San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves

Thu Jul 2312:15 PM ET
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: San Diego's bats have been torching Atlanta all series, but the Braves get to throw their best arm in the getaway-day finale.

FINAL · THU JUL 23, 4:15 PM
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5
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6
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SD
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ATL
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San Diego Padres
  • Won 4 of 5 against Atlanta this season
  • Machado and Tatis both hitting for serious power
  • Blew out Braves 8-3 just two days ago
  • 50-52 record, well under .500 on the year
  • Canning 1-8 with a 6.67 ERA this start
  • Rotation gutted: Musgrove, Pivetta, Darvish, Giolito all out
Atlanta Braves
  • 59-42, one of the better records in the NL
  • Sale pitching at a 2.06 ERA, near Cy Young form
  • Acuna Jr nearing a return from the IL
  • Dropped 2 of the last 3 games in this series
  • Missing Kim, Murphy, and multiple rotation arms
  • Bullpen got torched for 8 runs on Tuesday

This one closes out a wild four-game set with the Braves still up 2-1 in the series and their ace on the mound. Chris Sale (10-6, 2.06 ERA) draws Griffin Canning (1-8, 6.67 ERA) for a 12:15 PM ET matinee at Truist Park, and the gap between those two lines tells you most of what you need to know about how lopsided this individual matchup looks on paper.

San Diego Padres
Kyle Hart
(0-2)·4.27 ERA
Jun 27 vs Dodgers
ND
2.0IP
1ER
2K
1BB
36P
07/23 Lineup
Atlanta Braves
Chris Sale
(12-6)·2.08 ERA
Jul 17 vs Rangers
W
7.0IP
0ER
6K
0BB
89P
07/23 Lineup

San Diego's rotation has been a mess for weeks, and Canning's been squarely in the middle of it. He got knocked around in his last outing against Kansas City, lasting just 3.2 innings and allowing 4 earned runs, and he's doing it without Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta, Yu Darvish or Lucas Giolito available to bail the group out. Sale, meanwhile, is coming off seven shutout innings against Texas and hasn't looked his age all year.

The Padres haven't cared much about any of that the last three days. Manny Machado went deep twice and Fernando Tatis Jr. crushed the longest home run in the majors this season, a 474-foot bomb, in Tuesday's 8-3 rout. San Diego has now taken 4 of 5 from Atlanta this year, and that recent form is doing a lot of work to keep the Padres relevant in a series they have no business being competitive in given the standings gap.

07/22L@Braves6-7
07/21W@Braves8-3
07/20L@Braves2-3
07/19W@Royals19-2
07/18L@Royals1-6
07/22WvsPadres7-6
07/21LvsPadres3-8
07/20WvsPadres3-2
07/19WvsRangers8-5
07/18LvsRangers6-7

Atlanta still has the far better record and the deeper roster, sitting at 59-42 to San Diego's 50-52, but both sides are banged up in ways that shape this one. The Braves are still waiting on Ronald Acuna Jr., who's working back from a hamstring issue and could return before the homestand wraps, while Sean Murphy, Ha-Seong Kim and a chunk of the pitching staff — Spencer Strider, Spencer Schwellenbach, AJ Smith-Shawver — remain sidelined. San Diego's absences run just as deep, with Jason Adam, Jeremiah Estrada and Miguel Andujar all out on top of the rotation holes.

Whichever way the standings gap and injury reports get read, the story of the last three days has been San Diego's lineup refusing to go quiet against a team with a much better record. Atlanta wants Sale to be the answer to that, and if he's anywhere close to his recent form, this figures to be a much different game than the slugfests the two clubs have traded through the first three.

Padres 5, Braves 6: Final Score & Odds Recap — Sale and Braves Try to Slam the Door on Surging Padres