/11
  • 15-Day-ILKendry Rojas (RP)Rojas (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Wednesday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILCole Sands (RP)The Twins returned Sands (forearm) from his rehab assignment Tuesday, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILBailey Ober (SP)Ober has a mild flexor strain and will be shut down for 10-14 days, reports Dan Hayes of The Athletic06/01
  • 60-Day-ILDavid Festa (SP)The Twins announced June 1 that Festa (shoulder) has started a throwing progression, MLB.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILGarrett Acton (RP)no05/19
  • 60-Day-ILPablo Lopez (SP)The Twins placed Lopez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08

Pinnacle's number tells you what to expect — a moneyline pick'em at -102/-108, the total parked at 8.5, and a run line that's still respecting how often these games go either way late. Friday produced 17 runs. Saturday probably won't, but with two starters who don't usually see the 6th and both bullpens already taxed, the path to a low-scoring afternoon is narrow.

MLBSt. Louis CardinalsMinnesota TwinsPolymarketKalshiMatthew LiberatoreConnor Prielipp