Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners

Fri Aug 217:10 PM PT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: The Cubs are 20 games over .500 and playoff-bound; the Mariners are scrapping to stay alive in a crowded wild-card chase. Saturday night at T-Mobile Park, that contrast gets put to the test.

FINAL · SAT AUG 22, 2:10 AM
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CHC
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SEA
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Chicago Cubs
  • 74-54, clearly the better club season-long
  • Took 2 of 3 from the White Sox recently
  • Boyd carried a strong ERA before his blowup start
  • Bullpen gutted, half a dozen relievers on the IL
  • Boyd's last start: 4 homers allowed, 7 earned runs
  • Swanson (SS) and Shaw both out injured
Seattle Mariners
  • Hancock's last start: 7 IP, 2 ER, 8 K in a win
  • Took the series from Houston recently
  • Playing at home at T-Mobile Park
  • 60-68, well under .500, tough playoff math
  • Got run off the field in a blowout loss to Milwaukee
  • Own bullpen thinned out too (Brash, Criswell, Vargas, Wilcox)

Matthew Boyd (8-2, 4.02 ERA) gets the ball for Chicago, with Emerson Hancock (7-7, 3.30) countering for Seattle when first pitch goes at 7:10 PM PT. Boyd was one of the best stories in the Cubs rotation for most of the summer, but his last time out against the Cardinals turned into a disaster. Hancock, meanwhile, just turned in one of his best starts of the season against Houston.

Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
(8-3)·4.05 ERA
Aug 15 vs Cardinals
L
5.1IP
7ER
2K
3BB
97P
08/21 Lineup
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
(7-8)·3.57 ERA
Aug 15 @ Astros
W
7.0IP
2ER
8K
2BB
97P
08/21 Lineup

Chicago's rotation trouble is compounded by a bullpen that's bled arms all summer — Phil Maton, Ben Brown, Daniel Palencia, Hunter Harvey and Riley Martin are all on extended injured-list stints, and shortstop Dansby Swanson is out with an oblique on top of it. Seattle isn't exactly whole either — Bryan Woo is managing a shoulder issue and J.P. Crawford is still working back from his wrist — but the Mariners at least got Hancock's gem to close out their last homestand. The market's treating this one a lot closer than the records alone would suggest.

That's really the story of this series opener: a genuinely good Cubs team walking a tightrope with a taxed pitching staff, against a middling Mariners club trying to squeeze one more push out of a lineup and rotation that don't have much margin left for error.

08/19LvsWhite Sox0-3
08/19WvsWhite Sox4-3
08/18WvsWhite Sox7-5
08/16LvsCardinals4-11
08/15LvsCardinals4-8
08/20L@Brewers4-7
08/19W@Brewers7-5
08/18L@Brewers0-22
08/16W@Astros3-2
08/15W@Astros10-5

Seattle's form card is rockier than the record suggests. After taking both meetings with Houston, the Mariners were run off the field by Milwaukee in an ugly loss before bouncing back to win the next one and dropping the finale — good for 1 of the first 3 against the Brewers so far. Chicago's stretch reads calmer on the surface: they dropped both of their looks at St. Louis in that window, the Boyd blowup among them, before rattling off 2 of 3 against the crosstown White Sox to get right again.

The injury sheets read almost like organizational depth charts at this point. Chicago's already without Justin Steele, Cade Horton and Porter Hodge for extended stretches, and Kevin Gausman is day-to-day after leaving his last start with a hand cramp — thin margins for a staff that just watched its most reliable arm have a nightmare outing. Seattle's not much healthier: Luke Raley's done for the year, Colt Emerson and J.P. Crawford are both trying to work back, and even Woo is on the day-to-day list. Neither dugout is at full strength walking into this one.

Whatever's still realistically in play for Seattle this year, T-Mobile Park has at least given them one recent statement — see Hancock's near-masterpiece against Houston. For Chicago, the assignment is simpler: stop the bleeding, get length out of Boyd, and remind everyone why they're 20 games over .500. Whoever solves that first probably takes the opener.

Cubs 5, Mariners 6: Final Score & Odds Recap — Cubs Bring Records Gap, Mariners Bring Thin Margins