Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers

By Bush StaffUpdated 65d ago·1 min read
Cleveland GuardiansCLE(39-35)
Milwaukee BrewersMIL(45-26)
42
FINAL
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CLE
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MIL
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Two lefties, two very different vibes. Messick (6-3, 2.68) has been one of the quieter great stories in the AL — 2.68 ERA through his age-25 season — while Shane Drohan is a converted bulk reliever the Brewers just slotted into the rotation and immediately had Pat Murphy gushing about his poise. First pitch 1:10 PM CT.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Guardians(39-35)
LLPWW
4
Brewers(45-26)
WWWLW
2
Best BetGuardians +124
Pregame

Messick at +133 is the play in a vacuum — a 2.68 ERA arm is not supposed to be a plus-money dog, even on the road, even against a 45-26 team. The price is paying you for the lineup absences, but the Brewers are also running out a converted reliever. Take the value on Cleveland to win it outright.

The Guardians' problem isn't the arm they're sending out, it's everything behind him. Jose Ramirez is gone 5-to-7 weeks after hamate surgery, Angel Martinez is on the IL with a foot, and Chase DeLauter just joined them Wednesday with a rib issue. That's the heart of the order and two outfielders. Cleveland scratched 1 run on Tuesday and got steamrolled 9-4 on Wednesday — small sample, but the Ramirez-less lineup is going to look like that a lot.

Cleveland Guardians
Parker Messick
(7-5)·2.85 ERA
Jun 10 vs Yankees
L
5.2IP
4ER
4K
3BB
100P
06/18 Lineup
Milwaukee Brewers
Shane Drohan
(3-2)·3.12 ERA
Jun 13 vs Phillies
L
5.0IP
4ER
7K
0BB
78P
06/18 Lineup
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
(6)
  • Day-To-DayTanner Burns (SP)no06/17
  • Day-To-DayCarlos Hernandez (RP)Hernandez (shoulder) began his rehab assignment with Triple-A Omaha on Friday.05/08
  • 10-Day-ILChase DeLauter (RF)The Guardians placed DeLauter (rib) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.06/17
  • 10-Day-ILJose Ramirez (3B)Ramirez underwent surgery to address the hamate bone fracture in his left hand Tuesday and is expected to be sidelined 5-to-7 weeks, Zack Meisel of The Athletic reports.06/16
  • 10-Day-ILAngel Martinez (LF)Martinez (foot) will be placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday, reports Cade Cracas of Sports Illustrated.06/16
  • 15-Day-ILErik Sabrowski (RP)Sabrowski (elbow) joined High-A Lake County on Sunday to begin a rehab assignment, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.06/15
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(12)
  • Day-To-DayBrandon Sproat (SP)Manager Pat Murphy said after Wednesday's win over Cleveland that Sproat's hamstring cramps are minor and won't impact his next scheduled start, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/18
  • 10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge (LF)Lockridge received a platelet-rich plasma injection in his right knee Thursday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILBrandon Woodruff (SP)Woodruff (shoulder) allowed three runs over 5.1 innings while notching six strikeouts in a rehab start with High-A Wisconsin on Tuesday.06/17
  • 15-Day-ILColeman Crow (SP)Crow said Sunday that an MRI on his right forearm revealed a mild flexor strain, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILDL Hall (RP)Hall received an anti-inflammatory injection for his left pectoral strain Friday, MLB.com reports.06/15
  • 15-Day-ILJared Koenig (RP)Koenig (elbow) transferred his rehab assignment to Triple-A Nashville on Tuesday and could be activated from the injured list in about a week, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.06/10
  • 15-Day-ILCarlos Rodriguez (RP)The Brewers placed Rodriguez on the 15-day injured list Monday due to a right shoulder impingement, MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 15-Day-ILLogan Henderson (SP)Henderson received an injection in his back Tuesday, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/03
  • 15-Day-ILRob Zastryzny (RP)The Brewers reinstated Zastrzyny (shoulder/ribs) from the 60-day injured list Sunday.06/03
  • 60-Day-ILQuinn Priester (SP)Priester (shoulder) will have a follow-up visit Tuesday with thoracic surgeon Dr. Gregory Pearl, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILBrian Fitzpatrick (RP)Fitzpatrick (elbow) has been diagnosed with a left UCL strain and will get a second opinion to determine if he needs Tommy John surgery, MLB.com reports.06/09
  • 60-Day-ILAngel Zerpa (RP)The Brewers transferred Zerpa (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.05/31

Milwaukee, meanwhile, is 45-26 and playing the cleanest baseball in the NL. They've taken 4 of their last 5, the bullpen's been mowing, and even with Woodruff, Priester, Crow and Henderson all on the IL the rotation keeps producing usable starts. Drohan's last time out he went 5 with 7 punchouts and zero walks against the Phillies — the line (4 ER) was uglier than the stuff.

Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
(39-35)
Jun 17L@ Brewers4-9
Jun 16L@ Brewers1-2
Jun 14Pvs Tigers0-0
Jun 13Wvs Tigers3-1
Jun 12Wvs Tigers3-2
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
(45-26)
Jun 17Wvs Guardians9-4
Jun 16Wvs Guardians2-1
Jun 14Wvs Phillies4-0
Jun 13Lvs Phillies8-9
Jun 12Wvs Phillies6-0

The shape of this game writes itself: Messick keeps it tight into the 6th, Cleveland needs to scratch 2 or 3 against a lefty starter who can spin it, and then it's on a depleted Guardians lineup to do something against a Brewers pen that's been one of the better units in baseball. Doable. Not easy.

Getaway day, 1:10 local, Guardians flying to Houston after. Cleveland would really, really like to not get swept here before walking into Daikin Park. This is the spot where Messick has to be the guy.

MLBCleveland GuardiansMilwaukee BrewersPolymarketKalshiParker MessickShane Drohan