Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners

Diamondbacks Try to Steal Series Opener Behind Red-Hot Ryne Nelson

By Pablo SanchezUpdated 38d ago·1 min read
7:10 PM PT
Arizona DiamondbacksARI(31-25)
Seattle MarinersSEA(29-29)
15
FINAL
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ARI
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SEA
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Final box score — data via ESPN.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson
(2-5)·5.19 ERA
May 24 vs Rockies
W
8.0IP
1ER
3K
3BB
103P
Seattle Mariners
Bryan Woo
(5-5)·4.28 ERA
May 24 @ Royals
L
4.2IP
4ER
4K
2BB
91P
On the mound — starting pitchers.

Ryne Nelson (2-3, 4.65) gets the ball for the Diamondbacks coming off a career night — 8 innings of 1-run ball on 103 pitches against the Rockies, his fifth straight quality start. Bryan Woo (4-3, 3.82) counters for Seattle, but his last time out he got bounced in the 5th by Kansas City, charged with 4 earned on 6 hits.

Arizona had won 4 in a row before walking into T-Mobile and losing a 7-6 nailbiter on Friday. They've been one of the better stories in the NL West at 31-25 even with the IL looking like a small village — Corbin Burnes, A.J. Puk, Jordan Lawlar, Justin Martinez, James McCann, all out. If Nelson keeps doing what he's been doing, that rotation hole stops being a hole.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(31-25)
May 30L@ Mariners6-7
May 27W@ Giants3-2
May 27W@ Giants7-5
May 25W@ Giants6-2
May 24Wvs Rockies9-1
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(29-29)
May 30Wvs Diamondbacks7-6
May 27W@ Athletics9-1
May 27W@ Athletics4-1
May 26W@ Athletics9-2
May 24L@ Royals6-8
Recent form.

Nolan Arenado is the new wrinkle. He got drilled on the arm by a pitch Friday, came out of the game, and is listed day-to-day with the groin that's been bugging him. Whether he's in the lineup or not changes the look of this Arizona offense in a hurry — and Seattle's bullpen is still working without Cal Raleigh behind the plate.

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
(17)
  • Day-To-DayNolan Arenado 3BArenado (groin) was removed from Friday's game against the Mariners after getting hit on the arm by a pitch, Jody Jackson of Bally Sports Arizona reports.
  • Day-To-DayA.J. Vukovich CFno
  • Day-To-DayDerek Law RPno
  • Day-To-DaySpencer Giesting SP
  • Day-To-DayKyle Amendt RPAmendt was invited to major-league spring training by the Diamondbacks, Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports reports.
  • 10-Day-ILLourdes Gurriel Jr. LFGurriel's hamstring injury is believed to be fairly minor, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports. Manager Torey Lovullo said Saturday the hope is Gurriel will be able to return from the injured list when first eligible.
  • 10-Day-ILJames McCann CManager Torey Lovullo said Tuesday that McCann (quad) will likely be sidelined for 4-to-6 weeks, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
  • 10-Day-ILCarlos Santana 1BSantana suffered a setback with his right adductor strain Sunday while on a rehab assignment with Triple-A Reno, Nick Piecoro of The Arizona Republic reports.
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
(8)
  • Day-To-DaySpencer Packard OF
  • Day-To-DayTeddy McGraw SPMcGraw is working his way back from right elbow issues, Jonathan Mayo of MLB Pipeline reports.
  • 10-Day-ILCal Raleigh CRaleigh (oblique) began taking swings in a batting cage Friday, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports
  • 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan 3BMariners general manager Justin Hollander said Sunday that Donovan will receive a platelet-rich plasma injection for his strained left groin as well as his adductor and is expected to resume baseball activity in 2-to-3 weeks, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
  • 10-Day-ILWill Wilson 3BThe Mariners placed Wilson on the 10-day injured list Saturday due to a fractured left thumb.
  • 60-Day-ILMiles Mastrobuoni 3BMastrobuoni (calf) began a rehab assignment Monday with the Mariners' Arizona Complex League affiliate, going 0-for-2 with a 1:1 K:BB.
  • 60-Day-ILLogan Evans SPThe Mariners placed Evans (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
  • 60-Day-ILCarlos Vargas RPVargas (lat) has suffered a setback in his recovery, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
Injury report — info via ESPN.

The market is leaning Seattle. Pinnacle has the Mariners at -149 on the moneyline with a fair probability around 58%, and the run line sits at -1.5 (+149 home / -170 away). The total is a tidy 6.5, juiced to the over at -129. DraftKings handle is split — 86% of spread money is on Seattle -1.5 while 77% of total bets are tickets on the over.

If Nelson is who he's been the last month, this is a live underdog play even on the road. Woo's been giving up loud contact in his recent starts and the D-backs have scored 6+ in 4 of their last 5. Give me Arizona to keep this one close into the late innings.

MLBArizona DiamondbacksSeattle MarinersPinnaclePolymarketKalshiRyne NelsonBryan Woo