San Diego just got blanked at home by this same team. Now Arizona comes back for more against a Padres club that looks like it's coming apart.
Bush’s PicksPicks madeJul 7, 4:22 AM CT
+115+104ARISD-113
-194ARI +1.5SD -1.5+173
-123-130Over 8.5Under 8.5+113
Best BetDiamondbacks +104
Arizona comes in as the moneyline underdog on the board, but that price looks generous against a Padres team that just got shut out by this exact opponent and whose top hitters have gone cold for weeks. San Diego's rotation is so thin that Marquez is essentially a fill-in, which evens out Gallen's own ugly numbers. Take the plus-money and bank on Arizona's deadline-buyer urgency showing up again.
Diamondbacks
+Just blanked San Diego 8-0 on the road
+Front office committed to buying at deadline
+Bullpen relatively fresher than San Diego's
−Gallen owns a league-worst 6.36 ERA
−Rotation gutted: Burnes, Soroka, Nelson, Walston all out
−Split their last 5 games, no real momentum
Padres
+Mason Miller anchors a dominant bullpen
+Playing at home under a new manager's push
+Talent still on the roster if it clicks
−Rotation shredded: Vasquez, Giolito, Pivetta, Waldron, Musgrove out
−Core trio Machado/Tatis/Merrill scuffling badly
−Just got shut out 8-0 by this same team
Zac Gallen (3-8, 6.36 ERA) gets the ball for Arizona, and it's been a brutal season for a guy who was a Cy Young contender not long ago. German Marquez (3-2, 5.79 ERA) counters for San Diego off a last start that saw him give up 7 earned runs in 5 innings against the White Sox. Neither arm inspires much confidence walking into this one.
The bigger story is what's happening around these pitchers. Arizona's rotation has been gutted, with Corbin Burnes, Michael Soroka, Ryne Nelson and Blake Walston all on the shelf, forcing Gallen to soak up innings he probably shouldn't be trusted with. San Diego's situation might be worse: Randy Vasquez, Lucas Giolito, Nick Pivetta, Matt Waldron and Joe Musgrove are all out, and first-year manager Craig Stammen is scraping together a staff on the fly while an overworked bullpen tries to hold the line.
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ARI Diamondbacks
SD Padres
San Diego's lineup hasn't picked up the slack either. The Padres just got shut out 8-0 by Arizona, and their supposed core of Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jackson Merrill has been quietly awful for weeks. That's a rough combination with a rotation in tatters, and it's part of why the market has shifted this hard toward Arizona despite the Diamondbacks sitting at .500 themselves.
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
Recent form.
Arizona isn't exactly rolling — 2 losses in its last 5 before Tuesday's blowout — but the front office has made clear it's buying at the deadline, not selling, and that mindset matters in a game like this. San Diego, meanwhile, is trying to avoid a crisis. Craig Stammen inherited a team that was flirting with a franchise-worst losing streak just days ago, and the fanbase's patience with a mercurial front office is wearing thin.
Arizona Diamondbacks
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
San Diego Padres
(0)
Fully healthy — no injuries on ESPN's report
Injury report — info via ESPN.
Between the two injury lists, there's barely a full healthy rotation to be found on either side, which tends to mean baserunners, bullpen games and unpredictable scoring. Mason Miller still gives the Padres a lockdown closer if the game stays within reach, but getting to the ninth with a lead is the problem — not the ninth itself.
