Shane Baz (4-6, 4.06) takes the ball for the Orioles at 1:10 PM PT against Bryan Woo (5-5, 4.28) in the deciding game of a three-game set. Woo is staring down the same Baltimore lineup that tagged him for 7 earned in 5 innings on June 11, which is the kind of recent history that lingers even when you're back home.
The Orioles snapped a 3-game skid Wednesday with a 5-3 win behind Kyle Bradish's 12-strikeout gem, and now they're playing with house money in a getaway-day spot. Baz has been the quietly steady arm in this rotation while Bassitt, Kremer and Povich rehab — his last 3 outings, he's given up 2, 1 and 2 runs, none of them longer than 5 innings but all of them keeping Baltimore in games.
Seattle's bigger problem might be the lineup card. Julio Rodriguez exited Wednesday with hamstring spasms after a catch in center and is day-to-day, joining Randy Arozarena (hamstring, 10-day IL), Luke Raley (back) and Josh Naylor (shin/wrist) as outfield/lineup question marks. Even with home-field, that's a lot of thump on the trainer's table against a starter whose biggest issue is missing bats — Baz had just 1 strikeout in 5 innings his last time out.
- Day-To-DayJhonkensy Noel RF — Noel was placed on the 7-day injured list at Triple-A Norfolk on Monday with left wrist inflammation, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- Day-To-DayLevi Wells P — Wells underwent successful core-muscle surgery Thursday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
- Day-To-DayRichard Guasch SP — no
- Day-To-DayWill Robertson LF — The Orioles reassigned Robertson to minor-league camp Wednesday, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.
- 10-Day-ILDylan Beavers RF — Beavers (oblique) is expected to begin a rehab assignment at Double-A Chesapeake on Thursday, Andy Kostka of TheBanner.com reports.
- 15-Day-ILChris Bassitt SP — Bassitt (back) received a facet injection to his lower back Friday, and he's set to begin his throwing progression, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
- 15-Day-ILCade Povich SP — Povich (elbow) will begin a minor-league rehab assignment with Double-A Chesapeake this week, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
- 60-Day-ILDean Kremer SP — Kremer (quadriceps) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Norfolk this week, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
- Day-To-DayJulio Rodriguez CF — Rodriguez was pulled from Wednesday's game against Baltimore due to hamstring spasms, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
- Day-To-DayJosh Naylor 1B — Naylor (shin/wrist) isn't in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Orioles.
- Day-To-DayLuke Raley RF — Raley (back) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's matchup against Baltimore.
- Day-To-DayDane Dunning RP — The Mariners signed Dunning to a minor-league contract Thursday, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
- 10-Day-ILRandy Arozarena LF — Arozarena (hamstring) isn't in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Orioles, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
- 10-Day-ILBrendan Donovan 3B — Donovan (groin) began a running progression Tuesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
- 15-Day-ILCooper Criswell RP — Criswell was diagnosed with a Grade 1-plus pectoral strain Tuesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
- 15-Day-ILMatt Brash RP — General manager Justin Hollander said Tuesday that Brash was diagnosed with a Grade 1 strain in his right lat, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
Woo's stuff plays when he's commanding the sinker, but the Orioles already saw him a week ago and the report card wasn't kind. Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday both went deep Wednesday, and a Mariners pen missing Matt Brash (lat) is not the bullpen you want bridging a short Woo start. If Baltimore gets to 4 runs early, this gets interesting fast.
The market sees a coin-flip tilted slightly Seattle's way — Mariners -148 at home, total sitting at 7.5. With Julio possibly out, Arozarena gone and the Orioles having figured Woo out 7 days ago, the visitors are a more live underdog than the price suggests.