Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays

Sat Jul 256:10 PM ET
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: Cleveland's clinging to a wild card spot, but Tampa Bay just swept its way through Toronto and owns the best home record in the league — this is not the spot to snap out of a slump.

FINAL · SAT JUL 25, 10:10 PM
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Cleveland Guardians
  • Won 2 of last 5, including a 13-4 rout
  • Bibee cruised last start: 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 K
  • Holds AL Central lead and a wild card spot
  • Dropped 3 of last 5, lost Twins finale 1-3
  • Angel Martinez and Tim Herrin both sidelined
  • Road test vs. the AL's best home team
Tampa Bay Rays
  • Best home record in the AL at 35-15
  • Nick Martinez rolling: 9-2, 2.59 ERA
  • Riding a hot week, 2.5-game division lead
  • Bullpen thin — Rodriguez, Uceta, Heasley all long-term out
  • Lost series finale in Toronto, 1-3
  • Walls day-to-day, Fraley and Lux also out

Tanner Bibee (4-9, 3.86) gets the ball for Cleveland on Saturday, and the record undersells him a bit — he struck out 5 over 6 innings in a win against the Twins on July 20. He's opposite Nick Martinez, who's quietly been the best story in the Rays' rotation all year at 9-2 with a 2.59 ERA, with first pitch set for 6:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field.

Cleveland Guardians
Tanner Bibee
(4-11)·3.85 ERA
Jul 20 vs Twins
W
6.0IP
2ER
5K
1BB
95P
07/25 Lineup
Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Martinez
(11-3)·2.65 ERA
Jul 20 @ Blue Jays
W
6.0IP
1ER
0K
1BB
82P
07/25 Lineup

Martinez needed just 82 pitches to get through 6 innings against Toronto his last time out, and that kind of efficiency matters for a Tampa Bay bullpen that's already down Manuel Rodriguez, Edwin Uceta and Jonathan Heasley to long-term injury. Cleveland's pen has its own hole, with Tim Herrin still working back from an elbow issue in Triple-A.

None of that has slowed Tampa Bay down. The Rays own the best home record in the American League and just took 3 of 4 from the Blue Jays on the road, outscoring Toronto by a combined 22 runs during the winning stretch and pushing their AL East lead to 2.5 games.

07/23LvsTwins1-3
07/22LvsTwins6-10
07/21WvsTwins5-2
07/20WvsTwins13-4
07/19LvsPirates1-7
07/23L@Blue Jays1-3
07/22W@Blue Jays4-2
07/21W@Blue Jays12-2
07/20W@Blue Jays7-1
07/19L@Red Sox1-6

Cleveland's form is a mixed bag by comparison. The Guardians dropped 3 of their last 5, including a 1-3 finale loss to Minnesota, but Chase DeLauter and Brayan Rocchio have kept the offense afloat enough to hold onto a wild card spot and the AL Central lead. This series is as much about proving that form on the road as it is about the standings.

The injury report cuts both ways. Cleveland is missing Angel Martinez, who's rehabbing a foot injury in Double-A, while Tampa Bay's list runs longer and deeper — Taylor Walls day-to-day, Jake Fraley and Gavin Lux both out in the outfield, and a bullpen picking up the pieces around several long-term absences. A team with the Rays' offense and rotation depth can survive that; whether it costs them late in a close one is the real question this weekend.

Guardians 0, Rays 3: Final Score & Odds Recap — Guardians Roll Into Tampa Bay Riding a Two-Game Skid