San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks

Mon Aug 36:40 PM MST
By JR·2 min read

TLDR: The Dodgers have lapped the NL West, so this one's really about the wild card — and the Padres and Diamondbacks are separated by a single game heading into Monday night.

FINAL · TUE AUG 4, 1:40 AM
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San Diego Padres
  • Won 4 of last 5, swept Giants outright
  • King avoided trade, gives them a real arm
  • 3 rotation starters out for the year's stretch
  • Outfield/DH thinned by Andujar, Taylor, Laureano
Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Won 4 of last 5, sit ahead in standings
  • Pfaadt's last start was 7 scoreless innings
  • Lost most recent game 0-5 to Cleveland
  • Gallen and Soroka both still out of rotation

San Diego almost didn't have Michael King for this one at all. The Padres scratched him from his Sunday turn with trade buzz swirling right up to Friday's deadline, then didn't pull the trigger — so King gets the ball as scheduled at 6:40 PM MT, hours after the deadline closed, against the team the Padres are chasing for a wild-card spot.

Michael King
Michael King
(8-8)·3.41 ERA
Jul 28 vs Rockies
ND
6.0IP
4ER
6K
1BB
98P
08/03 Lineup
Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
(7-1)·3.11 ERA
Jul 28 @ Pirates
ND
7.0IP
0ER
4K
1BB
101P
08/03 Lineup

Brandon Pfaadt is the guy standing in the way, and he's been trending the right direction — 7 shutout innings on 6 hits in his last time out against Pittsburgh. Both rosters are banged up in the rotation: Arizona is still without Zac Gallen and Michael Soroka, while San Diego's missing Joe Musgrove, Nick Pivetta and Lucas Giolito for the year's stretch run. Neither side has a full bullpen behind its starter tonight, which puts real weight on how deep King and Pfaadt can go.

The lineups are thinner too. San Diego is down Miguel Andujar, Samad Taylor and Ramon Laureano, while Arizona is without Jordan Lawlar, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Tommy Troy. Neither club is at full strength, which is part of why the number at the window has both teams treated as live dogs and favorites depending on the market.

Zoom out and this series matters more than a typical Monday in August. The Dodgers have the division locked up by a wide margin, so Arizona and San Diego are effectively playing a four-game play-in for wild-card positioning. Arizona's coming off 4 wins in 5 games; San Diego just swept the Giants and has won 4 of its last 5 too — this is as close to even as two teams get.

08/02WvsGiants5-4
08/02WvsGiants6-5
08/01WvsGiants7-0
07/31LvsGiants1-4
07/29WvsRockies3-1
08/02L@Guardians0-5
08/01W@Guardians12-8
07/31W@Guardians4-1
07/29W@Pirates3-0
07/28W@Pirates8-7

The injury math cuts both ways more than either fan base wants to admit. Neither team's pitching staff is whole, and both are patching lineup spots — the version of this rivalry showing up Monday isn't either club's best 26.

King not getting traded is the story of the day, but it also raises the stakes on his outing — a shaky start here and the rebuild-or-buy noise around him doesn't go away. Pfaadt, meanwhile, is trying to string together consistency after a rocky first half. Whoever's arm holds up longer probably decides which team leaves Chase Field a game closer to October.

Padres 1, Diamondbacks 5: Final Score & Odds Recap — Michael King Survives the Deadline, Faces Arizona Anyway