Freddy Peralta gets the ball for New York and he's actually been fine — a 3.52 ERA with a 1-3 record that's mostly a run-support indictment. His last time out, also against the Rockies, he went 5.2 and struck out 8 while taking the loss. The Mets owe him one.
On the other side, Michael Lorenzen and his 6.09 ERA. Lorenzen has been hammered at Coors specifically this year, which is the worst possible split to be carrying into a start at Coors. If the Mets bats can't get to him, that says more about the Mets than it does about Lorenzen.
The injury sheet is the real story for the Mets. Francisco Lindor in a boot for at least three more weeks. Kodai Senga on the IL with lumbar inflammation. Jorge Polanco and Luis Robert Jr. both down. Ronny Mauricio just fractured his thumb against the Angels. They're running out a lineup duct-taped together and they're still favored by 161 cents on the moneyline at altitude. That's how bad it's gotten in Denver.
- Day-To-DayJose Rojas (3B) — The Mets signed Rojas to a minor-league contract with an invitation to spring training Monday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/01
- Day-To-DayNick Burdi (RP) — The Mets reassigned Burdi to minor-league camp Tuesday.04/30
- Day-To-DayJoe Jacques (RP) — The Mets signed Jacques to a minor-league contract Wednesday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.04/30
- Day-To-DayKevin Herget (RP) — Herget signed a minor league contract that includes an invitation to spring training with the Mets on Thursday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.04/18
- Day-To-DayNate Lavender (RP) — Lavender (elbow) cleared outright waivers Wednesday and was returned to the Mets.03/22
- 10-Day-ILRonny Mauricio (SS) — Mauricio suffered a fractured left thumb in Saturday's loss to the Angels and will be placed on the 10-day injured list, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.05/03
- 10-Day-ILJorge Polanco (1B) — Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns said last Friday that Polanco (wrist/Achilles) has resumed performing baseball activities but is considered week-to-week in his recovery from a pair of injuries, SNY.tv reports.04/30
- 10-Day-ILLuis Robert Jr. (CF) — The Mets are expected to place Robert (back) on the 10-day injured list, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.04/30
- 10-Day-ILFrancisco Lindor (SS) — Lindor (calf) will wear a boot for the next week and remain shut down for at least three weeks, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.04/24
- 10-Day-ILJared Young (1B) — The Mets placed Young on the 10-day injured list Wednesday, retroactive to Monday, due to a meniscus tear in his left knee.04/15
- 15-Day-ILKodai Senga (SP) — Mets manager Carlos Mendoza told reporters that Senga (back) played catch Wednesday, and the latter is progressing in his recovery, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.05/06
- 15-Day-ILA.J. Minter (RP) — The Mets pulled Minter (lat) from his rehab assignment with Triple-A Syracuse on Wednesday due to left hip discomfort, Abbey Mastracco of the New York Daily News reports.05/06
- 15-Day-ILJoey Gerber (RP) — Gerber (finger) struck out two and allowed two hits over a scoreless inning during his rehab appearance Tuesday at Triple-A Syracuse.04/30
- OutMike Tauchman (RF) — Tauchman underwent surgery Thursday to repair the torn meniscus in his left knee, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.03/26
- OutRobert Stock (RP) — Stock experienced shoulder discomfort while playing with Team Israel in the World Baseball Classic and will undergo testing, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.03/08
- OutGrae Kessinger (3B) — Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said that Kessinger will get imaging done after suffering a left knee injury in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals, SNY Mets reports.03/01
- 60-Day-ILJustin Hagenman (RP) — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.03/14
- 60-Day-ILDedniel Nunez (RP) — The Mets transferred Nunez (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.02/15
- 60-Day-ILTylor Megill (SP) — The Mets and Megill (elbow) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.5 million contract Thursday, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.02/12
- 60-Day-ILReed Garrett (RP) — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.02/10
- Day-To-DayCase Williams (SP) — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.03/18
- Day-To-DayBrayan Castillo (RP) — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.03/15
- Day-To-DayJared Thomas (CF) — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.03/09
- 15-Day-ILRyan Feltner (SP) — Feltner (elbow) is slated to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.05/04
- 60-Day-ILJeff Criswell (RP) — Criswell (elbow) made the second appearance of his rehab assignment with High-A Spokane on Sunday, striking out two over a perfect inning.05/04
- 60-Day-ILMcCade Brown (SP) — The Rockies placed Brown (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.04/04
- 60-Day-ILRJ Petit (RP) — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.03/26
- 60-Day-ILPierson Ohl (RP) — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.03/25
- 60-Day-ILKris Bryant (DH) — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.02/17
Coors plus a 9.5 total feels low on paper, but Peralta's stuff plays anywhere and Lorenzen is the one who has to navigate the thin air. The Mets should win this. Whether they actually do is a different question for a 13-22 club, but the matchup, the momentum, and the opposing starter all point one direction.