Barstool Bush
Predictions

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

By Bush StaffUpdated 47d ago·1 min read
New York MetsNYM(36-53)
Atlanta BravesATL(52-35)
10—9
FINAL
123456789RHE
NYM
14000000510123
ATL
3000000069121

Nolan McLean got the ball for the Mets looking to snap a brutal stretch, and Martín Pérez started for Atlanta trying to build on a strong recent run before his day ended early and violently.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Mets(36-53)
LLLWL
10
Braves(52-35)
WWLWL
9
Best BetBraves -122
Postgame

Missed — the Mets won outright 10-9 after Atlanta's bullpen cracked following the Pérez injury.

Pregame

Atlanta came in off a 14-run outburst a day earlier and had Pérez lined up to build on a strong recent run, which made the Braves the play at home. Sharp money actually piled onto the Mets late — part of a broader push that topped out with New York as the largest single ticket — but the price still favored Atlanta's deeper, healthier roster on paper.

Pérez never made it out of the 5th. A 92-mph liner off Juan Soto's bat caught him in the left arm, and Atlanta's night unraveled from there — the bullpen absorbing extra innings it didn't plan on burning, with Ha-Seong Kim and Ronald Acuña Jr. already unavailable behind him.

New York Mets
Nolan McLean
(6-6)·3.52 ERA
Jun 30 @ Blue Jays
W
6.0IP
0ER
7K
2BB
91P
07/05 Lineup
Atlanta Braves
Martín Pérez
(6-6)·3.54 ERA
Jun 30 vs Cardinals
L
5.0IP
4ER
1K
3BB
85P
07/05 Lineup

Atlanta still finished with the better team on paper, but a jittery pitching staff and a suddenly leaky defense turned a laugher into a nail-biter, the kind of game that makes the pregame numbers look almost irrelevant by the final out.

New York piled up a 4-run 2nd and, more remarkably, a 5-run 9th to push the score to 10-3 — a lead that looked like a laugher against a Mets team that had been outscored 14-3 by these same Braves just a day earlier.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(36-53)
Jul 5L@ Braves3-14
Jul 3L@ Braves3-5
Jul 1L@ Blue Jays3-9
Jun 30W@ Blue Jays3-0
Jun 29L@ Blue Jays1-2
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(52-35)
Jul 5Wvs Mets14-3
Jul 3Wvs Mets5-3
Jul 2Lvs Cardinals5-11
Jul 1Wvs Cardinals5-1
Jun 30Lvs Cardinals3-5

Then Atlanta made it interesting. Six runs in the bottom of the 9th, aided by 3 Mets errors, pulled the Braves within one before New York finally shut the door. It's the kind of finish that erases records for a night — a 36-53 club that had dropped 4 of its last 5 outlasting a 52-35 team that had just demolished them 24 hours prior.

New York Mets
New York Mets
(8)
  • 10-Day-ILMarcus Semien (2B) — Semien was diagnosed Monday with a Grade 3 left hip flexor strain and is expected to be out for 4-to-6 weeks, at a minimum, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF) — Robert (back) will start a rehab assignment with Triple-A Syracuse on Tuesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILClay Holmes (SP) — Holmes (fibula) has been throwing on flat ground and is expected to progress to mound work next week, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.06/28
  • 60-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B) — Polanco (Achilles) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Syracuse on Saturday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.06/27
  • 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP) — Nunez (elbow) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A St. Lucie on Thursday, Michael Mayer of MetsmerizedOnline.com reports.06/25
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP) — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP) — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP) — The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/08
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
(11)
  • Day-To-DayMartin Perez (SP) — Perez was removed from Sunday's start against the Mets after being struck in the left arm by a 92-mph line drive off the bat of Juan Soto during the fifth inning, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.07/05
  • 10-Day-ILHa-Seong Kim (SS) — Atlanta placed Kim on the 10-day injured list Saturday, retroactive to Wednesday, due to right middle finger inflammation.07/04
  • 10-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr. (RF) — Acuna (hamstring) went through a full pregame workout at Truist Park in Atlanta on Tuesday, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.06/30
  • 15-Day-ILRobert Suarez (RP) — An MRI on Suarez's right elbow came back negative Friday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.06/27
  • suspensionJurickson Profar (LF) — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILAJ Smith-Shawver (SP) — Smith-Shawver (elbow) pitched three innings Tuesday during a rehab start with Single-A Augusta, allowing one run on three hits while striking out four batters, Chad Bishop of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.07/01
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Schwellenbach (SP) — Schwellenbach (elbow) will likely report to Atlanta's spring training facility in early July and could be a candidate to rejoin the major-league rotation by late August or early September, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.06/29
  • 60-Day-ILSpencer Strider (SP) — Atlanta transferred Strider (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday.06/17
  • 60-Day-ILSean Murphy (C) — Murphy had the cast on his left hand removed Tuesday and is now wearing a splint to protect his fractured middle finger, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reprots.06/04
  • 60-Day-ILJoe Jimenez (RP) — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss revealed Wednesday that Jimenez underwent another surgery on his left knee 3-to-4 weeks ago, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.05/13
  • 60-Day-ILJoey Wentz (RP) — Atlanta placed Wentz (knee) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08

The Pérez injury is the lingering storyline here. Atlanta's rotation was already without Spencer Strider and Spencer Schwellenbach for the season, and losing a steady arm like Pérez — even for a day-to-day stint — tightens the margin for a team that just watched its bullpen get torched in a game it should have controlled.

MLBNew York MetsAtlanta BravesPolymarketKalshiNolan McLeanMartín Pérez