New York Mets at Washington Nationals

By JR·2 min read

TLDR: It's the last weekend of the season, and New York and Washington are both under .500 with 3 games left. This opener comes down to one known quantity against a question mark: the Nationals have a lefty in form, and the Mets haven't named a starter.

FRI SEP 25, 6:45 PM
Spread
WIN
Total
(73-86)
LWWLW
(75-84)
WWLLW

New York opens its final series of the year at Nationals Park with no named starter, after Christian Scott went on the IL and several relievers went down, while Washington starts Andrew Alvarez, who threw 6 scoreless innings his last time out. Both clubs are under .500 and out of the race, and both enter 3-2 over their last 5. The Mets are a modest road favorite despite the unsettled pitching.

Mets
  • Won first 2 at Texas, scoring 13 runs
  • Manaea struck out 9 against Texas this week
  • Road favorite despite the injury list
  • No announced starter for this game
  • Scott, Duarte and Stock all on the IL
  • Managed 1 run in the Texas finale
Nationals
  • Alvarez: 6 scoreless, 8 strikeouts last start
  • Won 2 straight on strong pitching in Detroit
  • Lefty's ERA near 3 all season
  • Bullpen missing Poulin, Ribalta, Waldron, Parker
  • Scored 2, 3 and 3 in the last 5's losses
  • May save relievers for Early's debut Saturday

Andrew Alvarez (2-6, 3.17) takes the ball for Washington at 6:45 PM ET, coming off 6 scoreless innings in St. Louis: 5 hits, 1 walk, 8 strikeouts on 92 pitches. That 2-6 record badly undersells a lefty whose ERA has sat near 3 all year. On the other side, New York still lists its starter as TBD, and the pitcher card will show that blank.

New York Mets
TBD
—
TBD
ND
—IP
—ER
—K
—BB
—P
09/25 Lineup
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
(2-6)·3.17 ERA
Sep 19 @ Cardinals
ND
6.0IP
0ER
8K
1BB
92P
09/25 Lineup

The blank is there for a reason. The Mets put Christian Scott on the 15-day IL this week with left knee inflammation, which leaves a rotation slot open on the final weekend. The bullpen that would cover it is short too: Daniel Duarte (hamstring) and Robert Stock (finger numbness) went on the IL within days of each other, and Reed Garrett has been out since the spring. The board still has New York as a road favorite, so the market is backing the Mets' lineup against a starter nobody has named yet.

That lineup has shown some life lately. New York won the first 2 at Texas, including a 6-3 win in the opener where Sean Manaea struck out 9 over 6 innings, then managed 1 run in a 3-1 loss to finish the trip. It's also a clubhouse that has had Andy Green running it since Carlos Mendoza was fired in late June, and Green now has a 3-year deal to keep the job, so these last 3 games double as the first look at next year's version.

Washington comes in having won 2 straight, both in Detroit, 3-1 and 4-2, on pitching that kept the Tigers quiet. Before that the Nationals split 2 in St. Louis, and in the win Alvarez held the Cardinals scoreless for 6 innings and the offense still needed to score 8 to survive the bullpen. That pattern is worth watching tonight. Starting pitching has been Washington's strength lately, and the late innings haven't matched it.

09/24L@Rangers1-3
09/23W@Rangers7-2
09/22W@Rangers6-3
09/20LvsPhillies2-7
09/19WvsPhillies10-3
09/23W@Tigers4-2
09/22W@Tigers3-1
09/21L@Tigers2-9
09/20L@Cardinals3-5
09/19W@Cardinals8-5

The injury lists run long on both sides, and most of that is relievers. Washington is without PJ Poulin, Orlando Ribalta, Matt Waldron and Mitchell Parker. The one name worth circling is Connelly Early. Nationals president of baseball operations Paul Toboni has him tentatively lined up to make his team debut against the Mets on September 26. That's the next game of this series, not this one, but it means Washington's bullpen could be managed with Saturday in mind.

  • 7-Day ILJared Young (1B) — The Mets placed Young on the 7-day concussion injured list Friday.09/18
  • 15-Day-ILChristian Scott (SP) — The Mets placed Scott on the 15-day injured list Tuesday with left knee inflammation.09/22
  • 15-Day-ILDaniel Duarte (RP) — The Mets placed Duarte on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a left hamstring strain.09/16
  • 15-Day-ILRobert Stock (RP) — The Mets placed Stock on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with numbness in his fingers.09/16
  • 60-Day-ILJorge Polanco (DH) — The Mets transferred Polanco (ankle) to the 60-day injured list Friday.08/28
  • 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP) — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.05/08
  • 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP) — The Mets placed Megill (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILOrlando Ribalta (RP) — MRI results on Ribalta's right forearm came back negative Tuesday.09/09
  • 60-Day-ILConnelly Early (SP) — Nationals president of baseball operations Paul Toboni said Wednesday that Early (elbow) is tentatively scheduled to make his team debut Sept. 26 against the Mets.09/17
  • 60-Day-ILMatt Waldron (RP) — The Nationals placed Waldron on the 15-day injured list Tuesday, retroactive to Saturday, with chest inflammation.09/12
  • 60-Day-ILDrew Millas (C) — Millas will undergo surgery Friday on his fractured left index finger.09/10
  • 60-Day-ILPJ Poulin (RP) — The Nationals transferred Poulin (forearm) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.08/02
  • 60-Day-ILMitchell Parker (RP) — Parker underwent elbow ligament repair surgery with an internal brace Wednesday.07/30
  • 60-Day-ILKen Waldichuk (RP) — Waldichuk (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery and an internal brace procedure April 21 and is hopeful to return to game action at some point early in the 2027 season.06/11

Nothing is at stake in the standings, and it shows in the Polymarket chat, which is close to empty. Still, it's a 66-degree, cloudy night in D.C., with a lefty who has been sharp facing a Mets team that has to cover 27 outs without a named starter. That's enough to make the opener worth paying attention to.

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New York Mets at Washington Nationals — Mets Bring a Blank Starter Line Into Nationals Park for the Final Weekend | Polymarket Odds · Barstool Bush