Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants

By Bush StaffUpdated 71d ago·2 min read
Chicago CubsCHC(35-34)
San Francisco GiantsSF(28-41)
51
FINAL
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CHC
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SF
000000001140

Javier Assad (3-1, 4.73) gets the ball for the Cubs after Matthew Boyd's IL return got scrapped — Boyd reported shoulder soreness after his last rehab start at Triple-A Iowa, so Craig Counsell is rolling with the guy who already shut down this same Giants lineup. Assad piggybacked Jameson Taillon's hamstring exit on June 8 and tossed 6.1 innings of 1-hit ball in relief. Landen Roupp (5-6, 4.00) counters for San Francisco after going 5.2 strong against Chicago in that same series, but his June 1 outing in Milwaukee (8 ER in 4 IP, with a back issue) is the bigger flashing light.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Cubs(35-34)
WLLLW
5
Giants(28-41)
WLLWL
1
Best BetCubs -108
Pregame

This is essentially a pick'em and the Cubs are the slightly better team by record (35-34 vs 28-41). Assad just held this Giants lineup to 1 hit over 6.1 innings, and getting plus money on the better club in a coin-flip market is the play. Lean Chicago.

The Cubs are 35-34 and just beat up on Colorado 9-3 to salvage the series finale. The Giants sit at 28-41 but rolled into this homestand off an 11-10 firefight win over the Nationals on Wednesday. These two split the first 2 games in San Francisco last week by a combined 3 runs, so the body of work says tight, low-scoring baseball — and the market agrees, with a moneyline sitting essentially at a coin flip.

Chicago Cubs
Javier Assad
(6-1)·4.04 ERA
Apr 19 vs Mets
ND
5.2IP
1ER
3K
0BB
82P
06/12 Lineup
San Francisco Giants
Landen Roupp
(5-7)·4.07 ERA
Jun 6 @ Cubs
ND
5.2IP
1ER
5K
3BB
98P
06/12 Lineup
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
(35-34)
Jun 11W@ Rockies9-3
Jun 11L@ Rockies2-3
Jun 10L@ Rockies3-7
Jun 8Lvs Giants1-2
Jun 6Wvs Giants3-2
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(28-41)
Jun 10Wvs Nationals11-10
Jun 10Lvs Nationals3-6
Jun 9Lvs Nationals3-4
Jun 8W@ Cubs2-1
Jun 6L@ Cubs2-3

Chicago's rotation depth chart looks like a MASH unit. Boyd (shoulder/knee), Taillon (hamstring through the break), Justin Steele (elbow, also out past the All-Star break), Cade Horton, Shelby Miller, Porter Hodge, Hunter Harvey — the Cubs are down 4 starters and a chunk of their bullpen. That's why Assad even has the ball tonight. The Giants aren't whole either: Willy Adames was out of the lineup Wednesday on a day-to-day basis, and Heliot Ramos and Harrison Bader are both still on the IL, which has gutted the outfield.

Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
(13)
  • Day-To-DayBrandon Birdsell (RP)Birdsell (elbow) will miss the entire 2026 season, Jim Callis of MLB Pipeline reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJeff Brigham (RP)Brigham was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A St. Paul, retroactive to April 6, with a left oblique strain, TwinsDaily.com reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayJaxon Wiggins (SP)Cubs manager Craig Counsell said that Wiggins was placed on Triple-A Iowa's 7-day injured list Wednesday due to right elbow inflammation, Meghan Montemurro of the Chicago Tribune reports.05/08
  • paternityTrent Thornton (RP)Thornton (2-1) allowed a run on two hits in an inning of relief to take the loss Monday against the Pirates.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd (SP)Boyd (knee) will no longer return from the injured list to start against the Giants this weekend after reporting shoulder soreness following his latest rehab start Saturday at Triple-A Iowa, Vinnie Duber of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILJameson Taillon (SP)Taillon (hamstring) is expected to be sidelined until after the All-Star break, Vinnie Duber of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILRiley Martin (RP)Martin has been diagnosed with flexor strain in his left elbow and is expected to miss eight weeks, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHunter Harvey (RP)The Cubs moved Harvey (triceps) from the 15-day IL to the 60-day IL on Sunday.05/17
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Steele (SP)Manager Craig Counsell said Tuesday that Steele's (elbow) setback will keep him sidelined until after the All-Star break, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILPorter Hodge (RP)The Cubs transferred Hodge (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday, Taylor McGregor of Marquee Sports Network reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILShelby Miller (RP)The Cubs placed Miller (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILCade Horton (SP)The Cubs transferred Horton (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday, Andy Martinez of Marquee Sports Network reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTyler Austin (1B)The Cubs placed Austin (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
(12)
  • Day-To-DayWilly Adames (SS)Adames is absent from the lineup for Wednesday's game versus the Nationals.06/10
  • 10-Day-ILHeliot Ramos (LF)Ramos (quadriceps) will begin a hitting progression at the Giants' spring training complex in Arizona on Monday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.06/01
  • 10-Day-ILHarrison Bader (CF)Bader isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against Colorado, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/30
  • 15-Day-ILMatt Gage (RP)The Giants placed Gage on the 15-day injured list with knee inflammation Wednesday, reports Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILTyler Mahle (SP)The Giants placed Mahle on the 15-day injured list Friday, retroactive to Wednesday, due to a left hamstring strain, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/29
  • 60-Day-ILJason Foley (RP)Foley was pulled off his rehab assignment after experiencing right shoulder fatigue, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.06/08
  • 60-Day-ILJoel Peguero (RP)The Giants placed Peguero on the 60-day injured list Monday due to a left hamstring strain, John Shea of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILJared Oliva (CF)Oliva (wrist) started at designated hitter and went 2-for-2 with two stolen bases, a double, an RBI and a run scored in Triple-A Sacramento's 6-4 loss to Reno on Saturday.05/31
  • 60-Day-ILRowan Wick (RP)The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILHayden Birdsong (RP)Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP)The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJose Butto (RP)The Giants transferred Butto (arm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08

The narrative tension here is Assad's role flip. He was a swingman insurance policy 4 days ago and is now the de facto rotation patch. The good news is he just punched out 5 of these Giants over 6.1 innings of relief and didn't allow a run. The bad news is they've now seen him, recently, in the same building. Roupp gets a similar second look — he was sharp against the Cubs on June 6 (1 ER, 5 K) but the back issue from June 1 hasn't been ruled out as a lingering thing.

Oracle Park at night, two banged-up clubs, two starters who just faced each other's lineups — the under is a popular instinct, and Pinnacle has the total at 7.5 with juice on the over. The Cubs took the opener of last week's set 3-2 and lost the second 2-1. Don't expect a track meet unless somebody's bullpen springs a leak in the middle innings.

MLBChicago CubsSan Francisco GiantsPolymarketKalshiJavier AssadLanden Roupp