Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals

By Bush StaffUpdated 55d ago·2 min read
Miami MarlinsMIA(44-39)
St. Louis CardinalsSTL(42-38)
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Tyler Phillips (1-2, 3.09 ERA) gets the ball for Miami against Kyle Leahy (5-4, 4.24 ERA) in today's 1:15 PM CT series finale at Busch Stadium. Phillips was solid in his last outing — 6 innings, 2 earned runs, 89 pitches against Texas — and his ERA tells you he's been better than that 1-2 record suggests. Leahy is coming off a career-high 6.1 scoreless frames against Arizona, which on paper looks like a guy who's turned a corner.

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Marlins(44-39)
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1
Cardinals(42-38)
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2
Best BetCardinals -132
Pregame

The Cardinals open as -134 home favorites despite losing 4 of their last 5, which means the market hasn't written them off entirely. At home in a must-win spot with Leahy coming off a scoreless outing and the lineup due to wake up, St. Louis has the pieces to end the bleeding. Miami is the hotter team, but that price reflects it — the value is with the Cardinals finding a way to avoid the sweep.

The problem for St. Louis is the broader context. Dustin May skipped his Saturday turn in the rotation with a back issue, which means the Cardinals are burning depth in a rotation that's already held together with tape. The lineup isn't helping: key contributors up and down the order have gone quiet at the same time, and the Cardinals have been shut out or held to 1 run in 3 of their last 5 games. Leahy has to be sharp because there's no margin for error.

Miami Marlins
Tyler Phillips
(2-3)·3.28 ERA
Jun 22 vs Rangers
ND
6.0IP
2ER
4K
3BB
89P
06/28 Lineup
St. Louis Cardinals
Kyle Leahy
(7-4)·3.73 ERA
Jun 23 vs Diamondbacks
ND
6.1IP
0ER
3K
2BB
85P
06/28 Lineup
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(44-39)
Jun 27W@ Cardinals5-1
Jun 27W@ Cardinals4-0
Jun 24Wvs Rangers4-2
Jun 23Wvs Rangers6-4
Jun 22Lvs Rangers3-4
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
(42-38)
Jun 27Lvs Marlins1-5
Jun 27Lvs Marlins0-4
Jun 25Pvs Diamondbacks0-0
Jun 24Lvs Diamondbacks4-9
Jun 23Lvs Diamondbacks3-4

The Marlins aren't just winning — they're doing it with depth. Max Meyer threw 7 scoreless innings Friday and is 9-0 on the year, tying a franchise record for best start to a season in Marlins history. But this weekend's damage was a full team effort: Miami ran up the Cardinals' bullpen Friday and chased them again Saturday without their ace on the mound. This is a 17-5-in-June roster that's found its rhythm, and they've gone 8-2 in their last 10.

Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
(9)
  • Day-To-DayThomas White (SP)White was diagnosed with a left shoulder capsular sprain Friday and is expected to miss the rest of the season, Isaac Azout of FishOnFirst.com reports.06/06
  • 10-Day-ILLiam Hicks (C)Hicks is awaiting MRI results on his injured lower back, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.06/22
  • 15-Day-ILJanson Junk (SP)Junk (shin) threw a pitch-design session Friday and could be cleared to face hitters in live batting practice during the upcoming week, MLB.com reports.06/22
  • OutJesus Tinoco (RP)The Marlins re-signed Tinoco (elbow) to a minor-league contract Jan. 5.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJosh Ekness (RP)Marlins manager Clayton McCullough said Monday that Ekness is expected to miss approximately six weeks due to a right calf strain, Kyle Sielaff of Marlins.tv reports.06/21
  • 60-Day-ILAndrew Nardi (RP)The Marlins transferred Nardi (ribcage) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.06/01
  • 60-Day-ILRobby Snelling (SP)Snelling underwent internal brace surgery Friday to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow.05/22
  • 60-Day-ILRonny Henriquez (RP)The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAdam Mazur (SP)The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.05/08
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals
(8)
  • Day-To-DayDustin May (SP)The Cardinals will skip May's (back) turn in the rotation Saturday against Miami, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.06/27
  • Day-To-DaySem Robberse (SP)Robberse (elbow) has been sent to the Cardinals' Florida Complex League affiliate to begin a rehab assignment.06/16
  • Day-To-DayPacky Naughton (RP)Naughton will undergo surgery next month to repair the damaged UCL in his left elbow, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.05/14
  • Day-To-DayVictor Santos (RP)The Red Sox traded Santos (undisclosed) and Nick Robertson to the Cardinals on Friday in exchange for Tyler O'Neill (foot), Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.05/08
  • Day-To-DayIxan Henderson (SP)Henderson (elbow) is starting the season on the 60-day injured list at Triple-A Memphis.05/08
  • Day-To-DayZack Thompson (RP)The Cardinals reassigned Thompson (shoulder) to minor-league camp Monday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILRyan Fernandez (RP)Fernandez (back) is on track to begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Memphis on Friday, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.06/15
  • 60-Day-ILRamon Urias (3B)Urias (elbow) returned to St. Louis to undergo an examination on his left elbow, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.06/12

The Cardinals are still a .500-plus ballclub at 42-38, and their rotation ace situation isn't a catastrophe. But when your offense goes this cold — simultaneously — against a streaking team, you can't bet on one good Leahy outing to reverse the momentum. Miami's lineup knows how to generate late-game runs, and Phillips' 3.09 ERA means St. Louis has to earn everything they get. The Cardinals need their bats to wake up today. They haven't given much reason to think they will.

MLBMiami MarlinsSt. Louis CardinalsPolymarketKalshiTyler PhillipsKyle Leahy