Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals

Sun Aug 91:10 PM CT
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: The Cubs are 5.5 games back in the NL Central and running out of season to close the gap. Kansas City's only real agenda is finding out if Randy Dobnak is actually this good.

FINAL · SUN AUG 9, 6:10 PM
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Chicago Cubs
  • 68-50, chasing a playoff spot in a real race
  • Boyd is 7-1 with a strong ERA
  • Just swept the Dodgers, lineup clicking
  • Lost the most recent meeting with Kansas City
  • Bullpen gutted by a long injury list
  • Boyd's last start let up 9 hits, 4 earned
Kansas City Royals
  • Dobnak has a 1.16 ERA in his last four starts
  • Won last game, momentum heading into finale
  • Nothing to lose, no pressure on a rebuilding club
  • 49-69, on pace for a brutal season
  • Advanced metrics say Dobnak's ERA won't hold
  • Pasquantino and Garcia both out of the lineup

Matthew Boyd (7-1, 3.59 ERA) gets the ball for Chicago looking to salvage the rubber match after Kansas City took Saturday's nightcap. Randy Dobnak, a waiver-wire pickup who was driving for Uber not that long ago, counters for the Royals with a 1.16 ERA that nobody saw coming.

Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
(8-2)·4.15 ERA
Aug 3 vs Dodgers
W
6.2IP
4ER
3K
1BB
92P
08/09 Lineup
Randy Dobnak
Randy Dobnak
(2-1)·1.58 ERA
Aug 4 vs Twins
W
5.0IP
1ER
1K
3BB
90P
08/09 Lineup

Dobnak's story is the best thing going for this Royals team right now. He was traded from Minnesota in June for essentially nothing, got recalled from Triple-A Omaha, and has been lights-out through his first four big-league starts back — a 1.16 ERA nobody in Kansas City's front office projected. The industry-wide read is that the ERA is running well ahead of his peripherals, and regression is coming eventually. Sunday just isn't guaranteed to be the day.

The gap between these two rosters is real. The Cubs added Clay Holmes and Ryan Zeferjahn at the deadline to fortify a bullpen that's been gutted by injury, and they're still hunting a division-leading Milwaukee club they trail by 5.5 games with less than two months to play. The Royals, meanwhile, are on pace for something close to 100 losses and are just trying to find out which of their young arms and reclamation projects are worth building around in 2027.

08/08L@Royals3-6
08/08W@Royals6-4
08/06WvsBlue Jays3-2
08/05WvsDodgers7-6
08/05WvsDodgers5-1
08/08WvsCubs6-3
08/08LvsCubs4-6
08/06LvsTwins3-4
08/05WvsTwins2-1
08/04WvsTwins8-2

Chicago's lineup has been the story of the last two weeks — a sweep of the Dodgers sandwiched a win over Toronto before the Cubs dropped Saturday's first game to Kansas City and rebounded, well, in the loss column at least, they're still 4-1 across their last five. Pete Crow-Armstrong has been doing serious damage in that stretch. The Royals counter with their own recent jolt: Saturday's win snapped a two-game slide and pushed them to 3-2 over their last five, with Dobnak's turn in the rotation the biggest reason for the flicker of momentum.

Both injury boards are ugly, but in different ways. Chicago's list is almost entirely pitching — a parade of relievers on the 15- and 60-day IL that's forced Craig Counsell to lean on newcomers just to fill innings. Kansas City is bleeding position players too, with Vinnie Pasquantino and Maikel Garcia both sidelined, which thins out a lineup that already isn't scaring anybody. Neither team is at full strength walking into this series finale at Kauffman.

Kauffman Stadium is forecast for a sunny, 90-degree afternoon at 1:10 PM CT, the kind of heat that tends to help the ball carry. With a rebuilding team's fifth starter matched against a contender's rotation piece trying to keep pace in a real playoff race, the stakes here are lopsided — but Dobnak's given Kansas City just enough reason to think this one won't be easy.

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