Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers

By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Milwaukee took a 2-1 grinder in the NLCS opener, and Los Angeles now gets a quick turnaround with a 4:00 PM CT first pitch at American Family Field. Two 100-win clubs, one run apart through 9 innings, and the Dodgers need to avoid going home down 2 games.

MON 10/12, 4:00 PMFoxFS1
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Milwaukee leads the NLCS 1-0 after a 2-1 win in which its bullpen threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings behind Misiorowski. Game 2 is set up as Yamamoto against Logan Henderson, a young right-hander who has never allowed more than 3 runs in a big-league start. It comes on a night-to-afternoon turnaround that puts both thinned bullpens in play. The Dodgers' lineup, held to 1 run on 7 hits in the opener, has to wake up to send the series to Los Angeles even.

Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Yamamoto lined up for Game 2
  • Held Atlanta to 1 run in last 2 wins
  • Brewers pen worked 4 2/3 innings Sunday
  • 7 hits, 1 run in Game 1
  • Treinen, Graterol, Casparius among relievers on IL
  • Skubal start wasted, need a win at Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
  • Henderson has never allowed more than 3 runs in a start
  • Bullpen threw 4 2/3 scoreless in the opener
  • Turang, Lara delivered in a 1-run game
  • Short turnaround after a heavy bullpen night
  • Woodruff and Priester out, thin rotation depth
  • Lineup scored just 2 off Skubal

The Game 1 arms are done. Tarik Skubal went 5 innings with 7 strikeouts and still took the loss, and Jacob Misiorowski worked through 5 hits and 3 walks to give up 1 run over 4 1/3 innings. For Game 2, the Dodgers have Yoshinobu Yamamoto lined up and the Brewers are handing the ball to Logan Henderson. Henderson is a 24-year-old right-hander who has made 24 big-league starts between the regular season and the postseason and has never allowed more than 3 runs in any of them.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(14-9)·2.53 ERA
Sep 23 vs Padres
L
6.0IP
2ER
4K
1BB
88P
10/12 Lineup
Logan Henderson
Logan Henderson
(11-3)·2.47 ERA
Sep 23 @ Phillies
W
5.0IP
1ER
3K
3BB
87P
10/12 Lineup

The Dodgers' lineup is the real problem. They had 7 hits on Sunday and scored once, on Andy Pages's single in the 2nd, and then they couldn't touch the Milwaukee bullpen for the last 4 2/3 innings. The Brewers won the game on small stuff. Brice Turang tied it with a homer off Skubal in the 4th, and in the 5th a walk and a bunt put Garrett Mitchell in scoring position for Luis Lara's go-ahead single. With the total sitting this low, the board expects another one like it.

There's a catch in how Milwaukee won. They needed 4 relievers to protect a 1-run lead in a night game, and Game 2 starts in the afternoon. If Henderson can't get deep, Pat Murphy's options come out of a bullpen that just carried almost half a game. Los Angeles is thin in relief too, with Blake Treinen, Brusdar Graterol, Ben Casparius, Jake Cousins and Will Klein all on the IL. So whichever starter goes longer probably decides this one.

10/11L@Brewers1-2
10/07W@Braves4-1
10/06W@Braves3-1
10/04LvsBraves2-3
10/03WvsBraves5-3
10/11WvsDodgers2-1
10/07W@Padres3-1
10/06L@Padres3-4
10/04WvsPadres4-3
10/03WvsPadres3-2

Both clubs came in sharp. The Dodgers won 3 of 4 against Atlanta to reach this round, mostly with pitching: they held the Braves to 1 run in each of their last 2 wins. Milwaukee won 3 of 4 over San Diego, and 3 of those 4 games were decided by 1 run. That's how this team plays. Sunday was more of the same.

The injury lists mostly hit the pitching. On the Milwaukee side, Brandon Woodruff is still waiting on clearance to throw off a mound, and Quinn Priester, Angel Zerpa, Brian Fitzpatrick and Grant Anderson are all on the IL. The Dodgers have lost several relievers they'd normally use in the 7th and 8th. Treinen is the one with an outside chance to come back, after Andrew Friedman said he hasn't been ruled out for the postseason.

Milwaukee owns home field and has the lead, and it has a young starter who has never really been hit hard. Los Angeles has the better-known starter and a lineup that can't go quiet 2 games in a row. A win sends the Dodgers home level. A loss means the 103-win Brewers have both games at home in hand before anyone gets on a plane.

NLCS Game 2: Dodgers Chase a Split as the Brewers Defend Home Field | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush