Barstool Bush
Predictions

Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles

By Bush StaffUpdated 57d ago·2 min read
Washington NationalsWSH(41-41)
Baltimore OriolesBAL(38-44)
1—3
FINAL
123456789RHE
WSH
000010000151
BAL
00020010—381

Andrew Alvarez (1-0, 3.34 ERA) gets the ball for Washington against Trevor Rogers (4-7, 5.30 ERA) in a 7:05 PM ET first pitch at Camden Yards. Rogers just turned in 7 scoreless innings against the Dodgers last Saturday — 1 hit, 6 strikeouts, 96 pitches — but that was only his 2nd win in his last 11 starts. 1 gem doesn't fix a 5.30 ERA, and he's been prone to short, rough outings for most of 2026.

Show fees
FINAL
Spread
ML
Total
Nationals(41-41)
LLLWL
1
Orioles(38-44)
LLWWW
3
Best BetNationals +113
Pregame

Rogers carries a 5.30 ERA and his Dodgers gem was only his 2nd win in his last 11 starts — not a sign he's turned a corner. Alvarez (3.34 ERA) is the more controlled pitcher tonight, and Baltimore's lineup is missing Rutschman with a concussion and Holliday nursing a groin injury. Washington is the side to back.

The Nationals drop into Baltimore having lost 3 of 4 at home to Philadelphia, where the Phillies pulled off three straight ninth-inning rallies to steal the series. Bryce Harper hit a go-ahead 2-run homer in the ninth in the finale, then Derek Hill followed it with a 3-run shot. Washington's bullpen absorbed all of it. The Orioles, for their part, return home off a split road trip through L.A. and Anaheim — but they're coming back missing key players at 2 critical positions.

Washington Nationals
Andrew Alvarez
(2-2)·3.64 ERA
Jun 21 @ Rays
ND
4.0IP
1ER
6K
0BB
68P
06/26 Lineup
Baltimore Orioles
Trevor Rogers
(6-7)·4.48 ERA
Jun 20 @ Dodgers
W
7.0IP
0ER
6K
2BB
96P
06/26 Lineup
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(41-41)
Jun 25Lvs Phillies5-10
Jun 24Lvs Phillies4-5
Jun 23Lvs Phillies9-14
Jun 22Wvs Phillies4-1
Jun 21L@ Rays3-4
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(38-44)
Jun 24L@ Angels6-7
Jun 24L@ Angels1-5
Jun 23W@ Angels6-1
Jun 21W@ Dodgers12-1
Jun 21W@ Dodgers3-2

The Orioles' health situation is legitimately rough right now. Adley Rutschman landed on the 7-day concussion IL after getting hit by a thrown ball last week — he was eligible to come off Friday, but manager Craig Albernaz declined to commit to that happening before the game. Jackson Holliday has been out of the lineup 4 straight days with groin tightness, and the organization is being deliberately cautious, with Albernaz noting that a groin injury not treated carefully can sideline a player for months. That's 2 of the better young players in the AL East potentially watching from the dugout.

Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
(10)
  • Day-To-DayJarlin Susana (RP) — Susana threw from a mound this week for the first time since undergoing lat surgery last September, Jessica Camerato of MLB.com reports.06/14
  • Day-To-DayTyler Stuart (SP) — no05/25
  • Day-To-DayTyler Baum (DH) — Baum has not pitched this year due an undisclosed injury.05/08
  • Day-To-DayTravis Sykora (SP) — Sykora will undergo a UCL reconstruction on his right elbow in two weeks, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.05/08
  • 15-Day-ILJake Irvin (SP) — Irvin (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Kyle Williams of TheBanner.com reports.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILDJ Herz (SP) — Herz (elbow) was diagnosed Monday with a left flexor strain, Kyle Williams of TheBanner.com reports.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILMax Kranick (RP) — Kranick (elbow) began a rehab assignment with Single-A Fredericksburg on Sunday, striking out two over 1.2 perfect innings.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILKen Waldichuk (RP) — Waldichuk (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery and an internal brace procedure April 21 and is hopeful to return to game action at some point early in the 2027 season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.06/11
  • 60-Day-ILTrevor Williams (SP) — Williams (elbow) threw a simulated game at Nationals Park ahead of Tuesday's loss to the Marlins, MLB.com reports.06/05
  • 60-Day-ILJosiah Gray (SP) — Gray (elbow) has resumed a throwing program, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.05/08
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
(16)
  • Day-To-DayJackson Holliday (2B) — Holliday (groin) struck out in his lone at-bat during Wednesday's 7-6 extra-inning loss to the Angels.06/25
  • Day-To-DayJhonkensy Noel (RF) — Noel was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A Norfolk on Monday with left wrist inflammation, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.06/08
  • Day-To-DayLevi Wells (P) — Wells underwent successful core-muscle surgery Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/28
  • Day-To-DayRichard Guasch (SP) — no05/08
  • Day-To-DayWill Robertson (LF) — The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.05/08
  • 7-Day ILAdley Rutschman (C) — The Orioles placed Rutschman on the 7-day injured list Saturday after he was diagnosed with a concussion, Rich Dubroff of BaltimoreBaseball.com reports.06/21
  • 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers (RF) — Beavers (oblique) is expected to begin a rehab assignment at Double-A Chesapeake on Thursday, Andy Kostka of TheBanner.com reports.06/16
  • 15-Day-ILCade Povich (SP) — Povich (elbow) struck out three and allowed one hit and no walks over 3.1 scoreless innings Sunday in a rehab start with Double-A Chesapeake.06/22
  • 15-Day-ILChris Bassitt (SP) — Bassitt (back) received a facet injection to his lower back Friday, and he's set to begin his throwing progression, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILFelix Bautista (RP) — Bautista (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Andy Kostka of TheBanner.com reports.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILDean Kremer (SP) — Kremer (quadriceps) struck out five and allowed one earned run on two hits and and two walks in 3.2 innings during his rehab start Sunday with Triple-A Norfolk.06/22
  • 60-Day-ILYaramil Hiraldo (RP) — Hiraldo (shoulder) will throw live batting practice Friday, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.06/16
  • 60-Day-ILRyan Mountcastle (1B) — Mountcastle (foot) did some running Saturday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.06/13
  • 60-Day-ILColin Selby (RP) — Selby was recently evaluated by Dr. Chris Looze in Baltimore due to ongoing symptoms with his injured right shoulder, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.05/19
  • 60-Day-ILJordan Westburg (3B) — Westburg (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Andrew Golden of TheBanner.com reports.05/15
  • 60-Day-ILZach Eflin (SP) — Eflin underwent Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.05/08

Alvarez has been 1 of Washington's quieter success stories this season, bouncing between the rotation and bullpen with legitimate control. His last outing against Tampa Bay: 4 innings, 1 earned run, 6 strikeouts, 0 walks on 68 pitches. Against a lineup missing its catcher and possibly its second baseman, that kind of efficiency goes a long way. The Nationals are 41-41. The Orioles are 38-44. Neither club is going anywhere fast in the AL East, but on a Friday night in June, getting the better arm against a shorthanded lineup is as much of an edge as you can ask for.

Sources

MLBWashington NationalsBaltimore OriolesPolymarketKalshiAndrew AlvarezTrevor Rogers