Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants

By JR·2 min read

TLDR: The Dodgers have 98 wins and a postseason date coming, so this Saturday at Oracle Park is really a dress rehearsal. What matters is whether Blake Snell's groin holds up, and the Giants are the ones standing in for October.

SAT SEP 26, 1:05 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(98-62)
WLLWW
(65-95)
LLLWL

The Dodgers are tuning up for the postseason and the Giants are playing out the string, and Blake Snell's first start back from a groin injury is the main thing to watch. Wilkinson blanked this Dodgers lineup for 5 innings last week, but he pitches in front of a lineup with every Opening Day regular on the injured list. The board has Los Angeles as a heavy favorite with a low total.

Dodgers
  • Snell 1.86 ERA when healthy
  • Won the opener 2-0 Friday
  • Facing a Giants lineup without any Opening Day regulars
  • Snell's last start ended after 1 inning (groin)
  • Bullpen without Henriquez, Klein, Casparius, Graterol
  • Scored 3 runs in 2 losses to the Padres
Giants
  • Wilkinson threw 5 scoreless vs LA last start
  • Wilkinson issued 0 walks, struck out 6 last time
  • Every Opening Day regular on the IL
  • Lost 3 straight, 1-4 in last 5
  • Shut out in Friday's opener

Snell (4-1, 1.86) takes the ball at 1:05 PM PT in his first start since leaving his September 16 outing in Cincinnati after 1 inning with left groin tightness. Dave Roberts said the left-hander would make 1 more start before the postseason, and Snell threw a bullpen session Tuesday that he felt good about. The ERA is elite. The real questions are how long the Dodgers let him go and whether he's still thinking about the groin in the 4th inning. Across the way is Matt Wilkinson (1-3, 3.65), another lefty, so it's southpaw against southpaw by the Bay.

Blake Snell
Blake Snell
(4-1)·1.86 ERA
Sep 16 @ Reds
ND
1.0IP
0ER
1K
0BB
19P
09/26 Lineup
Matt Wilkinson
Matt Wilkinson
(1-3)·3.65 ERA
Sep 20 @ Dodgers
ND
5.0IP
0ER
6K
0BB
76P
09/26 Lineup

Wilkinson is the reason the Giants aren't a total write-off today. In his 5th career start, at Dodger Stadium last Sunday, he threw 5 scoreless innings on 76 pitches: 3 hits, 0 walks, 6 strikeouts. NBC Sports Bay Area called it his best big-league start yet. It still ended as a 3-1 loss that finished a Dodgers sweep, and that sums up the Giants' September. The arm showed up and the bats didn't. The board expects more of the same, with Los Angeles priced as a heavy road favorite.

The lineup Wilkinson gets behind him is barely recognizable. San Francisco has put every member of its Opening Day lineup on the injured list. Rafael Devers is done after abdominal surgery, Matt Chapman is on the 60-day, Willy Adames is still working back from his elbow, and Jung Hoo Lee (groin contusion) and Bryce Eldridge (concussion) both went down this month. Friday night's 2-0 loss in the opener of this final series showed the result: 0 runs from a lineup of fill-ins.

09/25W@Giants2-0
09/24LvsPadres2-4
09/23LvsPadres1-5
09/22WvsPadres7-0
09/20WvsGiants3-1
09/25LvsDodgers0-2
09/23LvsTwins2-4
09/22LvsTwins2-3
09/21WvsTwins5-2
09/20L@Dodgers1-3

The Dodgers have looked less invincible than 98-62 suggests. They took 1 of 3 from the Padres at home, and in the 2 losses they scored a total of 3 runs. Then they got just 2 runs across in Friday's opener, though that was all the pitching needed. The Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 and have lost 3 straight. Their only win in that stretch came against Minnesota, and the only thing keeping games close has been starting pitching.

  • Day-To-DayBlake Snell (SP) — Snell (groin) is expected to start Saturday's game against the Giants.09/22
  • 15-Day-ILEdgardo Henriquez (RP) — Henriquez has a "low-grade" back strain, and the team is "hopeful" the reliever will be back for the postseason.09/16
  • 60-Day-ILWill Klein (RP) — Klein (elbow) threw live batting practice Tuesday.09/22
  • 60-Day-ILEric Lauer (SP) — The Dodgers transferred Lauer (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday.09/11
  • 60-Day-ILGavin Stone (SP) — Stone (shoulder/biceps) resumed his rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday, allowing three runs over two-thirds of an inning.09/10
  • 60-Day-ILJake Cousins (RP) — Cousins (elbow) began a rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday, striking out one and issuing one walk in a scoreless frame.09/03
  • 60-Day-ILBen Casparius (RP) — Casparius (shoulder) experienced arm fatigue while on a minor-league rehab assignment and has been shut down from throwing.09/02
  • 60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol (RP) — Graterol (shoulder) underwent surgery recently for a back injury he suffered while on a rehab assignment.06/01
  • OutLanden Roupp (SP) — Roupp (9-14) allowed two runs on five hits and three walks while striking out four over 4.1 innings to take the loss Monday against the Cardinals.09/22
  • Day-To-DayOsleivis Basabe (2B) — Basabe isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Padres.09/23
  • 7-Day ILBryce Eldridge (DH) — Eldridge was placed on the 7-day concussion injured list Monday, retroactive to Friday.09/21
  • 10-Day-ILWilly Adames (SS) — Adames (elbow) intends to take batting practice and participate in fielding work Monday.09/21
  • 10-Day-ILJung Hoo Lee (RF) — Lee was placed on the 10-day injured list Monday due to a groin contusion.09/21
  • 10-Day-ILNate Furman (2B) — Furman is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Mets.09/19
  • 15-Day-ILReiver Sanmartin (RP) — The Giants placed Sanmartin on the 15-day injured list Saturday, retroactive to Sept. 17, with a right oblique strain.09/19
  • 15-Day-ILLogan Webb (SP) — The Giants placed Webb on the 15-day injured list Friday with a right middle finger blister.09/19
  • 15-Day-ILJT Brubaker (RP) — Brubaker (ribs) resumed a throwing program over the weekend.09/07
  • 60-Day-ILBlade Tidwell (RP) — Tidwell has been recommended to undergo Tommy John surgery.09/24
  • 60-Day-ILRandy Rodriguez (RP) — Rodriguez (elbow) will pitch in the Arizona Fall League.09/15
  • 60-Day-ILRafael Devers (1B) — Devers (abdomen) is expected to undergo season-ending surgery Tuesday.09/13
  • 60-Day-ILCarson Whisenhunt (SP) — Whisenhunt will undergo Tommy John surgery Sept. 16.09/09
  • 60-Day-ILJesus Rodriguez (C) — The Giants transferred Rodriguez (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Friday.09/04
  • 60-Day-ILKeaton Winn (RP) — The Giants transferred Winn (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday.09/03
  • 60-Day-ILAdrian Houser (SP) — The Giants transferred Houser (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday, effectively ending his season.09/01
  • 60-Day-ILMatt Gage (RP) — Gage was pulled off his rehab assignment and shut down from throwing for a week after experiencing discomfort in his left elbow.09/01
  • 60-Day-ILCasey Schmitt (LF) — The Giants transferred Schmitt (knee) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.08/30
  • 60-Day-ILJoel Peguero (RP) — Peguero has been shut down for the season due to a recurring left hamstring injury.08/21
  • 60-Day-ILDaniel Susac (C) — Susac (knee) was placed on the 10-day injured list Monday.08/19
  • 60-Day-ILHarrison Bader (CF) — Bader (foot) won't return from the 10-day injured list before the end of the season.08/19
  • 60-Day-ILMatt Chapman (3B) — The Giants transferred Chapman (abdomen) to the 60-day injured list Thursday.08/14
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor McDonald (SP) — McDonald is scheduled to undergo UCL reconstruction surgery in early August.08/13

The Dodgers' injury list matters most in the bullpen. Edgardo Henriquez is out with a low-grade back strain, and the team is hopeful he's back for the postseason. Will Klein, Ben Casparius, Jake Cousins and Brusdar Graterol are all on the 60-day list. If Snell's day is short, the relievers who pick it up aren't the ones Roberts would choose in October. On the Giants' side, Logan Webb (blister) and Landen Roupp are both unavailable, which is why a rookie lefty is starting a rivalry game in the last week of the season.

It's cloudy and 67 at Oracle with a 9 mph breeze, which is normal pitcher-friendly weather there. Nothing is at stake in the standings for San Francisco. For Los Angeles, the whole game comes down to whether Snell can make it through 5 healthy innings. Anything beyond that is a bonus.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants — Snell's Groin Gets Its Test Run Against What's Left of the Giants | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush